Wed Nov 23, 2011 10:51am ESTComments Off on Bad Trade
I initiated a buy on PII on Friday with expectation of some bounce this week. Then I clamored all weekend sifting twitter and internets and came to an uneasy consensus, too many people are looking for a bounce. Shit.
Monday PII pulled a nice turnaround putting down a big mario brothers hammer throw. It looked like buyers we responsive to the sale price. Today I cut the trade. Small trade, small loss, moving on and not making it an investment.
Still like RGLD, added a piece.
Still like WFM, but I want to buy it for $62 dorrah.
SKF is still hanging out in the port with GSVC and AWK and a pile of cabbage.
Mon Nov 21, 2011 10:52am ESTComments Off on Selective Ignorance
Looking over my port, things could be worst. My PII purchase was ill timed and I took a quick 5% haircut. If the PII doesn’t get its act together come tomorrow it’s gone and will serve as a pie to the face. In this market, it’s death by a 1000 paper cuts when you’re marauding into and out of stocks all fast and savvy unless you cut out the bad habit trades. Hit yourself with the newspaper, bad dog.
RGLD is coming into my sweet zone and I will be adding some today or tomorrow.
I choose the path of selective ignorance, and will at the least play for a mean reversion and at the most look for some coked up mystery bid into Christmas. Hope baby, hope.
Whatever, I want to own some stocks. AWK pays a sweet coupon and I’ve owned it all year. Maybe it’s boring for you to read about but nice for a stable few percentage points as shits not swinging well. I feel the same way about PAYX. The management team appears solid, and they’re letting companies outsource their bullshit HR departments. If you buy these stocks on discount (like now “ish” in PAYX case) then you collect a coupon and hopefully don’t get whacked by any capital depreciation.
The SKF is shoring up the butt-fuckery of PII and GSVC.
Tue Nov 15, 2011 10:16am ESTComments Off on Put Some SDS On
Euro dollar weakening, VIX holding 30, and I chased a little RGLD, which is fine considering my first buying tranche was swing low and my average cost is high $67’s.
I still want some $62 WFM. I won’t hold my SDS into next week unless things get ugly.
Truth be told, I drive too fucking much. Fact: daily commutes damage the psyche. However, I used to be a chauffeur and find a certain ‘sport’ in navigating a familiar route. Trends emerge. A left curve on the highway may be harmless at lunchtime but leads to hysteria come six. You see it 700 days in a row but your route stays unchanged. I toil the nuances in my brain and feverishly use all sensory inputs, analyzing collective overreactions, damning civil engineers, and listening to music with egregious beats per minute. In the end I get to point B. So do you. But did you stop to consider brake light contagion spreading into an otherwise clear lane?
In my case it is clear daily commutes have no adverse effects to the human psyche.
RGLD sits on the precipice of a lovely pullback. I want more RGLD. I want that shit on a belt buckle, RGLD in Old English. I want to hold out for $75 and I still think the following volume cave deems necessary some back and fill action:
But I may have no choice but to buy more. The fucking turkey is already in the freezer. Magic 105.1 is blasting out holy X-mas jams by J.Beebs. And buyers sopped up lower prices today with their poisonous exploding can biscuits. Are you listening to pagan Christmas music yet?
Tue Nov 8, 2011 11:29pm ESTComments Off on .9999 Pure RGLD
RGLD keeps running like a beast. We all want a pullback. I initiated my position October 4th, a.k.a. swing low sweet mother fucking chariot. The buyer’s sharp rejection of a high volume node and a distinct hallway encounter lead to the purchase. I immediately reported my dip into Mr. Gint’s well as any humble guest would:
I marked up the below chart with what I see as price points to gobble up some RGLD and I hope to see these prices before the great feast. Click the chart to enlarge and read my tiny but witty yellow font commentary:
Also, I drew a rectangle on a chart earlier today explaining where I want to buy more WFM. Here are my additional thoughts:
Tue Nov 8, 2011 10:09am ESTComments Off on No Thanksgiving Rally for WFM
WFM’s grocery aisles are humming with activity as preparations begin for the upcoming mass Thanksgiving consumption, but the stock price is still too rich. It needs to be reduced.
I want more shares, and I will look for buyers to show interest as noted on the following chart:
Fri Nov 4, 2011 12:30am ESTComments Off on Italy’s Hot Ticket Out
Andrea Rossi. Heard about this guy? Seen this guy? On October 28th the Italian physicist demonstrated what is best described by curious scientists as a cold-fusion device. Rossi calls it the E-Cat and doesn’t give a fuck if you believe it works, unless you’re prepared to cough up a cool $15 milli.
Incredible.
This isn’t Rossi’s first foray into the energy world. He spent the late 70’s converting trash into oil. In the 90’s he began refining his oil and producing and selling fuel at nearly a 30% discount to similar fossil derived products. He did what any successful Italian would do in 1995 and formed a racing team. He ran the car on his fuel and performed admirably.
Rossi smashed more in the 90’s than Big Meech. Then they fucked him, banned his product, and threated jail time. Might as well castrate the gent or gouge out his eyeballs. But the “eye ties” learned their lesson after the Galileo incident, I suppose.
Perhaps Rossi learned his lesson. Fool me once you sum’ bitch as our great Premier Bush would say. The leery inventor is playing his cards close to chest. He’s formed Leonardo Corporation with the intention of building and selling his E-Cat device. He claims the technology is running a factory as we speak.
Everyone knows the fucking boot births geniuses. Could he be loved like Ford? Or will he be hated like Rearden?
WFM announced earnings this afternoon beating analyst estimates by a penny @ $0.42/share. Meanwhile they’ve managed to grow same store sales 8.7% during a fucking economic shit storm, lending a hand to the consumer polarity argument. Not good enough. Shares are down $5.00 afterhours. Apparently investors are pissed the company did not pass through enough food inflation.
I like WFM because it’s growing and exploiting the health and wellness infatuation trend. People who care to give a fuck (what?) don’t want corn fed beef, instead they want said beef walking around the prairie munching grass and weeds. Mr. Gint will give you the skinny on GMOs being a gift to your grandchildren, but I prefer my beef avoids confinement to a feeding stall. I also like the attrition. So many of my friends who’ve been otherwise unemployable take pride in their tenure as WFM bagging clerks.
The increased dividend concerns me. What the fuck management? You can’t find the next group of LULU babes jonesing for feel good blueberries? As an investor I don’t want WFM to give me a dividend, but to grow!
I still like the company in the intermediate term. WFM is strong in a bitch of a consumer segment. I will use a pullback to increase my holding.