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Monthly Archives: January 2014

01-30-2014 Trading Journal

Finally, the market had a nice bounce.

SPY_Daily

Notice that price closed above the 79 & 89 MA lines. This looks good for further rally.

I’d a good day ’cause $LRAD had a nice rally.

LRAD_daily

See how price had moved solidly upward and away from the consolidation range?  It just needs a few more deals to see $3 soon.

$KNDI also bounced but not as strong as $LRAD.

KNDI_daily

However, I’ll take any rally that moved it away from the bottom of the consolidation range.

Basically with the exception of $SEED and $KGJI, $GALE, $CERS, $XONE, and $TINY all bounced today.  This effectively bumped my portfolio back up nicely.

Giving $LRAD strong rally today, $KNDI needs to get back to above $14 to catch up with $LRAD in term of dollar size.

Current holdings:

LRAD, KNDI, SEED, KGJI, GALE, CERS, XONE, TINY (fully speculated)

My 2 cents.

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01-29-2014 Trading Journal

Market surprised with another down day; however, while the DOW dropped a big one, the SP500 seemed smaller.

SPY_Daily

Looking at the daily chart, price is still “within” the support area (blue line).  Yes, I moved the blue line a bit lower but it is still within the area of support.  Now, it looks like we may bounce tomorrow.

$KNDI gave back some after a strong morning but that was not too bad.

KNDI_daily

Price is still near the bottom range of the consolidation period.  Nope, I’m not worried at all and is still holding long and strong.

I bought back $GALE and $XONE this morning with the free cash made available today.

Gale_daily

While I was slightly under water with $GALE, the daily chart looks good though.  There is a higher low today and I’m expecting a bounce later this week.

$XONE didn’t look too bad either.

XONE_daily

However, I like to see the low of two days ago to hold as strong support.

$KGJI, $CERS, $TINY all corrected some but I didn’t find them alarming enough to put up a chart.

$SEED had a nice bounce nevertheless.

Today drop only took my portfolio down slightly; not too bad at all.

Current holdings:

LRAD, KNDI, SEED, KGJI, GALE, CERS, XONE, TINY (fully speculated).

Oh, regarding $PHOT.  Today news from $PHOT “GrowLife and CEN Biotech Announce Collaboration on the World’s Largest and Most Advanced Legal Cannabis Production Facility” definitely solidify my resolve to hold this one for the long-haul.

“This production facility is expected to have the capacity to produce up to 1.3 million pounds of dried medical marijuana annually, and the total may include capacity that is set aside for import and export.”

Holy Bejeezus!!! 1.3 million pounds of LEGAL marijuana!  Who would have thought of something like this today???

Although the deal has yet to be finalized and proper legal approval and permissions have to be procured in Canada, I can’t see a better cannabis company to invest with this kind of mega-potential!  Pardon my excitement here.  If price dips from here, I will be looking to add more.

My 2 cents.

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01-28-2014 Trading Journal

Market had a bounce today!

SPY_Daily

See how the green bar today closed above the 79 & 89 MA lines with the blue support line right below the 89 MA line?   Giving the after hour SP500 is currently up 9.70 points, we are looking good for a continuing rally from here.

Well guess what… most of my positions were bouncing up today as well.

$LRAD landed a $4 million deal that helped price rally up today.

LRAD_daily

As you can see on the daily chart above, price closed solidly above the consolidation range.  Let’s see if it can take off from here.  All we need is a few more million dollars deal with other countries and $LRAD is on its way to $3 buck.  Btw, due to my large position in $LRAD in term of shares volume, today price action has brought $LRAD back to the top in my portfolio in term of dollar size.  $KNDI, due to its recent correction, is now back to second place.

$KNDI also bounced back inside the consolidation range which was what I was expecting.

KNDI_daily

I like to see price climbs back up to the upper range of the consolidation range and takes off from there.  If there is any news regarding another big city coming on board with $KNDI car sharing program, price will take out the recent high in a NY minute.

$SEED and $CERS bounced some as well while $KGJI and $TINY were neutral.

It was really too bad I didn’t get cash released today ’cause I would have jumped right back into $GALE at the open.  I considered today a waste of an opportunity.  Oh well…

Overall, my portfolio had a nice bounce today.

Current holdings:

LRAD, KNDI, SEED, KGJI, CERS, TINY and 13% cash.

My 2 cents.

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01-27-2014 Trading Journal

The market was down today but settled right on the major support areas.

SPY_Daily

See how the price closed directly on the blue support line and the 79 & 89 MA lines?  If price bounces from here, there is a good chance we are going back up.

$GALE traded below Friday low and I sold to take my small losses.  Good thing I did ’cause price fell apart after I sold.

Gale_daily

See how price bounces off the support (blue line) near  $4.7x area?  I’m definitely looking to buy back at the low $5 area when cash is free up.

$KNDI continued to correct but somehow I wasn’t worried at all.

KNDI_daily

Price did bounce off the $11 support.  If you look at the chart, price closed only a bit below the consolidation range.  I can see it climbs back into the range tomorrow or later this week.  Still holding long and strong.

$KGJI was the shining star today when everyone else were down.

KGJI_daily

Price actually closed back above the support line which was encouraging.

$ATOS could not continue the rally so I’m going to have to keep an eye on this one.

atos_daily

Price closed right on the 15 MA line.  Since I did not spend too much time on research $ATOS, my conviction is not solid; thus, If price takes out Friday low, I may have to cut and run.

Currently, I’ve three positions that I will not attempt to market-time (aka swing trade); $LRAD, $KNDI, and $KGJI.  I’ve absolutely full conviction on this three stocks for long-term gain so I’m not going to trade these.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, KGJI, ATOS, CERS, TINY and 7% cash.

Worthy to mention:

$PHOT, against the herd, climbed higher today!

phot_daily

My 2 cents.

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01-24-2014 Trading Journal

Well, the market finally had its big down day for 2014.  It was not really a surprise but it is still too early to call this a trend reversal.

SPY_Daily

Notice how the support (blue line) and the 79 & 89 MA lines are joining together in the 177 $ 178 range.  This areas are a major support and if it is breached, then this is something we’ve to take into consideration regarding the possible trend reversal.  But for now, let’s see if price will bounce next week.

My portfolio was also taking a hit due to the continuing downdraft of $KNDI.  Being my largest position, I’ve to take the heat of any correction that comes with it (for now, they are mostly give back of unrealized gain). Size cuts both way so I’m not going to complain because I know that when the trend resumes, the size will carry the portfolio much higher as well.

KNDI_daily

Notice that price is still trading inside the consolidation range.  Did you also see that the lower range of the consolidation area is also coincide with the 38% fib retracement?  These are major support I’ve to keep any eye on.

Considering the huge down day, I thought $LRAD was holding very well.

LRAD_daily

$LRAD formed a doji bar which could be a possible pause before the bounce back higher.  Price still closed above the 15 MA line.  What I really like to see is that $LRAD takes over from here to carry my portfolio while $KNDI and other positions are going thru their consolidating phases.

$SEED also had a big correction that took back a chunk of my unrealized gain.

seed_daily

Since the decision regarding the two GM seeds has not been announced yet from China, I see this as only a temporary situation. Notice that price is still trading above the 15 MA line support.

$KGJI, like everyone else, also corrected and dipped back down below the support.

KGJI_daily

Again, price also closed above the 15 MA line.  Although it is a bearish engulfment bar, let’s see if price can bounce next week to invalidate the bearish stance.

I bought back $GALE with the free cash to “buy the blood” as the saying goes.

Gale_daily

While price closed below my entry point, price stopped at the 50% fib retracement point.  Let’s see if it can bounce next week.  I bought back in $GALE because of $INSY’s price action.  I was amazed at $INSY ability to bounce back from its previous gap-down ’cause $INSY major revenues stream is their Fentanyl drug for breakthrough pain.  I’m the believer that $GALE’s own Abstral (Fentanyl) will have a positive surprise in their next earning reports.  Thus, I’m willing to buy back $GALE at this level.

The secondary offering of $ATOS offered me an opportunity to initiate position as a steep discount.  I read about $ATOS from The Fly’s post but thought it was too late to buy and I wasn’t going to chase it due to my limit knowledge of this company.  I didn’t spend a lot of time to research ’cause most of my money was tied up at the time.  Now, that I got free cash and price had come back down due to the secondary offering, I was willing to take my chance from this level.  $ATOS has a story ’cause it allows women to perform a preliminary screening on their own before scheduling for a mammogram.  Just imaging a woman finding a very tiny lump on her breast.  The worry begins but not intense enough to call the doctor yet.  “It could be a benign cyst… Let me check it out first with $ATOS product…”  See where I’m going here?

atos_daily

Anyway, I bought at the open when price was trading b/w $2.40 and $2.45.  By looking at the chart, price is still trading above the 15 MA line as well as the 79 line.  This secondary offering reminded me of $GALE, who had a similar reaction after its secondary offering; but $GALE recovered completely from it and headed much higher later on.  Let’s see if $ATOS can do the same.

With the free cash, I also bought back some $CERS I sold last week to buy back $TINY.

CERS_daily

Notice that price is now trading right at the 79 & 89 MA lines support.  Let’s see if it can bounce from here.

I bought back $TINY last week ’cause I do not want to be without this stock in my portfolio.  For some reason, I believe 2014 is the year for $TINY.  Nanotechnology is the future and $TINY has some private investments in this field.  You will never know when one of its investment will get a wake up call overnight; so I want to have a position before that happen (if it happens at all).

TINY_daily

Price is down like all others and yet is is still trading around support at all MA lines.

Currently, I’m back to 100% speculated and my portfolio is now at the mercy of the overall market condition.  It market bounces next week, I’ll be fine; if not, it will be a tough storm ahead for me.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, KGJI, GALE, ATOS, CERS, TINY (fully speculated).

My 2 cents.

A quick note on $PHOT.

phot_daily

Price bounces back from recent correction and so are most of the cannabis stocks.  I believe the trend will continue upward now that the initial profit taking has winded down.

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01-23-2014 Trading Journal

There was no doubt that the market took a tumbling today.  Will it continue tomorrow?  I dunno.  However, a bounce will put a brake to the slide and cushion for next week.  A further slide may trigger panic sellers and start a self-fulfilling prophecy of a downdraft.

Needless to say, I took a bath on $KNDI today.  When price dropped below $13, I was SO tempted to dump my shares as well to lock in profit.  “Remember $LNG!  Remember $CLDX!”  I hollered to my mind which was getting more antsy by the minutes.  And to add more effect, I yelled to myself, “And your timing suck!  Go ahead, sell and you would end up chasing it all the way back above $13!”

It worked!  I did not sell my $KNDI shares and price did close above $13 after the panic drop to $12.60.

However, I did sell 50% of $CERS position to raise cash to buy back $TINY.  For some reason, I do not want to be without this stock.  I can sense something is up with this stock.

Other than that, I just sat tight all day.  Hopefully, some of the 15% of my cash should free up tomorrow from the three days settlement that I can buy back some $GALE and others.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, KGJI, CERS, TINY and 15% cash.

diary_photo

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01-22-2014 Trading Journal

Another uneventful day at the market, a slight dip at the DOW with a tiny bump on the SP500.

Not much happening except that I got out of $GALE in the morning when price did not bounce as expected.  There were still too much selling pressure.  Since I bought $GALE yesterday, cash again was tied up in the three day settlement.  Now, I’m sitting on 13% cash that I cannot use until they are release in another day or two.

Meanwhile, upswing on $KNDI and $KGJI saved the day.  My portfolio bounced back up today.

$KGJI finally closed high above the resistance line of $1.85.

KGJI_daily

Now, I like to see it takes out $2.00 soon.

$KNDI’s bounce today put a stop to the downward slide of the last three days.

KNDI_daily

From the look of the daily chart, it sure looks like it will bounce back above the consolidation area soon.

I’m now down to only five positions after clearing out of $GALE, $AMRN, $XONE, $TINY. I’ll looking to buy back $TINY when fund becomes available.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, CERS, KGJI and 13% cash.

My 2 cents.

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01-21-2014 Trading Journal

Although the DOW was down slightly, The SP500 was up a bit; so I called it a neutral day once again.

Well, FDA gave $AMRN another kick on the butt and once more, $AMRN took a tumbling.  What I don’t understand is why go thru the “delay” just to say no at the end?  Why not just say no on Dec 20th, or Jan 15th?  Funny thing was that I actually pulled out of my speculation on Jan 14th but decided to jump back in on the 15th simply because of strong price action that day.  Needless to day, I sold my shares when price bounced back up to $1.76 area after the open.  What made this time not so bad was that I went back in at $1.64 before the rally to the 15th and made some money before the FDA rejection.  This mean I only gave back the recent gain.  My accumulated losses on $AMRN had not worsen.  I believe I can move on from here.  Adios to $AMRN.

Today I had a bad case of bad timing… after I got out of $AMRN, I decided to jump back on $GALE.  I was surprised there were no sell-off last Friday after Cramer told everyone to ring in their profit.  So, when price opened higher, I bought back some shares.  Then with the free cash from $AMRN, I added more when price dropped a bit below $7.

Bang!

That was the sound of broken dam.. and the water gushed out of the $GALE money reservoir so fast that by the time I checked my portfolio, I was in a state of shock.  Luckily, immediately my mental stop kicked in and I got out pronto to take my losses.  As price continued to tumble down, I had to go away somewhere.  By the time I got back, price had recovered from the low of $5.7x.  Without cash to buy back some, I decided to sell my $GOGO position to do so.  Bad idea!

Anyway, I bought back 70% of $GALE position and gave up the opportunity of making money with $GOGO.  Now, I’m stuck with another three days for the cash to settle from the sales of $GALE from the morning buy.

In summary, my portfolio took a bit of a tumble from three attacks: $AMRN, $KNDI, and $GALE.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, CERS, KGJI, GALE and 8% cash.

My 2 cents.

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01-17-2014 Trading Journal with emphasis on $SEED

Market had a mixed signals on Friday with the DOW up 42 points while the SP500 was down slightly.

Meanwhile, I was busy planting $SEED in my portfolio looking for strong growth in 2014.

I first came upon $SEED from a post from the The Fly,  I was intrigued by $SEED immediately when I saw the post.  It was as though $SEED was embedded with an alert signal for my eyes only.   At the time, my portfolio was already fully speculated and was also gaining ground in upward momentum.  Thus, I placed $SEED in my mental watchlist and moved on.

Recently, after taking profit from $GALE and $AMRN, I decided to look at $SEED again and was pleasantly surprised to see $SEED was in the beginning stage of bouncing off the 79 & 89 MA lines.  In other words, I saw the first green bar near the 79 & 89 support lines after five consecutive red bars.  The time couldn’t be more perfect.  I began to build my position on $SEED.

What is so special about $SEED?

Genetically modified (GM) seed is why I like it.

What tickled me the most was the below excerpt from $SEED website (underlined is my own emphasis):

Latest Updates on Corn Seed Biotechnology

GMO Corn Seed – Origin’s genetically modified phytase corn was the first GM corn seed which passed five phases of the GM approval process and received notification of Bio-Safety Certificate. Origin has further incorporated phytase traits into two of its best-selling commercial corn hybrids. Commercialization of these two corn hybrids is pending approval from the Chinese government.”

Based on my limited research, it seemed to me that China has only begun opening the door (cautiously) to genetically modified seeds giving that $SEED is still a microcap company with only $77.30 million in revenues for fiscal year 2013.  Upon further readings, I also found out that China has issues with GM seeds that came from outside China.  This tells me that protectionism is necessary for safety reason when it comes to GM seeds.  This also open my eyes to the possibility of $SEED since GM seeds from Monsanto Company ($MON) does not necessary have an advantage in China.

Recent news such as What Does Ukraine Stand to Gain from Farming Deal with China?” also added to the seriousness that China has on their food supply.

Will $SEED becomes China’s own Monsanto?

This is a speculation that I’m willing to risk some money on.

The way I see it, $SEED needs to show proof that their GM seeds are safe in China’s own safety standard.

We will soon find out when China makes the decision on granting approval to $SEED’s two corn hybrids for commercialization.

In a manner of speaking, the risk in $SEED is no difference from the risk of a biotech company waiting FDA approval on their new drug.

Chartwise, Friday huge volume reflected favorable sentiment and appetite for risk.

seed_daily

Price “may” continue to rally to take out the Jan 7th high of $2.94 in anticipation of possible approval.  On Friday, I added more $SEED by relocating funds from my $TINY position to $SEED.  Currently, $SEED is my third largest position in my portfolio.  I may adjust my position size on $SEED accordingly to my risk assessment in the next few weeks.

Asides from a nice run-up on $SEED on Friday, $LRAD also had a breakout day with higher volume.

LRAD_daily

As you can see on the daily chart above, price finally broke out of the two months long consolidation and closed above this consolidation.  I’m not surprised since I’ve been patiently waiting for this to happen.  I’m seeing a lot of potential in $LRAD’s mass-notification market with their new technology.

While $KNDI is currently the largest position in my portfolio, it won’t take that much for $LRAD to reclaim its top position since the number of shares I’ve in $LRAD eclipses my $KNDI share count.  Any serious rally on $LRAD will easily propel my portfolio to higher ground percentagewise.

Thanks to $SEED and $LRAD, my portfolio continued to head higher despite another correction on $KNDI.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, SEED, CERS, KGJI, GOGO, AMRN and 5% cash.

My 2 cents.

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01-16-2014 Trading Journal

The market had a small correction today which wasn’t much of a correction.

I didn’t do much today but to watch the roller coaster price action of $KNDI which had a wide dollar swing all day.

KNDI_daily

Notice that price came back down to the top range of the consolidation area.  This may just be a needed minor correction before price takes off from here.  Thus, I’m still holding firm.

I wanted to buy back $GALE but money was still locked up in three days settlement; but giving the after hour dumping of $GALE, it looked like I didn’t miss much.

$CERS and $KGJI corrected some more today so patience is required.

Although $AMRN was down, it did not get dumped which was good.  Many probably believe that a delay is much better than a solid no.  There may still be hope.

$GOGO, $LRAD, $SEED, and $TINY had a positive day but still not enough to counter the negative impact of $KNDI, $CERS, $AMRN and $KGJI; thus, my portfolio had a minor correction today as well.

Current holdings:

KNDI, LRAD, CERS, KGJI, SEED, GOGO, AMRN, TINY and 5% cash.

My 2 cents.

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