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Monthly Archives: July 2014

07-30-2014 Trading Journal

The bear paws were big and ugly, tried as it might to push the bull underwater, the horn of the bull could be seen splashing water while fighting to free from the bear paws..  By the closing, the bull head could be seen above the water smoking a cigar while the bear was napping from exhaustion.

SPY_Daily

Due to the long tail, I say the bull has a good chance to regaining some more ground tomorrow.

Today was a bright day for me.  $HYGS continued to shine over my port.  As expected, investors like what they’ve heard on the earnings conference call.  I believe $HYGS is currently trading at the bottom relative to future price trend.  It doesn’t matter it is $22 or $24, we are still at the bottom.  Imagine five years later when 10% of the country is driving fuel-cell cars or that 20% of the power-grid is hooked up to power-to-gas hydrogen storage system around the globe.  Are you seeing the picture here?   Remember how long it took 3D printing technology to become relevant to investors’ mindset?  Well, I believe the time has come for fuel cell technology to become relevant in our near future.

HYGS_daily

See how price closed slightly above the $23 resistance.  I like to see price traded above $23 going forward to maintain the bull stance.  However, I won’t hold my breath for it.  Giving its low float status, price will trend up in a wavy manner like a guy running in zig-zag to avoid getting hit by flying arrows.

$DMRC continued in forming a U-shape curve back to the upside.

DMRC_daily

However, I like to see price get back above the support line as soon as possible.

$AMRN broke out of its small symmetrical triangle.

AMRN_daily

I like to see price head back above the 89 MA line.

Today, four stocks were up with three down slightly.  Thanks to a big part in $HYGS, my port gained 1.9%.  YTD losses is now 0.9%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

From my other account:

I bought $KNDI for a trade and added more later in the day.  I’m still holding my position as of now.  I like the idea of On-street EV charging/Parking stations since they are much easier to build out comparing to the EV car-sharing garage.  Having the City to allocate the street parking for the EV charging spaces is much easier than negotiating limited land space to build out garages.  In fact, having on-street charging is very similar to the immensely popular bicycle sharing program in China.

My 2 cents.

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07-29-2014 Trading Journal

Market succumbed to the bear pressure and went down today.

SPY_Daily

While the overall trend is still up, today down day penetrated the current short-term uptrend line that started from April 11th.  While this minor dip may not mean anything for now, we will need to watch the future price action carefully.  If price can climb back above the uptrend line, the bull is still in charge.  If this short-term uptrend line cannot hold, then the next support is the support line around $SPY 195.  After that, the 79 & 89 MA support line at around 193.

Today, four of my stocks were up while three were down.  $HYGS took out Friday high but gave back gain to close a bit lower due to earning update tomorrow.  Where price heads next will depend on tomorrow earning guidance.  Since I’m bullish in hydrogen fuel cell technology from $HGYS, I’m holding this stock for long-term despite earnings announcement tomorrow.

$DMRC bounced slightly but I take it as further support at Fib 61.8% retracement.

$ORBC and $AMRN bounced nicely to reflect potential bullish stance.

ORBC_daily

Notice that $ORBC is bouncing off the support line.

AMRN_daily

While $AMRN today bounce may be a prelude to breakout of the small symmetrical triangle.

Thanks to $LRAD partial recovery today along with three other positive up stocks, my port was able to gain back 0.6%.  YTD losses is now 2.8%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

My 2 cents.

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07-28-2014 Trading Journal

Market traded lower after open but made a gallant effort to climb back to positive territory to close.

SPY_Daily

Price is now at the resistance point again. If market takes out today high tomorrow, it will also take out the resistance as well.  Let see if it can do it.

My port was subjected to quite a bit of volatility today due to wide swing in $HYGS.  But what matter is how it is closed by the end of the day.HYGS_daily $HYGS closed near the high of today trading range which was a positive sign even though it was down for the day.

As far as the chart is concerned, it is still very bullish in my book.  It is my opinion that the development of business progress and the technical signs in the chart are in perfect harmony with each other at the moment. July 30th earnings update will decide if this harmony continues onward.

$DMRC had a small bounce today despite a negative early start.

DMRC_daily

If you look carefully on the chart, you will notice that today price bounced off the Fib 61.8% retracement line.  It is possible that price may begin to climb back up from here.

$STV, $KGJI, and $AMRN all bounced nicely today. Unfortunately, $LRAD, being my largest position, did not do well today.  Thus it dragged my port down by 0.5%  despite some bounces and recovery for the day.  YTD losses is now 3.4%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

My 2 cents.

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07-25-2014 Trading Journal

Market had its correction for the week.

SPY_Daily

It was still a healthy correction with price closing above the 15 MA line.  The bear tried to push it down further but could not overcome the bull resiliency.

The winner of the day in my port is $HYGS. Price went ballistic and rallied 17.6% for the day.

HYGS_daily

With today rally, price took out the $20 as well as the 79 & 89 MA resistances.  The chart is very bullish with the next resistance being $23 established in early May.  Once that resistance is taking out, next resistance is at $28.75 established in late March.  Yes, it won’t be a straight line going up; however, positive earnings outlook coming soon in July 30th may propel price to take out these resistances easily.  I’m holding thru earnings, of course.

Fundamentally speaking, for those who are curious about today price rally, Hydrogenics has proven itself to be leader in Power-to-Gas energy storage system by being selected as a Preferred Respondent by the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO) for Ontario in its procurement for Grid Energy Storage.  On top of this project, Hydrogenics “have already experienced the positive impact of having a highly visible reference site with E.ON in Germany” (excerpt from article in above link).

Power-to-Gas is one of Hydrogenics main products and solutions being offered.  And this part of the business has only just begun.  As more and more cities and countries begin to see the validity of the Power-to-Gas energy storage concept, Hydrogencis will be getting calls.  Here is the beauty of Hydrogenics Power-to-Gas energy storage system, “it integrates renewable sources of generation, converts surplus electricity to produce hydrogen or renewable gas, and leverages the attributes of the existing natural gas infrastructure.”

Now, you know why I’m holding this one for a long-long time.  $HYGS is my make-up for the missed $LNG trade in which I bought at $3 and sold at around $7 or $8 and missed the whole ride to current $75+.

I was fortunate to have $HYGS spectacular rally today ’cause my other six stocks were down along with the general market with $DMRC leading the charge.  Hence, my port was down only 0.3% and YTD losses is at 2.9%.

Like I said, all I need is a minimum of one of the seven stocks to have a knock-out rally before year-end to give me a positive year.  We still have the five months before the year is up.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated).

From my other account:

I daytraded $KNDI today with a small gain.  While I originally bought for a longer-term hold, I changed my mind when I saw my gain becoming smaller in late afternoon.

My 2 cents.

 

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07-24-2014 Trading Journal

Market was practically neutral for the day.

SPY_Daily

Although a new high was attempted during the day. If tomorrow remain neutral or better, we will end the week with a solid weekly up bar.

$DMRC bounced well with higher than average volume.

DMRC_daily

Price is now back above the weekly support line.  With continued strong interest in the Digimarc barcode system by the top retailers in the country, price has a good chance of going up from here.

$HYGS also rallied hard today.

HYGS_daily

Price is now back on the uptrend line.  When price takes out the $20 resistance line, $HYGS will be moving much higher.

While $DMRC and $HYGS were the only two stocks that went up today, price gains were more than enough to offset the negative closings of the five other stocks.  Hence, my port gained back 1% and YTD losses is now at 2.6%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

From my other account:

Since I don’t have any cannabis stocks, I bought some smaller position size of $LRAD, $AMRN, $KGJI, and $DMRC for this account.

My 2 cents.

 

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07-23-2014 Trading Journal

Market opened higher and stayed high all day.

SPY_Daily

The resistance has finally been breached.

$DMRC continued to close lower due to more weak hands getting out before the earnings update after the close.

Well, guess what?

From the conference call, I’m quite satisfied with the progress on the Digimarc barcode front.  One of the Top Five retailer is looking very close to the Digimarc barcode system.  Amazon Firefly is expressing interest in Digimarc IP.  In other words, I don’t care where price is going tomorrow, I’m holding my shares with full conviction. If price gain does not happen in 2014 for $DMRC, I’m sure 2015 will be the year for it.

Since I’ve two stocks that closed positive, my port gave back only 0.6%.  YTD losses is now 3.6%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

From my other accounts:

A bearish SeekingAlpha article came out so I sold my shares when prices bounced back above 0.05 to cut losses.  Without the license, $FITX is very vulnerable from any bearish attack due to the high market cap.  Thus, I’m only getting out of the way here.

My 2 cents.

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07-22-2014 Trading Journal

Market kicked the bear down the stairway and continued on higher…

SPY_Daily

For now, the bull have the rest of the week to figure out how to take out the resistance that’s been stopping its advance.

Meanwhile, six of my seven stocks went up today.  $HYGS was fantastic in the day but gave back all gain by closing bell.

$AMRN led the gain with a nice bounce on the chart.

AMRN_daily

If this bounce takes hold and begin a new trend up, it will be the 3rd wave of the Elliott Wave theory.  And the 3rd wave is usually the longest wave of the 5 waves pattern.  I expect this 3rd wave will exceed the Jan high of $2.75.  If FDA changes its heart and approves the label expansion of Vascepa, then this will be one of the longest 3 waves in the history of stock charts.

$STV continued to inch higher.

STV_daily

So far, it is trading in the middle of the consolidation range.  Did you notice that the 5 MA is about the cross-over the 15 MA line?

$KGJI bounced well today.

KGJI_daily

Price is now over the 79 MA line. I see somebodies are finally taking notice that $KGJI is an undervalued “gold nugget” that is waiting to be appreciated.

$DMRC bounced nicely during the day but gave back gain by closing bell. All the weak hands practically left the party before the earnings update tomorrow.  I’m still holding my ticket to the party and is looking forward to have a happy time.  Let’s see if that is the case tomorrow.

Yesterday, i mentioned that the thought of holding $KNDI thru the drawdown was a better deal than my current $DMRC dilemma.  However, looking at the math, it really wasn’t.  To hold $KNDI from $18.5x (from where I took profit) to under $11.00 would involve sitting thru a drawdown of 42% from $18.50 and 52% from the high of $22.4.  Meanwhile, I’m only sitting on a 23% drawdown on my $DMRC position.  That number will change for better or worse after tomorrow update.  It is only from the hindsight of $KNDI recent rally that it “looked” better.  Well, all these number crunching were just to put my perspective back in place.

Thanks for $AMRN leading the gain, my port gained back 1.2% for the day.  YTD losses is now at 3%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

From my other account:

Still waiting for Health Canada response while $FITX position is taking in water…

My 2 cents.

 

 

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07-21-2014 Trading Journal

Market gapped down, traded lower and then spent the rest of the day climbing back up.

SPY_Daily

While it still closed lower for the day, I’ve to give the bull credit for fighting the bear bad breath to recover a chunk of the losses.

What more can I say?  While four of my stocks were up for the day, they were not enough to offset the continued avalanche of $DMRC.

DMRC_weekly

The only comfort I could see on the weekly chart above is that price is trading to the 89 MA and March 2013 support level.  I’m feeling like a fool holding the bag for now; but let’s see what Wednesday update has to say before I declare myself a bagholder for $DMRC.

The irony of my $DMRC ordeal is that while I traded out of $KNDI correction from $22 to $11.xx by getting out of $18.5x, I put myself back into the same dilemma with $DMRC.  Hindsightwise, it would have been wiser to just hang onto $KNDI thru thick and thin since $KNDI has rallied back in space.  Now, I like to see $DMRC do the same as $KNDI.  We just have to see if retailers are biting the Digimarc barcode system.

To look from a positive angle, I’ve seven stocks in the port, all I need is at least one to hit a knock-out rally and I can still have a good year despite $DMRC “current” correction.

Due to $DMRC steep decline, my port gave back 1.1% today.  YTD losses is now 4.2%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated).

From my other account:

$FITX gave back some gain from last week due to no news from Health Canada.

My 2 cents.

 

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07-18-2014 Trading Journal

The market bounced back like a spring that didn’t appreciated being pushed down by the hand of the bear.

SPY_Daily

Up and away it went all day.

With such as strong bounce, all my positions except $KGJI rallied back some.

$DMRC bounced back from support that was March 3rd’s low.

DMRC_daily

If it bounces from here, then price is trading in the consolidation range until we hear update next Wednesday.

$HYGS found strength in mid-day to rally persistently till closing bell.

HYGS_daily

From the chart, supports established from beginning of June seems to hold well.  I expect this stock to be nothing but volatile due to the tiny float; thus I’m content to just watch this little “sapling” I’ve planted in my backyard to grow.

Have you ever planted a young tree and then after many years when you “remember” to pay attention, you exclaim, “Mother of tree!  Ain’t you such a giant!”

I believe the timing is ripe for hydrogen fuel cell to make major inroad to the electric vehicle industry.  Check this out:

Cost and availability

Beginning in 2015, major automakers will introduce fuel cell electric vehicles to the commercial market in California and other parts of the world, most likely in Germany, Japan, Korea and the Scandinavian countries. Sales prices for these FCEVs have not been announced. Two automakers currently lease vehicles in Southern California and others are in fleet programs. In addition, three transit agencies across the state operate fuel cell electric buses. [Learn more]

Now, check out the California road map on FCEVs.

Not to mention the multiple way to harness the power of hydrogen fuel cell, with power back-up as an important utility.

No, I’m not going to let market volatility steals my shares.  I’m holding on to it thru thick and thin, like I’m doing with $DMRC and $LRAD.

$LRAD bounced some today.

LRAD_daily

Price is still trading at the upper part of the consolidation range.

$AMRN and $ORBC bounced some while $STV continued to close slightly higher.

Thanks to today gain from six of my seven stocks, my port gained back 1.8%.  YTD loss is now at 3.1%.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, HYGS, STV, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated)

From my other account:

I added to $FITX and it managed to close near even for the day.

My 2 cents.

 

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07-17-2014 Trading Journal

It was a sad sad day not because the market traded down but because of the needless dead in the shoot-down of the Malaysia airline.  What happened to fighter jets escorting you back to your own route?  Wait, did that happen only in the movies?

SPY_Daily

From the chart, the resistance from previous high proved to be very formidable.  There is a support from recent low.  If that support holds, we are back to a trading range.

Needless to day, I took a blood bath with my positions with $LRAD, $DMRC, and $HYGS leading the spillage. Both $DMRC and $HYGS are super low-floated stocks, so they tended to be super-sensitive.  $LRAD was simply too illiquid to defend itself.   Surprisingly, $STV was trading strong today and still closed higher for the day albeit giving back some gain.  $KGJI was also closing up.

With only two stocks up for the day, they were no match for the avalanches of the other five stocks.  Thus, my port gave up another 2.2% for the day.  YTD loss is now 4.9%.

Despite today bloodbath, I actually didn’t feel that bad.  For I know that the seven stocks in my port have the potential to make history in the next few years.  So, I’m just going to sit and wait out the drawdown instead of trading in and out like I used to do.  There are always potential for a sudden spike-up in my positions so I’m not too worried yet.

Current holdings:

LRAD, DMRC, STV, HYGS, KGJI, ORBC, AMRN (100% invested/speculated).

From my other account:

Surprisingly, $FITX didn’t come down like everyone; instead, it went higher.

My 2 cents.

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