Wednesday, December 7, 2016
Home / Stock Picks

Stock Picks

Tesla Recalls 7000 Charging Adapters; Shares Explode To The Upside

tesla-win

Silicon Valley’s gift to the bedraggled auto industry, Tesla Motors, a company fearlessly led by the venerable Elon Musk (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) is seeing its shares spike higher Wednesday after voluntarily recalling more than 7000 charging adapters.

Not interested in creating the lithium ion version the the Fiero, the company is proactively recalling charging adapters supplied to them 6-months ago by an outside firm.

(RTTNews.com) – Tesla Motors Inc. voluntarily recalled more than 7000 charging adapters. The company said these adapters of Nema 14-30, 10-30 and 6-50 are sold separately as accessories.

Earlier in November, two customers had complained about overheating issue of Nema 14-30 charging adapters. Tesla confirmed in its recall communication that there were no other similar incidents or reports of injuries or property damage.

Going above and beyond, and doing what is right for spaceship earth, the scientists at Tesla said they will recycle all returned materials.

Bless their hearts.

You are, all of you are witnessing how an organization can be run with a conscience.  This type of business drives short sellers insane because they’re hung up on present fundamentals in a world where fundamentals have been skirted and greatness is demanded.

Short sellers will burn for this.  There will be a witch hunt, driven by the appreciation of Tesla shares, that will see each one of these frog-like misanthropes held underwater to test if they are, in fact, witches.

In the meantime, let us give thanks to The Leader (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) on the momentous day.

Tomorrow isn’t promised.

Writer’s note: I am long of Tesla shares in US Dollars and will continue to accumulate more shares and often.  I also believe Elon Musk (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) is a living deity and will achieve intergalactic space travel.

Comments »

Tesla Shares Print The Dreaded ‘Inside Day’; Short Sellers Cower in Fear

People take cover during a shelling in a residential area in Donetsk's Kyibishevsky district, on January 30, 2015. AFP PHOTO / DOMINIQUE FAGET        (Photo credit should read DOMINIQUE FAGET/AFP/Getty Images)

Tesla motors, a company lead by honest Elon (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) and his team of scientists and engineers, saw its shares print what if affectionately known as an ‘inside day’ among the candlestick biologists.

This technical chart pattern has a scoville heat rating of about 150,000 and carries the potential to burn short sellers to a cinder:

tsla-cower

As TSLA shares bounce along their multi-year range low, and given this chart anomaly, it is my belief that short sellers will soon fall victim to the potent thrust of a tech stock on the loose.

Writer’s note: I am long TSLA stock and will continue to accumulate shares.  The duration of this holding will be determined by my offspring who will be tasked with handling the equity stake after I am cold and dead.

Comments »

Tesla Motors Rallies Off Key Support Level; JAT Capital Bullish on CNBC

tesla-tearingass

Tesla shares are up +3% Monday after coming into the week at a key support level.  Fueling the move, aside from natural order flow, is commentary from JAT Capital who said they are long America’s Greatest Technology Company during a CNBC appearance.

Despite male hedge fund manager Whitney Tilson, who is a full fledged Hillbot, taking a bearish stance on Tesla, and despite a 150 card slideshow from @Markbspiegel littered with news clippings of piecemeal competition lingering deep in the pipeline, the $150-175 price zone has been a wall:

tsladaily-12052016

Also of bullish note, Trip Chowdhry was out Monday with observations on Tesla after his recent factory checks.  Chowdhry reaffirmed his $385.00 price target and issued the following talking points:

Global Equities Research analyst Trip Chowdhry says that Tesla will easily reach its Q4 delivery goals.

“Tesla can easily deliver 25,000 Tesla vehicles in 4Q’2016 – the demand continues to outstrip the production,” Chowdhry explains.

Following Global Equities regular factory checks, Chowdhry expects a 50 percent Model S and 50 percent Model X production mix for Tesla in Q4. He believes this mix will be favorable for average selling price (ASP) on the quarter.

In addition, Chowdhry estimates that more that 90 percent of recent Model S shipments had the glass roof option and 60 percent had the AutoPilot 2.0 option, both of which are good news for ASP.

He reports that recent Tesla delivery truck activity “seemed more than 2X vs. last year.”

In Q4 2015, Tesla produced 14,037 vehicles.

Everything, including the droves of naysayers, points to good times for Elon (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) and his electric future company Tesla Motors as we head into 2017.

Never underestimate the value of being a first market mover.  The old guard is chasing while the scientists and engineers at Tesla play offense.

Also, the rumor going around Detroit is that right-side drive Tesla production needs to ramp up 10x.  Developing…

Comments »

Facebook Destroyed, Tech Dismantled as Fire and Brimstone Rain Down on The NASDAQ Exchange

burning-bull

The NASDAQ printed its second consecutive trend down Thursday as the final month of 2016 gets underway.

A broad swath of tech names were lower including Facebook which was down nearly -3% after Citi desk commentary highlighted 3 items potentially impacting the stock:

  1. Crowded Tech/Internet favorites and high beta names continue to unwind today
  2. Boutique research firm was out w/ negative data points yesterday (forecasting a deceleration in North American and European revenue growth, but estimates are in-line with the Street.
  3. Hearing mgmt has been out marketing last couple of days, but no takeaways yet.

Starbucks was doing fine all day but is being pillaged after hours on news that CEO Howard Schulz will step down (again).  Since he came back once and save the company, and since they made the fatal error of doubling down on their growth scheme in China, investors are dumping shares like tea party hooligans.  BEARISH EXTREMELY BEARISH for Starbucks.

chinasbux

The entire healthcare sector is in shambles as investors begin to accept and digest the outcome of American PresidentThe sector is down nearly -2% to start December with the biggest losses coming in DRUGS…the industry riddled with schemers gaming Obamacare for big time bucks.

schkerell

All of this mayhem, and more, started surfacing yesterday, we talked about the hows and whys (NASDAQ/RUSSELL leading lower, methodical nature of order flow, etc.) in this post and how it was likely to continue into today and Friday.

My conviction is even stronger, for weakness that is exasperated by Nonfarm Payroll to resolve in a rather horror show Friday for all you post-holiday gluttons to chew on.

 In summary, and with a modicum of joy for the return of volatility, NASDAQ and its components tell a tale of worse before better.

Bearish through the weekend then DEVELOPING…

 

Comments »

Quick Update: The GARP Portfolio Is Killing The S&P 500 By 3x

DORAL, FL - OCTOBER 23:  Republican presidential candidate Donald J. Trump attends a campaigns rally In Florida at the Trump National Doral on October 23, 2015 in Doral, Florida. Trump leads most polls in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.  (Photo by Johnny Louis/FilmMagic)

Yes, the GARP Portfolio inside Exodus was adjusted in Summer ’16, June to be specific, for a Donald Trump victory.  That means the 15 stocks inside the portfolio, selected for their reasonable pricing and potential for growth, were geared toward ‘Making America Great Again’ mainly by concentrating into domestic basic materials plays.

Politics aside, the stated purpose of iBankCoin is to create a place where the aggressive pursuit of happiness via egregious stock market winship is nourished.  Often times the biggest wins in business and investing come from a shift in power, changing laws, etc.

There is something to be said about shelving your emotions and objectively assessing the facts to position yourself to capitalize off change.  It is a mentality stoic practitioners exercise daily in hopes it will serve us well when it matters most.  Life is essentially a series of changes.  Nature itself is transient in nearly every aspect.  To resist is futile at best, fatal even.

GARP is up over 20% since the June adjustment, besting the S&P 500 more than three times over:

motif-post-thanksgiving

Soon an adjustment will be made to make the best of 2017.  So far, it’s shaping up to be a doozy.  We have the high probability of rate hikes paired with expensive housing, a new president, markets at all-time highs, bastard pipeline builders stretching their leaky pipe into the Missouri river, and Russians—so many Russians—prominently asserting their dominance on the world.

Are you ready for 2017?

You want to know where I see change coming?  Food prices.  Inflation is coming in a big way, in my opinion, and I intend to position myself to benefit from it.  Developing…

Comments »

Post Election Research Complete: Death To The Hoarder; Long Live Industry

signguy

Greetings from inside the machine.  I am happy to report all weekly maintenance has been completed and the learning machines inside Exodus are running smoothly.

You may not know this, but my work to produce Exodus Strategy Session also includes a series of internal audits to ensure all index and sector data is clean and accurate.  It’s the human touch that keeps robots running well.  As you transition into a robot overlord position, you will learn all about keeping their cold mechanical hearts pumping.

Model readings are neutral heading into the first full week under Premier President-elect Trump.  Last week was an emotional mess.  People who cannot comport themselves and behave with the steely logic of an opportunist and speculator are fucking up, and producing wholesale opportunities along the way.

One of the most interesting observations from this week’s Strategy Session is Industry Performance.  It tells a story this week of industrious people preparing to build great companies for our nation, while the hoarder of shiny metals was pigeonholed into their doomsday shelter:

11132016_industryperf

Meanwhile, there are so many moving parts and potential disruptions from our election, MASSIVE opportunities to disrupt archaic industries and make lots of money, and people are distracted.  They are taking their eye off the ball.  Don’t be like them, shut down the social media feeds and get to work.  TODAY, while the Christians are resting and the bumpkins are droning away with their American football.

Exodus members, the 105th Edition of Exodus Strategy Session is live.  There is a really good quote from George Soros, one of the most successful financial speculators of all-time.  Also, new members, if you want a live-demo with yours truly, shoot an email to vince@blacklightanalytics.com.  Send me TWO TIMES where you could spend 30 minutes on the phone and I do my best to confirm.

 

Comments »

Tesla Will Thrive Under President-elect Trump

ivanka-elon

Writer’s note: I am long TSLA and think Elon Musk (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) is a deity roaming the earth who will attain immortality and roam outer space.

Popular belief is often wrong.  With investing, the ‘obvious’ outcome is often flipped on its head.  Like selling off because Hillary Clinton, Wall Street’s candidate, lost.  It was an after hours blip, a modest gap down the following day, and subsequent rally.

One of the popular themes now is that alternative energy companies will be destroyed as Trump ushers in an era of coal and oil, casting a pea soup haze into the air of the United States.  And while he’s at it, Tesla will falter and its shares will collapse.

What people aren’t realizing is Elon (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) is the type of CEO who wakes up every day and does his job.  He doesn’t throw emo fits and blast out company-wide emails that alienate his workforce and customer base.  He puts on his big boy pants and builds electric cars.  And rockets.  And solar roofs.

It doesn’t matter what’s happening in Washington.  He’s a Hank Rearden reincarnate, without the selfish Ayn Rand hue.  And his constant innovation will result in products coming to market that people want AND which make sense economically.

Right now, the stock is trading at the low-end of its well-established range.  As good a place to invest in the most innovative company in the world as ever:

tesla-chart-post-election

Comments »

The FANG Trade Is Being Dismantled

fang-teth

Under President-elect Trump the globalist agenda of Google, Facebook, and Amazon will come under pressure.

Netflix not so much.

Nonetheless, these four stocks, members of the elite Wall Street FANG brigade, are trading sharply lower during early trade Thursday as investors rush to abandon the tech giants.

fang-perf-post-elect

Meanwhile the GARP portfolio, the semi-annually adjusted passive investment built by The Fly inside Exodus is performing swimmingly.  The June adjustment positioned the growth at a reasonable price book in anticipation of a Trump victory.

garp-perf-post-elect

A clear rotation is underway, out of extremely expensive internet stocks and into domestic basic material plays. Position accordingly.

 

Comments »

Banks Stage A Triumph for President-Elect Trump

triumph

Money centers are celebrating the country’s choice to elect a business man to run the White House.  The one day performance of banks is impressive.

Data courtesy of Exodus:

banks-perf-post-electino

Meanwhile US Treasuries are being dismantled as the central bank’s rake hike agenda is rapidly priced into the market:

tlt-post-election

Fed fund futures show a high probability of rate hikes at the December, February and March Fed decisions.

Investors have found a renewed faith in bankers post-election.  Their performance today is stunning.  Whether we see the rate hikes investors are pricing in over the next four months is TBD.

Comments »

Tesla To Limit Charging Station Use for Model 3 Owners

charge-station

Future owners of the Tesla Model 3, a vehicle developed by The Leader (all Praise and Glory to The Leader) and his team of scientists and engineers to make Tesla technology available to a wider audience, will not enjoy unlimited charges at Tesla supercharging stations.

The Model 3 is like a Ford Focus–produced barely at breakeven to expand the reach of the company.  For the economics to make sense, Tesla decided to encourage owners of the $35k car to charge at home.

“Tesla is positioning itself to be a mass-market car maker, it needed to start thinking about cutting costs,” said Efraim Levy, an analyst with CFRA.

“The decision is unlikely to affect well-heeled owners of the Model S sedan and Model X SUV, which start at $66,000 and $74,000. It could have some impact on those considering a Model 3 but it is unlikely to be a deciding factor on whether to buy the car,” Levy said.

The company is building an entire network of supercharging stations because unlike their ICE counterparts, an infrastructure doesn’t exist to fully support their vehicles.  By charging mass-market Model 3 users to ‘fuel up’ they also generate cash flow the company can use to expand their network.

The changes in the “economics” of charging “allow us to reinvest in the network, accelerate its growth and bring all owners, current and future, the best Supercharging experience,” Tesla said.

What you are witnessing is the slow birth of the first iPhone automobile.  Going forward, expect there to be many a la carte purchasing options avalible both from inside the car and at the supercharging stations.  Think App Store, but tangible and less meh.

Another wise move by The Leader (all Praise and Glory to The Leader).

 

Comments »