A Brief Overview of Exodus for Free Trial Loafers

Tomorrow I have appointments all throughout the morning. I intend to cough upon these people and make them gravely ill with whatever I’m afflicted with.

For supper, I believe that I ate some shrimp toast, a veggie taco, and maybe a dried fruit. Mostly, I’m sustaining off a bread and potato diet, becoming something of a fucking potato head in the process. I do not kid myself as to the dietary disadvantaged to being a very poor vegetarian/pescatarian. I do supplement my diet with a steady flow of gin, which has always proven to be somewhat effective in curing the pangs of starvation.

As of lately, however, whenever I drink, I begin to sweat profusely. I’m not talking about alcoholic cocktails, but plain water or coffee. I believe it’s time for me to go dry and refuse all fluids until this malady is cured. Perhaps I will visit the old Victorian Era doctor down the road for a little blood letting too — maybe affix some cold leeches to my face to energetically sap all of the ailments out from my body.

Exodus.

This is for the 100 or so free trials who are now inside the hallowed halls, trying to figure out how to use the software.

Think of it as a watch tower that you get sit in to view the market. Each stock is rated by fundamentals and technicals. I did micromanage some sectors, particularly in the commodity space, which makes them sensitive to actual commodity movements. A large drop in oil would have a deleterious effect on the intra day technicals of oil stocks, for example. There are two other grading factors that are less transparent: one dubbed The Fifth Column and another Sub Rosa. Both take traditional correlating metrics to stocks and sectors and rewards/punishes scores based on percentage change movements.

For example:

When treasuries move X amount on a year to date basis, historically speaking, it is bearish for stocks.

How do we make money using it?

You can sit back and wait for mean reversion signals to kick in. Here are today’s oversold stocks. Or, you can wait for an overall system OS, which has been very rare over the past year. Not much fun waiting around.

Here’s a screen I like to peruse.  I used to have something like this at an old firm on one of their trading systems and I loved it. Basically, it gauges momentum by % from the daily high. I added in industries, so you can sort through them at your preference. When the number of stocks in this screen increases, the market is being bought, and vice versa. This is a great way to determine where money is going in real time.

I digitized a certain look on a chart that I like, the long consolidation, about to break out.

You can find most of my favorite screens, as well as seasonality stuff on The Grid.

Inside The Pelican Room is where we have our very active community of traders, who share ideas throughout the day. That room used to be a separate service that we merged into Exodus, which was called 12631. It was a $150k per annum revenue stream that was all but canceled out for the benefit of Exodus users. I hope you appreciate this feature, fuckheads.

The User Notes section is the original denizen where PPTers used to converse. PPT was the original iteration of this service. There you will find old schoolers and people who like to leave detailed notes on certain stocks.

The Industry Page will show you 200+ industries and how they’re performing intra-day, and on the far right of the page, timeframes ranging from 1 day to 5 years. If you click on one of the industries, like Trucking, take a look at the “chart” — which is the hybrid scores of all of the trucking stocks aka predictive algos. Essentially, this is the OB/OS, customized over 200 industries.

There’s also valuation and seasonality tools  on an stock (AAPL), industry (diversified electronics), and sector (technology) level. You can use this data to see how your stock, industry, sector is valued by PE/PS/PB over the past decade, stacked up against peers and the market as a whole. This is an immensely useful tool for people interested in fundamentals.

Here’s Apple’s historical PS ratios. The visualizations are helpful, at least to me they are.

Per stock, we elegantly break down revenue and earnings streams, noted by the exact date when earnings were reported.

This is what taking over America looks like.

Naturally, there are thousands of ways to splice the screens, create baskets aka watch lists and all of this can be shared inside the community. Both community screens and baskets are public, so whenever someone creates something, they’re listed.

My quant positions are here.

My discretionary trades are here.

Inside of each user Profile, you can direct message another member — for private correspondence. We do not monitor that shit.

I keep a blog there, which I update on occasion — whenever I deem it necessary. If anyone has a special request for the Exodus blog, I am all ears.

When I was starting out in the business, back in 1997, I would’ve loved to have access to a platform like this. Instead, I literally slaved away on the Bloomberg terminal and Yahoo message boards for ideas and information. There isn’t a platform out there that is the holy grail. If they advertise themselves as such, you should ignore them. The point of any financial software tool is for it to be useful to you can possibly create value. I’ve made endless amounts of coin trading off the oversold signals alone, aside from the sundry of picks I’ve harvested from there, names that I never knew existed until I found them there.

I hope you enjoy your trial and my thoughts and prayers are with you, hoping that you overcome your indecorous freeloading ways and become an upstanding paying member of our burgeoning community of top hatted gents and ladies soon.

Does Proctor and Gamble think they’re going to beat Trian and Nelson Peltz?

The good folks at P&G do not want to give legendary investor, Nelson Peltz, a seat on their board. They’ve gone thru great lengths to rebuff him, even publishing an amazing 106 page retort to Peltz’s 94 page presentation, highlighting how great PG is and how dreadful a person Peltz is and will be for shareholders at the company. This is very amusing to watch from afar, as these two different brand of fucksticks battle it out.

“What’s dangerous is the way they’re acting and the way they’re running this company today,” Peltz said. “They’re overseeing a melting ice cube.”

All Nelson wants is a seat at the table. He’s made his suggestions known.

PG is trying to paint the picture that little old Nelson is ‘outdated’, dangerous and bereft of new ideas.

Nelson’s reply:

As for his disruption in gaining a board seat, Peltz said, “I’ll be one vote out of 12. How disruptive can I be?”

According to the PG report published earlier this week, Trian’s investments have trailed the S&P by 5%. After Trian announced they sold a position, one week later said shares beat the SPY by 0.3%. This is truly subjective horseshit. I mean look at this rubbish.

Over the past year, PG has lagged the S&P by 10%, and a staggering 33% over 5 years. No matter how their advisors at Goldman try to spin it, they haven’t been doing a good job for shareholders.

On the topic of advisors, PG has retained the services of Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Centerview and Lazard to fend off the Trian attack. This is truly fucktarded, spending anywhere from $35-$150 million against a person who’s proven to be an asset to the companies he takes an interest in (WEN, HNZ, MDLZ).

What is PG trying to hide?

This evening Trian responded to the PG report, claiming they made ‘more than 50 errors’ — misrepresenting their track record. They’re requesting those errors to be fixed.

Procter & Gamble: Trian (Nelson Peltz) says P&G’s Sept 19 presentation contains ‘significant number of material data errors, calculation errors and misrepresentations of Trian’s and Nelson Peltz’s track records’ (92.64 -1.76) “We are disappointed in the quality of the presentation that the Board and Management of Procter & Gamble released on September 19th, 2017 which is filled with a significant number of material data errors, calculation errors and misrepresentations of Trian’s and Nelson Peltz’s track records (we have identified more than 50 errors and misrepresentations to date). P&G has apparently tasked its army of advisors with discrediting Nelson Peltz and Trian, in order to redirect the conversation away from the real issues at hand — in particular P&G’s ongoing market share losses and bottom quartile shareholder returns. We feel it is necessary to ‘set the record straight’ as shareholders and other constituencies deserve to understand the level of P&G’s intellectual dishonesty we believe underlies this presentation. We would like P&G to correct these errors, but ultimately it is shareholders who must hold the Company accountable.”

Here’s PG’s real track record, sales declines every quarter since 2014.

I just got out of the shower, my third of the day. I hate to sweat, so whenever I do, I like to take a shower. On the matter of showers, I’ve had plenty of guests to my house over the years and I’ve never understood people who go to bed dirty, and rise bright and early to shower. You stupid fuckheads — you’re soiling your bed with your dirty bodies.

Anyone remotely serious about hygiene knows to shower at least twice per day, once at night and again in the morning. If forced to choose, the choice is simple — keep your bed clean and shower at night.

I shed about 1.25% today in my discretionary trades, a woeful display of investment acumen. I was bled out by FIZZ, OLED and others. I should not expect to recover said losses tomorrow, as I feel a wave coming and it’s geared to crash upon my head and ruin my weekend.

On the important matter of ‘dance orchestra’, who do you prefer: Al Bowlly, Ted Lewis or Ray Noble? Perhaps you’re into degenerate pop music and have no idea what I speak of. Maybe today I enlightened you to a better form of entertainment, other than the “hits” thrusted upon you by a bedraggled media.

My cough has taken on a baritone quality to it, which has perpetuated angst in House Fly — as I’ve become quite the burden. Do not worry, I am starving this fucking virus good and drinking lots of water bottles with vitamin c packets in it. I’ll be ready to play a game of croquet in no time at all.

It’s okay, we’re all gonna be him at some point, sans the fortune, power and stardom. As a point in fact, according to my genetic make up, I will be harangued by Alzheimers at some point in my life — with a 4x chance of receiving such a gift based on my DNA.

Warren Buffett has been bullish on stocks his entire life — and it has served him well. Finally, he’s gone too far. Not even Ramp Capital can take such bold statements seriously.

What did he meant that Dow 1 million is a pessimistic target? What sort of brainless fucktards does he take us for anyway? This is newsletter tier horseshit, from America’s most successful investor of all time. SAD!

Big deal, right? He’s been short TSLA for a few years now, stacking up the losses. Now, all of a sudden, he’s figured out that McDonald’s is doing well. What sort of rock has this man’s head been under?

I love it when these elitist try to take positions in eatery stocks that they’ve never dared to step into in real life. Chanos sees McDonald’s and Shake Shake and only acknowledges the numbers — not the distinct differences between the fare.

Nevertheless, he’s letting the world know his biases, short the American hammed burger. As a vegan/pescatarian, I applaud his efforts.

Source: CNBC

The “problem in the burger space, where we happen to have a number of shorts, is that the 800-pound Big Mac got better. McDonald’s righted the ship and has now reinvested aggressively in its restaurants, in its franchisees and upping the game for everybody else,” he said. The burger market “is a shrinking pie. When the big guy begins to take more of the shrinking pie that leaves a lot less for everybody else.”

The investor did not specify which companies he is short. He did say his firm is not short McDonald’s nor Shake Shack, but “everybody else pretty much is fair game” to bet against in the burger industry.

He explains…

“Because you can only increase as a franchiser, your revenues by increasing units, increasing same-store sales for which you get royalties, or increasing your royalty rate. The restaurants are struggling so you can’t increase the royalty rate. The reason why they are struggling is that same-store sales are declining, which means therefore to meet Wall Street’s sometimes lofty goals you have to increase unit openings …. which exacerbates the [negative] trends.”

My vegan lifestyle continues, slowly but steadily deprecating my bodily form of its muscles and vitality.

At the moment, I am eating a bagel as big as my head, topped off with some non-GMO margarine (essentially plastic) and some chives. My coffee isn’t exactly black, but it is without sugar. Over at Trader Joe’s, I discovered a coconut creme that pleases me. I don’t use it for the flavor, but to reduce the temperature and give it a better texture (wink, wink).

Last night’s dinner consisted of a bowl of lentil soup and carrots. Maybe tonight I’ll eat a few potatoes and some salad.

Truth be told, I do eat some fish, so I am not exactly a vegan. I’m more of a vegetarian and pride myself on looking into a deep bowl filled with bacon and declaring out loud for the rest of my non-vegan household to hear: “I shall never again eat this disgusting form of meat.”

Maybe I’m bored. Or, maybe I don’t want to eat hammed burgers for the rest of my life — like the lot of you disgusting pigs.

Moving on, I bought a little AAOI today and have been listening to the sweet sounds of a FUCKING VACUUM in my ears for the past two hours. For some reason, when the cleaning ladies come to do their job here, they keep the FUCKING VACUUM on the whole time. They’re probably using it as a ploy to distract me as they steal my jewelry.

Small caps are ripping, as per IWM. This market wants higher.

This is a recurring them, nowadays. You’re all getting accustomed to wild gyrations in the cryptos. Since the dips are often bought, seeing prices recover, the cryptofag community is getting pavlov’d into a false sense of security.

This is the endgame for Bitcoin, Ethereum and their ilk.

Very soon, you’ll be visiting the tombstones of your favorite ICOs, buried under the bodies of those killed speculating for its success. Just like in the days of the dot bomb, the end will be swift, unrelenting, and with malice.

At the moment, BTC is lower by 6.9%, ETH -6.8% and Bitcoin Cash -10.8%.

Total market capitalization of the crypto market now stands at $128 billion.

This is a potentially ruinous trade, the sort of trade that comes back to haunt you in your sleep. Quite frankly, I don’t give a fuck.

I want exposure to AWS — with leverage, as I am of the belief that AAOI is crushing the quarter and Amazon is stealing share with each passing day. The stock was recently at $70, after a frenetic ejaculation to the upside. Now that it has stabilized, I am going headlong into the pool — like a true caitiff.

I hate zelots. They’re always the first on line and the last to leave. Now we have total and complete assholes bogging down the tech sector, shorting it because they can — applying pressure to a seasonally susceptible sector that has gone haywire to the upside.

At the end of the day, all I really care about is whatever the fuck FIZZ and XIV are doing. By my last quotes, they’re doing just fine. I should not expect to enjoy any glamorous gains, however, having bought at the top of the range. To protect my downside, I’ll need to sell out of some of these fuckers quick and perhaps short something.

Or perhaps not, fucked face. Perhaps it is my manifest destiny to see this one out, to fully appreciate the grandeur of my genius. Maybe I’ll be believe in that and jog on into the sunset, naked, in tow with my goats.

Shorting the banks is a meaningless endeavor. Perhaps I should just short the god damned semiconductors — everyone’s favorite sector. Pardon my sardonic tone, as I’m currently plagued by a fucking cough that interrupts me every 10 seconds.

Here are today’s tech standouts, to the downside.

I’m feeling slightly better this morning, after taking a large amount of Nyquill last night before bed. I see stocks are lower, including my “revenge” stock, FEYE, which cost me millions back in 2014. I won’t let it slide much further and will likely need to take another L on this bastard son of a bitch.

The NASDAQ is lower by 34. Gold is getting demolished, off by 1.55%. Did you sign up yo OA’s boot camp? He nailed that trade.

Environmental firm, CCC, got bought out today for $21 — a 61% premium over yesterday’s close. Several biotech lottery tickets are up a bunch and ALB’s price target was raised at Jefferies, making all of the lithiumfags happy and content.

I sort of regret offering free Exodus trials last night, as I am manually doing it for all of you. I figured maybe 20-30 people would respond and I’d be able to do it at my leisure. Wrong. Over 100 hundred of you lurking bastards responded and I’ve been inundated with the trials. I’ll get to the balance of them soon, so be patient.