Risk is Indelibly On

I took the morning off after slam dunking the sports ball into the hoop. I stand before you stoic, a statue of excellence +227bps. I am in a 100% cash position for my trading, as I gaze at meme stocks jerking higher. It is a RISK ON environ and if you got caught short, you have only yourselves to blame. I did warn you.

Look here pal.

My portfolio is empty, just like your head. Do I get tired of doing this, boasting about my exploits after so many years doing this? Absolutely not. This is like my first day blogging, demonstrating my YTD returns of +55% against the backdrop of your refusal to accept your own stupidity.

DO NOT WORRY — things can still turn around for you. The fastest way to do that is to delegate, attach to me like a small chum fish on a white shark. I never lose and when I do lose it’s mostly on purpose just to feel something.

At any rate, I ought to head back to the olde coal mines again to jerk out another 50bps from this market. Or, perhaps I’ll take another 100bps. It all depends on how I feel and how much I want to make.

See you fuckers at the close.

I am not afraid — never have been. I leaned into the market with all of my vigor and leveraged the fuck up long 130% in stocks that have no business being in a portfolio of a gentleman. My portfolio beta stands at 2.16, which means at the onset of trading tomorrow I’ll either be richly rewarded and insufferable in victory, or miserably whipped at the gibbet — downtrodden and alone.

Either way, I’ve made sport of my avocation and made +128bps in flawless trading today — inspired, truthfully, by the pin action in BUY NOW AND PAY NEVER stalwart $AFRM. I do believe we are in a momentum oriented tape and I do believe this will extend into tomorrow’s trade. I cannot promise you anything more than that, in regards to the market.

As for me, I can promise you excellence on par with no one, the pinnacle of trading success. What this success has done for my life remains to be seen. I suppose I’ve made some money and some friends along the way. But that’s a subject matter for another day.

What’s important for today is for me to tell you that I deserve more, entitled even — gifts bestowed upon me by celestial powers, emblazoned ideas curated by the Gods placed directly into my head so I can come here now and talk shit to you. It’s all very amusing, if you think about it.

All trades are discussed and announced in real time inside the comforts of Stocklabs. Quit being catamites and join today, became the man your Father always wanted you to become — tall, rich, and strong.

Fucking off for now — ciao.

They just don’t go down. American culture, as pervasively toxic as it is is mirrored and parroted by most western nations and looked up to by many eastern people. Our military preserves the status quo and although the leadership class are inflicting punitive measures on its people by importing their replacements and attempting to dumb down the median IQ — stocks simply do not care.

See when you only view things through the prism of money, which many people do, societal degradation is easy to ignore. Hey, I’m doing well who care about Joe Blow in Ohio. The doomsayers will point to all of the things I just said and believe “collapse is imminent.” This is plain narcissism talking. We can have up stocks and societal collapse at the same damn time. In order to realize a crisis point we’d need to see the strains in the financial and consumer sectors — and we have just not endured enough looting to make that a reality.

Delinquencies for student loans, autos, homes, and general consumption just aren’t at levels to cause worry over. On top of that, inflation has abated and growth seem just fine, unfortunately. I’d love nothing more than to provide you with bad news — but the only bad news I have for you is that there isn’t any.

Let’s review three things:

A look at small cap, large cap trends — and tech scores of the biggest companies per sector in Stocklabs (supporting Le Fly is joining not reading this for free you miserly piece of shits).

Small caps: good

Large Caps: excellent

Tech scores range from 1 (terrible) to 5 (flawless) with 3+ being good.

MEDIAN MARKET CAPS OVER $10B

BASIC MATERIALS: 3.01
CONSUMER GOODS: 2.43
FINANCIALS: 2.84
HEALTHCARE: 1.6
INDUSTRIALS: 2.4
SERVICES 2.24
TECH 2.58
UTES 3.04

A cursory look here would suggest defensive areas of the market are leading. But this isn’t exactly true today.

Here is our proprietary volume delta screen, which measures volume by the minute pro-rated over 30 days to highlight spikes.

It seems, and I could always be proven wrong, things are just about to heat up now and bust loose. Look at those risk on names.

Hey gold is above $2,000 now, something the goldbugs have been waiting for since 2018. Well you finally made it, morons. Congrats.

Market response is limited today with a bias to the DOWNSIDE but I am not moved. I am unmoored in my obstinance and added to my longs, now 110% LEVERAGED LONG with a penchant for pain. Maybe if I lose some money today I’ll feel something and it can motivate me to do really great tomorrow.

Aw shucks — markets legged down just when I wrote that — penning me in down 75bps for the session. Breadth is 42% and there isn’t much to love early going. But come on now, give it an hour and we’ll be lifting up again — since we really can’t help it.

Before I go, here’s an interesting graphic for you to peruse.

Looking at that would lead anyone to guess we’re, at some point, doomed. But I rather like the idea of American supremacy, laying waste to everyone and all. I am finishing up a book now on Imperial Japan and it’s a terrible thing what we did to the Japanese, uneven combat against a literal death cult of people intent on dying in the war as opposed to winning it.

Don’t die in the market plebs — win in it.

I spent the day becoming what I hated most — a transgendered bull. I bought all sorts of stocks, cavorted amongst like minded folk — felt a sense of gratitude for Joe Biden for providing Americans with the “4th cheapest Thanksgiving meal on record” and felt genial to the broadcasters on CNBC spewing meaningless markets propaganda.

It suits me well, being very long and bullish. I reminds me of the olden days when I’d wake up, spring out from bed, and buy stocks until my fingers hurt. On sell offs I’d buy more, leverage into my accounts to the max and just sit and wait for markets to turn around and they always did. I was amply rewarded for my loyalty, except for the one time markets collapsed and never came back. For that, I zeroed the fuck out and went back to the poorhouse again to start anew.

But that isn’t going to happen this time, as I am much smarter, better equipped, seasoned even, to deal with the pangs of market volatility.

Some of my bearish colleagues are quite disturbed by my bullish ways and have attempted to intervene on my behalf. They tell me “Fly don’t be tricked. The market is going to crash suddenly and all will be lost.” When I hear this sort of rabble out from the mouths of morons, I feel a sense of gratitude for not being them.

I will do as I like when I prefer to do it.

At the end of the day, this is all very trivial for me — colossus waste of time. What am I achieving here? Trading stocks is akin to playing a video game and to be good at a video game isn’t exactly a life of achievement and honor. I am a mere speculator, second rate at best, squandered the best years of my life behind a computer in search of truth. The truth is — this is all fucking stupid retarded bullshit.

I makes the money. They takes the money. I makes more money. They takes more money. It’s a giant circle jerk of monumental proportions and yet I cannot stop doing it — most likely because it’s an addiction.

How wonderful.

Time to fuck off now. See you catamites tomorrow.

The US 10yr is down another 9bps. Natty and oil are crushing lower. The markets are not crashing. And, the dollar is down nearly 3% in the past month. All of this suggests a somewhat calm atmosphere for equity holders. I am sure there are many shoes to drop and are looming heavily in the balance. But we must admit when things looks good — otherwise our words lose meaning when things are truly bad.

I am 80% long into the close and optimistic for stocks to severe the heads of many bears. I have shifted my allegiance according to an evolutionary desire to survive. For those still mangled in their short positions waiting for resolution, just know that your sacrifice is appreciated and your cause was just. You’re just too stupid to figure out how to pivot; ergo, natural selection tossed you broadside.

Perhaps they were busy trying new marijuana blunts or sipping on some malted liquor whilst watching the foolsball game. But for whatever reason, retailers were spared the rope this BLACKENED FRIDAY WEEKEND, where companies like Target pretended to have items on discount but they were actually the same exact price as ordinary Thursday.

Nevertheless, the shoppers did their duty and stacked up more credit card debt to purchase new toasters and vacuums. There was one small looting event of note — this one in LOS ANGELES — modern day Sodom.

But what is $12,000 for a giant billion dollar retailer like Nike anyway? Mere seashells. They’ll drive their Vietnamese labor force to work extra hours for even less pay and reneg on shipping contracts and raise prices in affluent areas to make up the difference. People are CLAMORING for the new Nike Air Jordan’s — because they too want to be like Mike and slam the ball into the hoop and win the game!

Markets are sanguine in the face of the news, mildly higher and retailers are standing out. Like I said, a sigh of relief is being displayed today.

In more important news, in his way, Putin told the world the American LUNAR FUCKING LANDING was a fraud. What say you?

Since it’s the holiday season of consumerism, and since I often get this question sent to me: I’ll answer it here and now for all time.

What is the difference between Stocklabs Basic and Pro?

The Basic plan includes:

Full access to technical and fundamental ranking systems, seasonality, valuation data systems
Full access to my portfolios, picks, and community chat inside the Pelican Room
Full access to mean reversion algorithms
Full access to news wire

Pro plan includes:

All of the above, obviously.
Full access to volume tools, designed for day trading and swing trading.
Full access to high speed alpha tools, which are screens used for day trading.
Real time Intelligence algorithms, backtesting algos using real time tech scores to glean into the future.

Essentially, if you want the full power of the Stocklabs platform — go pro. There are numerous upgrade capabilities for an additional $40 per month. If a miser and cheap with money, at $59 per month you get access to community, Fly, and all of the basic things inside the platform — but your screening abilities will be limited because the screener is designed around some volume trading tools.

I’d love for most people to want to join for the software — because it’s great and I placed a lot of effort in creating it. But I know you son of a bitches mostly join for my ideas — since you’re all lazy and not good enough to trade on your own.

Here are my portfolio concepts.

The Quant: allocated into 20 equal weighted stocks once per month, which uses the algorithms to switch between value and growth in order to achieve maximum risk aversion results. This is a concept I adjust over time, with the stated goal of dying and having it invest my money post mortem.

Fly Holdings: My day trading and tactical account. This was seeded in late 2020 at $100k and because I’m s good, it’s much higher now. Nothing new under the sun. I’ve been bowling on my competition (there isn’t any) since 2007.

Strategic Holdings: This small account used to have a different focus — but a few months ago I changed it to house my strategic ideas, which are longer term investments designed for people who work jobs and can’t trade 75 times per day. Since managing it under this new goal, the account is about flat.

Tesla Focus: Stated goal here is to pretend I work at Tesla and invest in the stock monthly, as if contributing to a retirement plan. This is a high conviction investment for me. I will be expanding this account to include another high conviction investment in 2024. Most of you who are Stocklabs members already knows what stock I am talking about.

REASONS TO JOIN: You are certain to become a better trader, investor and person. You gain 24/7 access to me and my unhinged rants and a community of like minded individuals. We are down to maybe just 2 or 3 LIBSHITS, as I’ve killed the rest of them. And, the best part, all proceeds go to me — which is a noble thing to do. If malleable to my stratagems, I will will you to win and succeed in this rat race. The people who quit Stocklabs got wiped out CLEAN because they joined to NOT LISTEN TO ME and went off on retarded market excursions. Also, some people got transgendered surgery and a few others were relegated to the kitchen by their Brahmin husbands.

Good day (we are not running a fucking Black Friday deal. This is not Walmart Sir. We are high finance).

Good day —

I think I had too much to drink last night because today I made leftovers and they were fantastic. The idea that I could produce SUB PAR food was of course far fetched and today’s servings proved that The Fly is still very much a master chef. In addition to that, I have various other talents, such as the following.

I was a MASTER baseball player in school, DL’d due to torn rotator cuff

I am a superb writer

I am a MASTER INVESTOR

I am something of a mixologist

I am also a coffee aficionado

I am, additionally, a wine connoisseur

I am an expert in bro science, cutting and bulking at will

I consume information at an industrial rate: top 1% of Audible and Spotify listeners, avid book reader with detailed research into classics.

I am a cinephile, EXPERT on all things to do with movies, with a keen appreciation for classics. I once binge watched ALL Orson Welles media, including movies, interviews and movies never released, and Cary Grant, Bogart and many others.

In my spare time, I build WORLD CLASS investor tools and help absolute morons achieve financial success inside Stocklabs.

There will NOT be a BLACKENED FRIDAY “deal” for people to gain access to Stocklabs. When you do something well people should pay up. I might raise prices today just to keep the beggars out.

Here I am rambling again, forgetting the whole point of this blog — which was to warn you of looters descending upon America in search of inventory. I am no longer interested in writing about it, so I’ll fuck off now.

I closed +33bps for the session, 40% cash, hedged with $TZA in “cyber Monday,” which is fucking retarded. We will offer a 0% discount for Cyber Monday too.

I like to think of myself as a “MASTER CHEF”, able and willing to produce the finest fare in my house. My kids would not agree with this attestant, but then again — why trust their opinions over mine?

Yesterday Mrs. Fly and I worked really hard to cook everything and season the food the way we have always seasoned our Thanksgiving meals since the beginning of time. But, at least from my vantage point, it all came out rather drab and sub-par. I don’t even know what happened and how it happened but even my AWARD WINNING brown gravy came out terrible. I was served a giant Turkey leg, as if I were some sort of barbaric fool — and it tasted SUB-PAR, dry even. The homemade CRANNED BERRY was mid; and even the god damned mashed potatoes were dry and lacking flavor. I know my wife tends to UNDER-BUTTER them and it showed.

Where was I when this all happened? I cannot remember.

I will say, however, my gains are pretty good today, +60bps. It is NOT a consolation prize, as I want a do-over for Thanksgiving, a chance to make it better and enjoy the flavors of the season.

At any rate, I am all in bullish here but will modify this approach into the close and most likely toss a hedge on the barbie. It’s worth noting today’s breakout in the small caps is fughazi and should not be trusted.