If you’ve been following me, over the past 6 months, you made an incredible amount of coin. Unlike most 3rd tier bloggers out there, “The Fly” is not beholden to any mantra or ideologies that may interfere in his coin making process. See folks, the stock market is a place where stupid people get together and make a bunch of errors and/or try to predict the future. Most of the time, the market is correct, only because civilization is constantly advancing. The market embodies all that we are, from faulty airplane rudders to bullshit cures for obesity.
When participating in the stock market, always remember, the friendly folks at the Federal Reserve have a vested interest in jolting it (the market) higher. So, you and your loser friends, declaring [[FAZ]] a buy on the first sign of weakness, are just wasting time and money.
During the credit crisis, the Fed lost control of the situation, as panic struck America, like the dumb stick hit Brooklyn 100 years ago. The crisis was exacerbated by the media drumming up news stories, which in turn coerced Americans to pull their money out of banks and stock up on rice and beans— Glenn Beck style. Don’t get me wrong, the losses were real and the banks were deserving of “death by homo hammer.”
But it didn’t happen and here we are, in the midst of the biggest melt up in stock market history. Ho-hum.
With gains north of 75%, I am not motivated to time any potential tops or catch some downside trades. For me, I find peace in having a big cash position and waiting for better entry prices on the long side.
If the market is going to correct, instead of hedging via [[FAZ]] , [[SRS]] , [[DUG]] or [[REW]] , why not buy dollars, via [[UUP]] or treasuries, via [[TLT]] ?
Look at the charts, bozo. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to understand, when the market goes lower, dollars rise in value— as do treasuries. Granted, you may not make a gazillion dollars with this strategy. However, in the event you are woefully wrong and the market springboards into 2010, you won’t file for bankruptcy protection either, due to an erroneous, coke induced, trading strategy.
There are other softer ways to play the downside, which I will discuss later on next week.
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