Apparently, some of you are.
From a psychological stand point, which is paramount when trading, the market has bottomed. Naturally, that is an easy thing for me to say, AFTER a 36% gain from the lows. I am just stating the obvious.
Look, I hate this shit as much as you. I don’t want to see things back to normal, status quo, so that my children can get poleaxed by egregious tax rates, in order to pay for today’s sins. I contend, it’s the fucking baby boomer, hippy, degenerate generation who ruined this country. That’s all.
Back in late 2002, if you would have went up to me and said “yo fuckface, 2003 is going to be a banner year for stocks. The NAZZZZ will be up 50% and dozens of sub $5 stocks will go up 500%,” I would have punched your lights out and “fistfully” removed your eyebrows from your face. I mean, post 9/11, dot com crash, we had a lot of bad mojo working for us, as we do now.
The market will continue to go higher, providing people think the economy is on the mend. As bad as the numbers are, there are signs of life, particularly in the factory utilization rates. I will cease playing the long side, when those utilization rates downtick. It’s as simple as that.
As for the banks:
Let’s face it: they will have NO PROBLEM raising $75 billion, as mandated by the Government sponsored “stress test.” For the love of rotary phones and outdated running shoes, WFC raised over $8 bill on Friday. If news of a $75 bill short fall hit the tape 3 months ago, the Dow would have plunged to 5,000. Things are different now. Like it or not, some people have made a lot of money in recent months, including me.
When people make money, their risk appetite expands. I know people that were getting long commodity related names, like TCK, in the low 3’s—now trading north of $13. Again, there are a lot of people who have made a lot of money, during this recent run.
Will it last?
I don’t care.
My job is to read the tea leaves on a daily basis, which is why I get paid the big bucks. I micro-manage. I do not build accounts, then shuttle myself off to some stupid island, where pina coladas are served poolside. Fuck that. I torture myself and everyone around me to perfect the art of money management. As you know, I don’t take breaks and I rarely go on vacation.
As for the unimportant matter of penny stock investing:
Define a penny stock. Are ALU or RFMD penny stocks?
Answer: NO, not in the traditional, “this is a scam so run,” sense of the term.
They are liquid stocks with big underlying businesses. Keep in mind, during the market bottom of 2002, the biggest winners, BY FAR, were sub $5 stocks, like GLW and LVLT. There is no valid reason, aside from a phobia, to cast away sub $5 stocks when trading. It’s not like someone is going to put a big fucking sign on your garage door: “HERE LIVES A PENNY STOCK PIKER,” upon purchase. Chill the fuck out. Drink a beer; buy a sub $5 stock, with a stop and small percentage of your portfolio.
For the love of gay giraffe’s and purple marijuana, I only buy them because they make me money. The second the penny stock trade dies, will be the moment I curse them to hell, for eternity.
At the end of the day, you have to make a decision: Will you just sit around, like some sort of paradiddle, watching everyone else make money? Or, will you step up to the plate and take a swing?
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