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News People Love Twitter; Wall Street Not So Much

Twitter reported earnings after the bell and the stock is lower by about 10%

They reported 83% of monthly active users [MAU] are mobile.  Therefore you are probably mobile, reading this now.

Q2 guidance call for revenues from $590-610M verses an estimate of $677.6M.  The soft forecast is likely driving the move after hours.  Non-GAAP EPS came in slightly better than estimates, $0.15 vs $0.10 estimate, while on a GAAP basis the company’s loss per share was -$0.12.  Accountants, figure that one out.  Or don’t.

Everyone sees Twitter as a buyout play at this point.  But nobody wants to buy the misfit social media company.  Meanwhile every single news outlet and their underlying pundints love the service.  We scour it all day and night and in our sleep.  Finance guys love Twitter [more so StockTwits lately].  Everyone has exposure.  Maybe that’s the problem–no buyers left.

Irregardless [sic] we can all wait with baited breath for the company’s hipster CEO who is giving an interview to The CNBC, set to air first thing tomorrow morning.

Headline photo credit goes to @RampCapitalLLC.  If you do not already follow him on Twitter, do yourselves a favor and DO IT.

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Genetically Modified Mosquitoes Are Safe, But Test Them on Floridians Just In Case

There is a pervasive fear of genetically modified organisms.  It has plagued the scientists at Monsanto for years.  So, no surprise here, the people of Florida are freaking out over plans to release genetically-engineered mosquitoes down in Key West to combat the deadly viruses being spread by their indigenous mosquito population.  Intrexon shares [ticker: $XON] are down nearly 20% today after their plan to kill native mosquitoes was met with resistance by Florida residents.  Science scares people, but their fears are without merit.

First of all Oxitec, the United Kingdom company (a division of Intrexon) who created these mosquitoes to save us, already tested their super bugs in Brazil. The results were stunning:

In Brazil, in the wake of mounting concern over Zika, Oxitec has announced it is expanding a program to release genetically modified Aedes aegypti mosquitoes in Piracicaba, a city about 100 miles northwest of Sao Paulo.

The company breeds and releases into the wild male mosquitoes that don’t produce viable offspring. When females mate with the GMO males, they lay eggs that hatch but the larvae die before adulthood. Oxitec says trials conducted in Brazil and other countries over the past decade show releasing bioengineered male mosquitoes can reduce the wild Aedes aegypti population by 90 percent.

In Piracicaba, the company says trials that started in April have reduced wild mosquito larvae by 82 percent. Oxitec has signed an agreement with the city to build a new mosquito production facility in the city and expand the trials to cover an area with up to 60,000 residents.

Source: Greg Allen, NPR [LINK]

Second, these are blood-sucking killers we are dealing with.  Mosquitoes nearly thwarted attempts to build the Panama Canal.  Back then harsh fumigation techniques were enlisted, tactics much more hazardous to the environment then genetic warfare.

Also, Oxitec is keeping with the spirit of full disclosure via their website, where they discuss playing ball with the FDA, announce public meetings, and update everyone on their progress towards releasing their savior bugs into the neighborhoods of Florida.

Finally, the islands south of mainland Florida, the keys, present the perfect petri dish for testing these new organisms.  If something were to go horribly wrong, the ‘situation’ could be contained.  However, the pesky residents have already managed to gather over 10,000 signatures on a petition against the proposed GMO mosquito deployment.

See Also: Shares of $INO Surge Off Zika Drug Virus Data

While British scientists work around the clock to combat the vampire bugs that haunt humanity, Florida residents are doing their best to block any progress.  They are like sunburned tourists who refuse to use sunscreen because of the chemicals.  However, their resistance will likely be a minor speed bump for Oxitec, who will soon be driving unmarked vans through residential neighborhoods, wafting 1000s of GMO mosquitoes into the air.

Below, Florida resident says mosquitoes are “what makes Florida, Florida” and suggests the mosquito killing plan is just about making money:

ABC News reports on the matter:

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BANNED: Regulators Want Theranos Founder Banned from Running A Laboratory

You can only aggressively stare are people whilst wearing black turtlenecks for so long before people start wanting results.  Regulators want to shut down the Theranos lab and ban founder Elizabeth Holmes for no less than two years.

Federal health regulators have proposed banning Theranos Inc. founder Elizabeth Holmes from the blood-testing business for at least two years after concluding that the company failed to fix what regulators have called major problems at its laboratory in California.

In a letter dated March 18, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services said it plans to revoke the California lab’s federal license and prohibit its owners, including Ms. Holmes and Theranos’s president, Sunny Balwani, from owning or running any other lab for at least two years. That would include the company’s only other lab, located in Arizona.

The two labs generate most of Theranos’s revenue and are at the core of its strategy to revolutionize the blood-testing industry with new technology, user-friendliness and quick results.

The letter hasn’t been released to the public, but a copy was reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

Under federal law, Theranos had 10 days to give CMS evidence of why the sanctions shouldn’t be imposed. The company has responded, and CMS is reviewing the response, according to a person familiar with the matter.

If the company doesn’t respond to the satisfaction of the regulators, CMS said in the letter that it will proceed to impose the sanctions.

If the sanctions are imposed, some would take effect within eight days. Others would take longer, including revoking the California lab’s license, which could occur in 60 days.

Theranos could appeal to an administrative law judge and then a departmental appeals board, which could delay the effective date of some of the sanctions. If Theranos were to appeal, the lab would keep its license pending the outcome of the appeals process. The proposed ban on Ms. Holmes and Mr. Balwani would take effect at the same time as the lab’s license revocation and would be subject to the same appeals process.

The appeals process could take months, and such appeals have rarely succeeded in the past. A list of appeals decisions on the agency’s website shows that the agency didn’t lose a single such case from 2001 to the end of 2010.

In response to questions from the Journal about the letter, Theranos spokeswoman Brooke Buchanan said the government hasn’t yet imposed sanctions on the company’s lab in Newark, Calif.

“Due to the comprehensive nature of the corrective measures we’ve taken over the past several months, which has been affirmed by several experts, we are hopeful that CMS won’t impose sanctions,” she added. “But if they do, we will work with CMS to address all of their concerns.”

Last week, Theranos announced the recruitment of “nationally respected laboratory and medical experts” to its scientific and medical advisory board. The company said the eight-member panel would “work alongside Theranos’ leadership and internal teams in various areas, including advising Theranos regarding the full integration of its technology into routine clinical practice, and publication and presentation in scientific journals and at scientific meetings.”

Theranos was valued at $9 billion in a funding round in 2014 and the majority stake of Ms. Holmes at more than half that. During the past six months, though, Theranos has faced questions about the proprietary blood-testing devices it invented, code-named Edison, the accuracy of patient test results and its lab practices.

The Journal reported in October that former employees had doubts about the accuracy and reliability of the Edison devices. CMS inspectors found that some tests run on those machines and traditional devices routinely missed Theranos’s own accuracy requirements.

Ms. Buchanan said last month that Theranos “made mistakes in the past in the Newark” lab but has “dedicated every resource to remedy those failures” since becoming aware of the problems.

She also said that most of the deficiencies related to how Theranos used various testing machines, including its Edison devices, not ”the fundamental integrity of the technologies themselves.”

The company’s most urgent challenge is to persuade government officials not to impose the crippling penalties detailed in the 45-page letter. The agency completed an inspection of the California lab in November and found five major categories of infractions that violate the federal law governing clinical labs.

In February, Theranos submitted a correction plan to address the problems, but federal officials concluded it was insufficient, according to the March 18 letter. CMS declined to comment.

The letter detailed six proposed sanctions, including revoking the California lab’s federal license and barring it from the Medicare program. License revocation would result in Ms. Holmes and Mr. Balwani being barred from owning or operating any lab for at least two years, according to the copy reviewed by the Journal.

CMS also proposed to fine Theranos $10,000 a day and said it wants the company to submit the names and addresses of all doctors and patients who used the lab’s services since January 2014.

“This list may be used to advise the laboratory’s clients of the nature of its non-compliance and the nature and effective date of any sanctions imposed against the laboratory,” federal officials wrote in the letter.

The proposed penalties are among the most severe in CMS’s power, said Barbara Cammarata, a lawyer at Sidley Austin LLP who advises clinical labs on regulatory issues. “They’re in a lot of trouble,” she said.

Last year, the agency revoked the licenses of about two dozen clinical labs out of the thousands it oversees across the U.S.

Greg Ingle, chief executive of Clinical Lab Consulting LLC, a firm that audits labs, said it “is incredibly rare to see” the government seek to take away the license of “a highly capitalized, large operation” such as Theranos. Company records showed that the California lab ran about 890,000 tests a year.

Officials found that Theranos failed to adequately correct 43 of 45 deficiencies identified by inspectors last year. The failures included not providing evidence that Theranos sent corrected reports to patients who got flawed test results.

One of those tests, a blood-coagulation test known as prothrombin time, measures how long it takes blood to clot and is often used by doctors to determine which dosage of the blood thinner warfarin to give patients.

Wrong prothrombin time results could cause doctors to prescribe too little or too much warfarin. Too much of the drug, also known by its brand name Coumadin, can cause fatal bleeding, while too little can leave patients vulnerable to clots and strokes, according to medical experts.

Prothrombin time is a hematology test. In January, CMS told Theranos that its hematology-testing practices placed patients in “immediate jeopardy.” In the March 18 letter, the agency said the company’s plan failed to adequately correct those deficient practices.

As a result, the agency proposed to bar Theranos’s lab in California from doing any hematology testing, regardless of whether it appeals the sanctions, according to the letter.

The company has said it doesn’t believe any patients were affected.

The Arizona lab wasn’t part of the inspection and continues to run a variety of tests on samples drawn from patients at 40 Theranos wellness centers at Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. drugstores.

In addition, CMS said it didn’t find some of the exhibits and tables Theranos referred to in its plan, according to the letter. And Theranos widened the variation ranges it deemed acceptable for certain blood tests without giving the agency any justification for the change, the letter said.

CMS officials usually release sanctions letters to the public soon after sending them to lab owners. With Theranos, the agency has held off because the company requested redactions that it said are necessary to protect its trade secrets, according to people familiar with the matter. The agency hasn’t decided whether to grant the redaction requests, the people said.

Source: John Carreyrou and Christopher Weaver, WSJ

No word on whether Hillary Clinton will return the funds Elizabeth Holmes helped raise for her campaign.

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Advance Retail Sales Whiffs; Market Rallies

USA Retail Sales, month over month, for March were -0.30% verse 0.10% estimate.  Prior was -0.10%.

Core Retail Sales for march were 0.20% verse 0.40% estimate.

Futures are shrugging the data off, as only Federal Reserve policy moves the market.  On that note, be ready for the 2pm Fed Beige Book today.

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Raytheon To US NAVY: Buy MOAR Missiles

Despite one of their $12 million dollar missiles going missing during a test back in October, Raytheon is prodding the government to pony up and buy 17 more of the “hit-to-kill” weapons.

These would cost the US taxpayer about $179 million, give or take a million for “general and administrative” purposes.

Raytheon Co. is asking Congress to increase purchases of a U.S. Navy missile interceptor even as the Pentagon investigates the defensive weapon’s failure in a test, according to people familiar with the contractor’s efforts.

The company wants congressional defense committees to add 17 SM-3 IB missiles — at a cost of $179 million — to the Missile Defense Agency’s request for 35 of the “hit-to-kill” weapons for the fiscal year beginning in October, according to four people who asked not to be identified discussing the behind-the-scenes lobbying.

“Raytheon supports stable and economical production quantities for fiscal 2017, as funded in prior and current years,” spokesman Michael Doble said via e-mail when asked about the request. He didn’t comment on whether Waltham, Massachusetts-based Raytheon was seeking an increase.

The push for more of the weapons — fired from Navy ships to destroy short-to-intermediate range missiles — comes after a $12 million missile was lost early in flight during a Oct. 31 intercept test. The Missile Defense Agency is still reviewing the incident, and an official said the cause appears to be a bad component that inadvertently made it through the quality acceptance process.
No word on why the US Navy needs 17 more missiles.

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Pump Piece Associated with Move in $KNDI

Let me begin by saying Kandi Technologies makes circus bikes and cars.  These are not real vehicles, by any stretch of the American imagination.

The typical Kandi electric vehicle looks like a SMART car hit with a shrink ray.

They also make 4-wheelers and scooters.  This is a Chinese fun-car company.

Now let’s look at their checkered quarterly earnings performance, courtesy of Exodus:

KNDI_earnigs

It looks like they peaked out at about a $13million dollar quarterly profit, back when China was all that and a bag of pork snouts.  Now China is stalling, stagnating even.

See also: IMF Reduces Global Growth Forecast by Nearly 6%

So when a pump piece, originating from a pump-looking site like this, pumps a stock like KNDI 2-3%, you know the end is nigh.

Shoot, Kandi Technologies has a rich valuation even for a burrito! Again, Exodus:

KNID_val

Scalp it or trade it quick, sure.  But RUN, don’t walk, away from KNDI or anyone trying to peddle off its offal equity.

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IMF Reduces Global Growth Forecast by Nearly 6%

The Chinese economy is no longer carrying the torch of global growth. No other country is stepping up to fill the void left behind by [often forged] China’s GDP stagnation.

As such, the International Monetary Fund was out this morning slashing their global growth forecast from 3.4% to 3.2%, the fourth such cut in the last 12 months.

In its latest World Economic Outlook, the Fund warned of widespread stagnation risk and said weaker growth could leave the global economy more vulnerable to shocks such as currency depreciations or worsening geopolitical conflicts.

The Fund called on global policymakers attending the IMF and World Bank meetings to take coordinated actions to boost demand with structural economic reforms, fiscal stimulus where possible and accommodative monetary policy.

Source: David Lawder, Reuters

 

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Fed’s Harker Wants Negative Interest Rates

Fed’s Patrick Harker, elitist banker from the land of cheesed steak sandwiches,  took to the podium at 9am and delivered a dovish message.

He said we should not take negative interest rates off the table, and that any further rate hikes ought to be suspended until we see signs of inflation.

There’s a novel thought.  However, Mr. Harker is merely an alternative voting member of the Fed in 2016, so his thoughts are useless fodder.

Market is unaffected and continues to chop and screw April option holders.

 

 

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RUMOR: AMEX Wants PayPal $AMP $PYPL

The end goal of our financial system is negative interest rates and the elimination of cash.

Therefore it makes sense to see buzz around names like PayPal.  Today the rumor is American Express is bidding to take over PayPal.

See also: Why Would Twitter Let MasterCard in The Peer-to-peer Money Game?

If one can seamlessly transfer money to their friends using Venmo, what is to stop a similar offering existing for bars and corner bodegas?

 

 

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Steve Wynn Announces Paradise Park: $WYNN Blasts Higher

There are only a few resorts in Las Vegas I will even consider for poolside party or lodging: The Cosmopolitan, The Bellagio, and Wynn Encore.

It’s no surprise the first ever iBankCoin investor conference was held at the Encore–we only patronize the finest establishments in the United States.

Now news is out hard ball Steve plans to expand his Las Vegas offering big time, in what is being called Paradise Park, a 38-acre lagoon of greatness.  Visitors can lounge on pristine white sandy beaches, walk the boardwalk, go parasailing and water skiing–feats once impossible in the arid Mojave desert.

“We have a chance to reinvent Las Vegas and make the whole venue an entertainment attraction an idyllic beach paradise surrounded by white sand beaches,” said Steve Wynn chairman and CEO of Wynn Resorts. “People come to Las Vegas from all over the world to live large and have a good time and we can dish up an irresistible entertainment attraction.”

Steve Wynn is an iconic businessman.  If you’ve never listened to his conference calls, you’re missing out.  While the rest of these gambol houses rot, WYNN is GROWING.

No word on which DJ will be dropping heat on this new venue first.  WYNN s

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