Nasdaq futures are up sharply as we head into monthly/quarterly option expiration day. No news appears to be behind this overnight action (correct me if I’m overlooking something) and heading into cash open we are working with a pro gap.
The economic calendar is quiet today. There are two Fed heads speaking—Lockhart at 10:20am in Georgia and Evans in Washington. Energy traders will likely be closely watching the Baker Hughes Rig Count at 1pm as well.
Yesterday the Nasdasq printed a normal variation with a range extension down. Overall a quiet, balancing session in the upper quad of Wednesday’s Fed day move. Once the cash session ended however prices began trading 1-time frame up.
Heading into today, my primary expectation is for buyers to build off their overnight progress by attempting a gap and go. To succeed in doing so, they will need to sustain trade above the very prevalent mCLVN at 4459. If they do, then look for a push to target the open gap up at 4472.50.
Hypo 2 is sellers defend the mCLVN at 4459 and begin working into the overnight inventory. In that case, look for swift action back down to 4437 area and a potential full gap fill down to 4424.50.
Hypo 3 is a big gap up and then sideways grind to wear out any intraday theta on options.
These levels are highlighted below:
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