iBankCoin
I turn dials and fiddle with knobs to hone in on harmonic rotations
Joined Oct 26, 2011
4,121 Blog Posts

Surrounded By Weakness

Prices moved lower in the Nasdaq overnight and as we approach US trade the market is hovering inside the lower quadrant of yesterday’s range. At 8:30am traders learned about the CPI and Jobs situation in the United States, and all numbers but one were better than expected. Initial Jobless Claims came in a bit higher than expected. After the open we have Markit PMI at 9:45am and both Existing Home Sales and Philadelphia Fed at 10am.

The futures broke loose to the downside just after 3am and since then the overnight profile has taken on a b-shape suggesting the initial wave might have been of the long liquidation variety.  It also exposes a slip-zone up to 4217.50. You can see the overnight profile below: 11212014_NQ_ONMP

At our current prices, the weak low at 4207 is now in range. This is a piece of context that formed on Monday when the market printed a double bottom on this tick. That is a poor low and carries an expectation of resolution. The swing high also looks weak but is nearly out of range statistically. The net result is a neutral stance which leads me to expect choppy trade. This is unless we see a strong driver off the open like we saw the past two days. I have highlighted the key price levels I will be observing as well as the weak high/low observations on the following volume profile chart:

11212014_NQ_VP

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