iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,466 Blog Posts

Fly Buy: TLT

I bought 10,000 [[TLT]] in the $89.80’s.

Disclaimer
: If you buy TLT because of this post, VKING will be reinstated. And, you may lose money.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPzw07HDuBw 616 500]

NOTE: Don’t forget to vote.

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UPDATED: Sell, Sell, Sell

—-SPECIAL EMERGENCY ELECTION—- (see bottom of post)

There is no other way to describe my sentiments, other than directly suggesting that you, the internet buffoon, lighten up. As an aside, “The Fly” has taken on a new approach to life, via “channeling” his energy more constructively. An era of positivity is upon you; don’t get in my fucking way or I will kick you into idle fault lines.

I do not mean to be harsh. It just happens to be my nature.

Separately, I am trying to make believe I did not read that the dick suckers from Silicon Storage Technology, Inc. [[SSTI]] might have accepted a $3.05 offer from Microchip Technology Inc. [[MCHP]] . There has to be more to the story. With the stock down to $3.07 in pre-market, there is no point selling here. The hard cash offer is now $3.05. Let’s see if Cerberus steps up with a counteroffer. If not, chalk up a 5% loss. Not that much of a big deal.

Commodities are red hot these days, as analysts completely fuck themselves with shifting opinions. Case in point: United States Steel Corporation [[X]] .

How many times have analysts changed their opinions on letter X over the past year? Always remember, research is entirely vital in helping you understand what you are invested in. However, when it comes to buy/sell recs, please don’t waste your time taking the advice from nerdtron analysts.

Bottom line: See title.

UPDATE: FREE VKING?

Should I remove the ban on VKING from posting in the peanut gallery?polls

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Seasonality Report: BWLD

Your suspicions are correct.

Month Avg Return Years Up Years Down Days Up Days Down Days Unchanged Variance
January 2.794% 3 4 67 71 2 0.02
February 5.528% 3 4 63 59 2 -0.52
March 10.765% 6 0 57 73 2 -0.02
April 5.803% 5 1 65 58 1 0.45
May 2.626% 3 3 62 61 3 0.47
June -8.086% 0 6 72 56 1 -0.2
July 9.438% 5 1 54 71 1 0.2
August -3.094% 3 3 62 68 3 -0.18
September 4.076% 5 1 59 64 0 0.16
October -1.404% 3 3 64 68 0 -0.81
November -0.995% 3 3 68 55 0 -0.1
December 4.411% 5 2 72 77 0 -0.33

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Off To Do Something Special

Natural gas stocks have been bludgeoned, as of late. However, like all things in life, THEY ARE FUCKING LYING TO YOU.

Case in point: Southwestern Energy Company [[SWN]] looks like a piece of shit on an ice cube tray. However, what you didn’t know, the stock has gone up in April, 20 of the last 21 years. How’s that for track record? ‘Tis the season to go long natty and oil service names. Since I have nothing to do, being all pussified in cash and treasuries, I’ve been doin’ a little studying. Based upon the laws of seasonal investing, Chesapeake Energy Corporation [[CHK]] , Weatherford International Ltd. [[WFT]] , Southwestern Energy Company [[SWN]] and Anadarko Petroleum Corporation [[APC]] are buys, from now until May. For the love of rice and mice, should this market ever pull back, I will break skulls to get long these names. I believe in them that much, as if to commit a most heinous felony.

Other than that, life is sort of on cruise control now. I am sure Mrs. Fly has a fun-filled weekend planned for me, going to malls, and little bitch ass boutique shoppes. And don’t forget, we mustn’t be late to the Whole Foods Market, Inc. [[WFMI]] sermon on Sunday. The Lord will be mad if I am tardy.

Tardy retardy go drink some bacardi!

Enough about me. How about you?

Nah, just kidding, asshole. No one is interested in what you have to say. If they were, they’d be visiting YOUR BLOG now, not “The Fly’s.”

In closing, many props to our new blogger, Scott Bleier, for nailing this move, via an array, mind you, of accurate stock calls. Sooner than you know, iBC will be launching a newsletter service, hosted by Mr. Bleier, in an effort to help the common leech “de-leechify” himself.

Good day to you and yours.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v1BhwGP-aAs&feature=fvw 616 500]

UPDATE: I bought 50,000 Silicon Storage Technology, Inc. [[SSTI]] , between $3.22-3.24.

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The Problem With Shorting

You can’t depend on anyone to do anything right. So, with that in mind, don’t rely on people to sell stocks, despite the low [[vxx]] levels. The problem with shorting is people are fucking insane. They will keep bidding stocks up, no matter what, until they die. Believe me, coming from a guy who successfully traded the dot com bubble, until its sweet end, shit can get very irrational, before you can start to look smart again.

Thanks to the melt-up, risk is back on the table, which means [[TLT]] will give back. However, I want you to keep note of the fact that my “big set-back” is merely 1%. That’s what you call a “low-beta” trade—one that does not rape you either way.

I’m still making coin today, just not as much as folks like Henry Fool, at least percentage wise.

My current positions include: Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , U.S. Global Investors, Inc. [[GROW]] , Brocade Communications Systems, Inc. [[BRCD]] , Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , [[CBD]] , Equinix, Inc. [[EQIX]] , GlaxoSmithKline plc (ADR) [[GSK]] , ICICI Bank Limited (ADR) [[IBN]] , Jarden Corporation [[JAH]] , POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] , SandRidge Energy Inc. [[SD]] , Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] , Silicon Storage Technology, Inc. [[SSTI]] , [[TAN]] , Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (ADR) [[TEVA]] , [[TLT]] and Visa Inc. [[V]] .

With my sidelined, pussified cash, I will just—sort of—wait this market out. You know, it’s important to note, if this was 5 years ago, I’d be buying stocks with the fervor of a gorilla in a banana tree. With age comes discipline. In a way, I have more respect for money, especially after the credit crisis.

Anyway, try not to fuck yourselves, stepping in those murderholes. I know many of you are killing it with spec trades, great fucking job. When you little fuckers become billionaires and the apocalypse hits (2012), don’t forget to buy Le Fly a seat on one of those arcs. I’d be very much interested in a 1,000 square foot room, with incandescent lighting; fuck that LED shit—FYI.

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Snow Storm Defeated by Robust Employment Report

Who said snow would coerce companies into shit canning people?

PFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF.

For the month, we only shed 35,000 jobs. That’s so little, it’s like creating jobs, but in a very non-creating way.

As a result of this terrific news, futures are up, the dollar is up, and traders, generally, have “stiffies” for high beta names. Into what can only be described as “the bestest jobs report, like ever,” expect bears to shit themselves (again), get punched in the face with jelly filled donuts, and die inside of a few short trading hours.

At the moment, I am “unswayed” by “VOS” (Victory over Snow) and may opt to sit this rally out, from the luxury of my miniature swivel chair.

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It’s a Win-Win Lose Situation

Investors are betting that no matter how bad tomorrow’s numbers are, stocks will go higher. They figure, the numbers will be tossed away, due to snow. In their pea sized brains, it “makes sense” to get in AHEAD of the most horrific jobs numbers in months. What you need to remember is this: the entire rally is depending on real improvement in the employment landscape. The longer it takes to show net gains, the patience of coked out money managers will wane, eventually leading to lower stock prices. You can take that time-line to the fucking bank, cash it, and go buy a Ferrari.

The market went up today, and so did my [[TLT]] . And, that fucker paid me a divvy on 3/1—reducing my cost basis to mid $88’s. Into tomorrow’s calamity, I am 12% treasuries, 35% equities and 53% cash. Believe me, it’s painful to sit out the late stages of a bull run, because things look “fantastical.” However, just remember, shit like [[SCOK]] rise to the top, just before nuclear war heads emerge from hidden silos, en route to your little bullshit office or house.

[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LEWv09Kx_Dc 616 500]

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Let the Euro Burn!

The EU is in real trouble, as their “austerity plans” come to fruition; I gather, weak countries will determine it was a mistake to forfeit the important tools of monetary policy, in exchange for that big grandiose circle jerk, better known as “the euro.” I am sure Greece would love to monetize their way out of the mess they’re in now. Instead, thanks to the fucking euro, they are beholden to the sausages in Berlin. It’s only a matter of time before the EU is forced to turn their fucking presses on laser, space speed, or the whole fucking parade ends. Should the latter occur, the U.S. dollar, as well as U.S. debt, will be sopped up like cola on a fucking sham-wow.

There’s a reason why I am avoiding stocks, while throwing coin into [[TLT]] .

Today’s tape is more of the same. Low volume melt-up. But, it has the feel of walking through an old haunted house. Any second now, I expect some sort of zombie to pop out from the shadows and take a bite out of my cranium.

In short, [[TLT]] is still my best trade, with a side order of Silicon Storage Technology, Inc. [[SSTI]] , due to the downside protection of an all-cash offer. Around these levels, I am starting to like [[VXX]] too. And, if I wanted to trade 3x bullshit, I’d buy [[DRR]] right here, right now.

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