If my title offends you that means you are, by my definition, “stupid.” While you wait for “macroeconomic trends” to take hold of the economy, I will sit here, in my luxurious leather chair, knee deep in long bonds. Why, you ponder?
Well, for one, I do not subscribe to the belief that sovereign wealth funds fish for yield, when purchasing our debt. If you believe the Chinese will stop buying treasuries because the yield is too low, well then, you might as well kill yourself now and get it over with already. I hear a lot of people suggest gold as the investment of “safety.” However, I contend, with great vigor, gold is a suckers bet, readily and purposely manipulated downward by our government overlords.
If you think it’s hard betting against “The Fly,” good luck going the other way on the Empire of the United States.
Yes, it’s true, I do not believe free market forces will win. Yes, it’s true, the Fed cannot raise rates now, without hem-locking the already struggling workforce and knee-capping the real estate market. So, as long as people suck off the government tit and real estate values stay depressed, spreads need to be wide, in order to help banks hide their losses, with the hopes of “growing out of them.” Believe me, I am well aware that the consensus opinion of investors out there is contrary to my own. So, don’t bother debating the issue with me, for I am in a world of my own.
Today’s sell off was nothing special. Like I’ve been saying over and over, ad nauseam, we have very little upside left, with a good 10% downside.
Then again, what the fuck do I know? I’m just some guy here on the internets, spewing opinions around like trash in the S. Bronx. Go buy some [[FAS]] up here. See if I care.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LE1feUs5CAE 616 500] Comments »