Potential Bottoms

Courtesy of The PPT, here are the results of one of my favorite screens: Potential Bottoms.

This sell off is bullshit. This is the sort of sell off that you watch with one eye, while viewing some stand up comedian make a jackass out of himself with the other.

Keep in mind, “The Fly” is not here for you. He just happens to be blogging here, putting his book out for the world to see. It may frustrate some of you to come here and hear the same ol’ bullshit, very Hugh Hendry-esque. But then again, I’m not here for you, am I?

Give Scotty Bleier a shot, if you need personalized support. His newsletter is top notch and he will help all good paying customers, formerly known as “readers,”  achieve market success. ACT NOW AND RECEIVE A FREE GRATY!!! (Note: If you haven’t seen Scott’s recent interview on Tech Ticker, go check it out.)

Infomercial over.

Into the bell, I’m throwing lemons at punk brokers, who think they know stocks. You fuckers don’t know the first thing about investing: go sell a “really neat mutual fund” to an older than fuck lady.

Be well.

NOTE: The near term fate of this market depends on what our elected clown-fucking corporate whores do with healthcare reform, obviously.

I bought 10,000 Adobe Systems Incorporated [[ADBE]] @ $34.69, 20,000 [[VXX]] @ $22.40 and 10,000 [[TLT]] @ $91.40.

Disclaimer: If you follow my moves, your only daughter will marry one of the Fast Money guys. And, you may lose money.

I am pretty bearish here, the most I’ve been in over a year. The sentiment is too fucking bullish. Please, do not cite any retarded sentiment web polls, or of the iBD sort. I use anecdotal evidence, when determining the mood of the market. I have friends, most of them are extraordinarily stupid. When they get all gung-ho and shit, wearing John Rambo head gear at the trading desk, I know it’s time to trade against them.

Most of you norks (nerd+dork) out there are sheep. You let people boss you around, from employer all the down to the wife. Try to think outside of the “fag box” for once.

The dollar will go up because Europe is in trouble. As much as I would like to tell you “fuck Greece”; it’s not over yet. Lean into the euro, as if your life depended on it, via long [[DRR]] . With dollar strength, the risk trade is off the table, which means [[TLT]] and [[VXX]] will thrive, while the broader indices decline. I think we have a potential 700 points of downside, over the next 3 months.

As an aside, the price of sugar is down again. It means something. However, no one really knows, at the moment.

In closing, “The Fly” has a fulfilled weekend planned, courtesy of Mrs. Fly of course. I believe we are heading to a Broadway play on Saturday. OMG, I simply can’t wait: it’s gonna be soooo much fun.

Top picks: [[TLT]] , [[VXX]] , 0.1% money market.

Enjoy it with my compliments (hard copies will be sold at Sotheby’s this weekend).

Rail and trucking volumes are ripping to the upside, over the last 3 weeks. Companies like Genesee & Wyoming Inc. [[GWR]] and Landstar System, Inc. [[LSTR]] are doing well, while chemical companies like NewMarket Corporation [[NEU]] and Lubrizol Corporation [[LZ]] ramp due to increased demand. Without a doubt, worldwide growth is back and companies are making lots of coin again. However, we are on the verge of passing a monumental health care bill, fraught with non-sense, that will affect everyone in this country. And yet, with all of this on the table, we get another 40 point uptick in the Dow?

WTF!!??!!

I sold out of my Silicon Storage Technology, Inc. [[SSTI]] position, for a minor loss. I don’t think a competing bid will emerge, now that the Chairman is backing the SSTI board. And, I added to my [[VXX]] position. Remember, I still have longs, like GlaxoSmithKline plc (ADR) [[GSK]] , Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd (ADR) [[TEVA]] , ICICI Bank Limited (ADR) [[IBN]] , Citigroup Inc. [[C]] , Brocade Communications Systems, Inc. [[BRCD]] , [[CBD]] , Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , U.S. Global Investors, Inc. [[GROW]] , [[MWW]] , POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] , SandRidge Energy Inc. [[SD]] and Sociedad Quimica y Minera (ADR) [[SQM]] . So, think of my adventures into volatility as a hedge against my longs. Essentially, I am attempting to limit my downside, at the risk of capping my upside.

The bottom line: I am very close to buying a chemical or trucking name. And, I will be sure to be long Adobe Systems Incorporated [[ADBE]] , just in time for earnings. Howsoever, I refuse to buy up here, as retard stocks like The Boeing Company [[BA]] climb higher every single day, based upon air.

The market seems to be pricing in a phenomenal economic turnaround, a nirvana of sorts for greedy goblin like policy makers. With the new economic renaissance right around the corner, we can afford all sorts of shit, like fucked up health care, astronomical military expenditures and corrupted education budgets.

In the rare event that you are out of work, bereaved by unemployment, fear not for your dumb ass will be working at a local Census Bureau in no time at all!

I should have listened to my instincts and bought General Cable Corporation [[BGC]] , when it was sucking the gum off the concrete. Now that it is popping higher, I have nothing but hatred for the name.

In summary, economic nirvana is upon us, so ignore all jargon pertaining to bad stuff.

I really need to go drink a lot of beer right now, so I will make this brief.

Instead of being all cash, I own a shitload of treasuries, via [[TLT]] . While I wait for “my market,” I get a .38 divvy per month and protection against a declining market, since treasuries is the true flight to quality, NOT gold. I’ve been buying [[VXX]] due to my belief that the era of zero volatility is long in the tooth, to say the least. Also, if the market dips, it will rapidly appreciate, serving as a hedge against my long positions. Don’t worry, before you know it I will be tossing old fuckers into lit fireplaces again. However, for now, I need to make these moves.

NOTE: I sold some U.S. Global Investors, Inc. [[GROW]] @ $11.40

NOTE II: The PPT is nearing 3.00 hybrid again. During this epic run, the 3.00 mark has been ignored. However, for how long will this run last?

I bought 15,000 [[VXX]] , under $22.40.

Disclaimer: If you buy VXX because of this post, the next time you get sick, your doctor will rub Vicks all over your face. And, you may lose money.

UPDATE: Go check out Scotty Bleier at Yahoo’s Tech Ticker.

The higher this market goes, the more entrenched I become in my indifference towards long positions. Just today, I plotted out a scenario that put me at 0% equities, 20% treasuries, 10% Vix and 70% cash. The way I figure, I had huge back to back years, being up more than 150% over the past two years. Already in 2010, I find myself up another 15%. In other words, I execute thousands of trades, in numerous different asset classes per year. It’s not an accident or luck that has gotten to me to where I am today. I will trust my instincts, over yours, 10 out of 10 times. If I am wrong, I can only blame myself.

Within my long equity positions, I like U.S. Global Investors, Inc. [[GROW]] , [[MWW]] , [[TAN]] , POSCO (ADR) [[PKX]] and [[CBD]] . However, I will not be adding to any of them here. If anything, I am a net seller, not a buyer.

Okay, for the remainder of the day, I will be planning to get drunk and act stupid, in celebration of St. Patrick’s day.

More later.