Today’s end of day extravaganza, likely purported by nabobs dressed in turbans, crushed the hopes and prayers of millions of bears worldwide. Prior to the run, they were feeling all mighty, some even a bit pretentious or haughty. Plainly, I was profiting from the decline via VXX and TZA; but 92% of my assets are still in cash, so it was something of an after-thought, frankly. But the incessant pressing of the bears’ heads inside the panini press is almost too painful to watch. Day in and day out, they come to play, only to be beaned in the face and cock by 105mph, Nolan Ryan style, fastballs.
When irrational things occur in stocks and markets, frustrated participants tend to chalk it up to “idiocy”, declaring the markets to be devoid of reason. For a while, I fell into the trap of casting aspersions, lamenting over losing positions and hating the people who bet against me. But as time went on and I stopped dragging my knuckles on the ground, I came to realize markets are both genius and stupid. They are filled with the biggest idiots the world has ever known, as well as the sharpest minds. The markets cannot be stupid, ever, since it is the collective brain-trust of the entire world.
Granted, from time to time, a situation like ENER presents itself, where idiot bulls bid soon to be bankrupt companies up to the exosphere, only to, ironically, bankrupt themselves in the process. But for the most part, markets ebb and flow, moderating through emotions and news flow, eventually arriving to the right price. You just see it as “dumb” because your time frames are all fucked up. You want stocks to drop right now because of your shorts or your inverse ETF’s. But the market doesn’t give a shit about your financial well being and its time frame to produce an accurate price is non-descript.
XYZ may be worth 0; but it can take 10 years for the market to figure it out. That doesn’t make it “dumb”, only methodical.
With regards to this tape, I find myself out of my comfort zone and would rather stay in cash than make egregious errors. Look at FOSL. I had fuckloads of that stock in the $70’s and $80’s. I even declared it to be a prime candidate for the $100 roll a few days ago. Now it’s $120. Fuck me running sideways with an alligator.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5tQQ3hqleE 603 500]
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