I added to my ALJ position.
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Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,463 Blog Posts
Let Me Show You Something, Pal
Seasonal trends tend to repeat themselves because of human nature. The fact of the matter is, human beings tend to spend money in the month of March. The weather gets warmer and with that comes optimism. It should not come as a surprise to you to learn that consumer sensitive stocks do exceedingly well in March.
How well?
Have a look at the composite seasonality of both Department Stores and Apparel Stores.
Apparel
Department Stores
In layman’s terms, during the month of March, on average, retail stocks trade higher 70% of the time. That is a staggering number, just about as good as it gets for a whole industry during a particular month.
Aside from Department Stores and Apparel Stores, the following industries tend to do well in March.
Business Services
Independent Oil and Gas
Home Furnishing
Beverages
Cement
Confectioners
Consumer Services
Discount Stores
Textile Apparel
Specialty Retail
Restaurants
Refiners
Oil and Gas Equipment
All of this data was mined using The PPT‘s seasonality engines. We offer an incredible suite of products, many of which go unexplored by users.
Getting down to specific stocks, there are standouts. For example, QCOM has been up 18 of 20 years in March for an average return of 11.7%.
We even offer detailed percentage gain/loss data per stock. Here is QCOM’s.
Without revealing too much to the unwashed, top hatless, public, here are some standouts for the month of March.
FL
TIF
MAS
TJX
EOG
VLY
SMRT
WSM
SBUX
MFB
CMG
WNR
TZOO
CTRN
KKD
LORL
Okay, that’s enough free shit for you cheap motherfuckers. Get out of here you fucking beggars. I’ve got shit to do today, people to see, coin to manufacture. I’m taking this March seasonality list very seriously because I have a desire to position into these sectors anyway. Therefore, I might as well use history as my guide.
Comments »Alex Jones on Breitbart and Other Niceties
If I end up dead from “natural causes” for posting this video, Obama did it.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IldGbAWwD-I&feature=g-all&context=G2a7d57aFAAAAAAAAAAA 603 500]In case you are unfamiliar with Breitbart, this is what he was all about.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=63TMawHivXQ&feature=related 603 500] Comments »THE GREAT WALL OF 13,000
Towards the end of trade, I bought 100,000 shares of ALJ, one of the cheaper refiners out there, beaten down almost into dust. For the day, I eked out gains through the sashaying of TIF.
My VXX tits deflated a bit; but I still like it more than any other stock. There is a wide array of shit looming, readying to drop anvils on all of you goat-fuckers.
On the long side, I am warming to the LED space, due to renewed Chinese interest. My sources tell me China will be giving an update on their LED plans before mid-year. On that news, shares of CREE, LEDS, VECO and AIXG should trade higher. RBCN is a different story, addled by competition, fucked inside of a fagbox.
KSWS spiked higher, likely due to Kenny “motherfucking” Powers. I am interested in that name too. After all, the marketing strategy is brilliant.
The fact of the matter is, whether Saudi pipelines are emitting black smoke or not, crack spreads are north of $31 and the WTI-Brent spread is now north of $16—huge tailwinds for mid-continent refiners like ALJ, DK, HFC and WNR.
Nevertheless, the market is having difficulty breaking through 13,000. I will be constructive with my buys, as we hit up against this wall.
Comments »RIP Andrew Breitbart
Typically I don’t give a shit about death. It’s part of life and we all have to deal with it, sans me– due to the gift of immortality. And although I do not agree with many of the things that Breitbart stood for, I respected his independent thinking. Yes, he was an ideologue; but he was his own man. He dominated the conservative news circuit on the internet and was always very vocal and belligerent about his views. He’d defend them anytime, anywhere. There is something to admire about that.
I’m very cynical about politics and the process, just like religion. However, I do respect those who practice at both churches, if done with passion and without false motives. There are some people who genuinely feel it is their right to help “save” this country from moral and financial decay. Andrew was one of those guys.
He was on top of the world yesterday–young, rich and with purpose. Today, gone.
Comments »Legal Crime
The ISDA ruled there was no Greek default. Therefore, the owners of Greek CDS should fuck themselves. My only question to the ISDA is this: if there was no Greek default, how come Greece had to default? After all, the fucking bonds are now trading less than 20 cents on the dollar. I know of bankrupt companies whose bonds were worth more. Indeud, I say this with tongue in cheek, for we all know what is going on here. The ECB is trying to avoid a “credit event” because they are the ones on the hook, since they have expanded their balance sheet by 40% in recent months, bailing out their banks.
Should CDS contracts be honored, payments to insurance owners would literally come out of the ECB treasure chest.
Since we have established that CDS contracts for governments and large banks are worthless, how does a bond buyer insure against future losses?
ANSWER: he doesn’t.
My guess, once the ECB quits playing with itself, via buying sovereign bonds, they will find a thin market for their wares. Why would I buy Italian 2 yr at 1.9% when I could buy some corporate shit and hedge it with CDS? If I buy CAT debt and CAT goes bankrupt, the government isn’t gonna give a shit. Hence, CDS contracts will be honored and I will look like the financial genius that I am.
Think about this: how glum and depressed is the guy who saw this whole Greek shit coming and tried to profit from his research through buying Greek CDS? Ha! That guy is fucked on a spindle.
Anyway, the futures are bouncing higher and auto sales are coming in much better than expected. Fucking Chrysler reported a 40% jump-WOW! We will likely sustain 1 million car sales for February, matching last month, putting us on pace for 14 million cars sold in 2012. That’s a big deal.
BID is trading down on soft earnings. I was waiting for a pullback. My hunch, let it come in another day or two, then start to accumulate. There is going to be some headline auctions this spring that should buoy the shares.
The big story for today and the near term future, however, is precious metals. Last night gold was up 1.5%. Now it’s barely up. Should the run on gold and silver continue, look for a blanket sell off in commodities.
Comments »Serious Question Regarding Kenny Powers
Is Mr. Powers funny enough to help the shares of KSWS?
IT’S MARGIN CALL TIME
It’s time to teach you dick-suckers a lesson. “The Fly” rode into the bell atop a fucking TZA steed, slaying civilians along the way with his jousting lance. Take your lessons from the pinless hand grenade action in both GLD and SLV today. That is coming to a theatre near you and your money is going to be transfeured to me.
How so?
Well, for one, I have a cash horde of 65%. I’ve been plotting and scheming (in that fucking order) for the better half of a month now, with designs on buying margin liquidations. I believe the time has come for such an opportunity to present itself, AND MORE. Starting with the beastly men who are long both gold and silver: I will henceforth buy your margin calls without regards for your financial well being. Then I will swoop in and purchase the forced sales of oil and gas stocks. It’s all coming to a head soon and yes I am BROKEN CLOCK trading here, afforded such a decadency due to prudent investing, conservative with time and price.
On the long list, aside from margin call shit, is BID and TDY, both fine companies in both prestige and societal importance.
For the duration of the evening, I will drink Earl Grey and hit The PPT hard for some potential buying opportunities, in anticipation of a grande blood letting event.
[youtube:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Su4gQ46FjTs&feature=related 616 500] Comments »CORRECTION OVER
See, I fucking nailed that top. Did you see the faces of your workers as the market slid about an hour ago? SHEER FEAR. I saw two fuckers throw themselves off a window ledge into some windshields down below. It was ugly.
Today’s crash was fueled by the gold and silver collapse. It’s fucking crazy out there. Traders were just selling shit, without even knowing what it was. It was equal to sticking your hand in a bag of garbage and eating whatever you grab. Sometimes you get plastic or napkins, other times you get steak bones. Either way, it makes for a bad meal.
I was “fortunate” enough to buy more VXX as it was down about 30 cents. It quickly spiked the fuck higher, as the market crashed. It was sublime.
I’m just trying to keep it real with you voyeurs, in order to educate America’s poor about this shit we call “stocks, bonds and other shit” here in NYC.
Comments »Cowardly Bearish, Boldly Shooting Your Cranium
To be honest, I would like nothing more than to see people with their heads on fire, diving into vats of gasoline for closure. But I am a very, very smart man and like the feel of money in my pocket or as some of you from the ghetto might say “stacks.” Because of my love for money, I’ve refrained from shorting stocks, in favor for a neutral stance in cash.
Today I upped my exposure to VXX to 15% of assets. I still have more than 60% in cash because my goal is to buy dips, not so much bet on disaster. But it’s coming ladies and gentleman–yes indeud.
Soon enough zombies will rise from their graves and race over to the NYSE to eat the brains of the traders who work there. The market will shake you up, rattling your bones and crushing your skeleton into calcium/phosphorus white fucking powder.
As for me, I gallantly ride through this runaway bull market atop a TZA steed. As I ride this beast, I shoot people with handguns and I reflect on my sins with sincere silence.
THIS IS IT, FUCKFACE. The top is in. Enjoy the remainder of your day long gold stocks, jackass!
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