School is in session, fucked faces. If you thought the recent rally was special, you haven’t seen anything yet. According to the Bank of America stock market handbook, after periods of long consolidations, just like the 414 days in between new highs we’ve just enjoyed, markets tend to shatter the glass ceiling to the upside and rip out the jaws from bears.
There were 414 calendar days between the May 2015 high and the recent one, Suttmeier said on CNBC’s “Futures Now.” The S&P 500 has been churning sideways for much of the last 24 months , without a meaningful breakout. But it’s that lack momentum that has Suttmeier convinced we could be on the brink of the next leg higher.
He explained that since 1929 there have been 24 instances where the market went 300 calendar days or more without making a new 52-week high, and in those times the forward return was much stronger than average.
“The bottom line is when I look at these numbers and if we do follow this signal, 250 days out the average return is about 15.6 percent, the median return is about 14.8 percent and the market is up 91 percent of the time,” he said.
Being the data loving guy that I am, I am forced to accept this porridge without complaint. Any technician will tell you the longer the consolidation the greater the upside breakout. However, maybe we can enjoy a brief end of the world panic again before we mash faces to the upside again?
Just a suggestion.
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