iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,446 Blog Posts

ATTENTION INTERNET: OIL IS ABOUT TO RUN LIKE A BEAST OUT FROM HELL

The trade is stacked the other way. Everyone with a series 7 is short euros, oil and long treasuries. Those people are about to get their hands and feet chopped off.

I speak in violent tones because you people only understand the fist and the boot, savages from foreign lands, regular Mike Huckabees.

No one is giving oil a shot here, even ahead of the Forbes 400 billionaire February watermarking, something the Prince from Saudi Arabia has bribed and manipulated his own stock in order to get into a better position for. This list means nothing to you, slack-jawed Neanderthals, persons dragging knuckles atop the earth’s crust, unworthy of the very minimum levels of ‘respectable poverty’ (extra Ward McAllister). However, for big and powerful 100 pound men like Prince Alaweed (sp?), the Forbes 400 means everything.

All that aside, the driving season is ahead and the simplest bounce in the euro, coupled with a raging fucking rout in treasuries, will get oil going up to $58 by March. If that’s the case, I suspect shares of most small to mid capped oil companies will be 25% higher from current levels, if not more.

SLCA, as an example, is down 6% over the past week, while bedraggled illegal Mexican companies like SN are up 10%. Meanwhile, SLCA is a fucking cash generating machine.

With my money, I like SLCA, PEIX, DVN and ECR.

The downside to higher crude will inevitably mean airlines, restaurants and healthcare stocks trade lower for a bit. None of this shit makes any sense. But, lots of hot money has been toiling inside of hamburger stocks, as oil dropped lower. Should that trade end, those fucking hamburger bastards will check out and chase the shit I am selling.

All of this is very confusing, especially for new lads, fresh off the boats. Just know this: you have the best job in the world. All of your neighbors, stupid moron friends, and family members, are 100% retarded for not sitting in our illustrious ‘trading turrets’, bearing witness to such extravagance and splendor.

Comments »

MILK THE DRIVER

I have something for you to think about. With gasoline prices in the dumps and the US consumer rich as fuck, coupled with the newly minted Uber/Lyft oligarchies, I’d wager that Americans will “consume” more miles this driving season since the great ‘tank craze’ in Nazi Germany, circa 1945.

Having said that, I am already long gas station plays, such as MUSA and TA. However, now I am taking a direct approach to the heart of the margins: ethanol.

As a deranged liberal society, we destroy our food and place it into our cars as fuel. Over the past 3-4 months, the price of ethanol has collapsed, alongside oil and gasoline. However, supply is constrained, unlike the bastard oil sector. With the driving season approaching and Americans rich as fuck, “The Fly” has entered a new order into his computers, to be long of PEIX in winship terms.

Comments »

Selling Rips in Oil

I am not investing in these stocks long term. When profits present themselves, I am out.

I took profits on SN today.

Comments »

If Crude Cannot Help, Nothing Can

Most people believed the market needed crude to trade higher, in order to get the market going. Crude is up almost 10% over the past two sessions, and the markets have been punched in the face–repeatedly. This isn’t a worldwide market issue, since european markets have easily outperformed us. This is an American problem, one that is likely transient and will resolve itself in time.

With oil catching a bid here and fuel prices super low, you’d have to be out of your fucking minds to initiate shorts now.

There is a tidal wave of buyers waiting in the shadows. Once those fuckers get flushed out of TLT, this market will take off.

Comments »

You Need Longer Time Frames

How many different markets have we seen today? We got the morning bounce, the downside reversal, the upside surge, and now the anti-climatic give back. The market, for the time being, is undergoing price discovery. As a result, we are wading through a period of annoying volatility. If you’re watching every tick and trying to profit from the swings, you’re driving yourselves mad.

I am no longer interested in the intra-day ranges and will focus on weekly performance.

You’re trying to play the bounce in oil? Good. But don’t expect miracles on a daily basis.

German markets continue to outperform. The best way to play it this year is via new ETF HEWG, which hedges out the currency risk. If that ETF continues to attract new buyers, the parent company, WETF, should outperform as well.

For the moment, my #1 directional trade is to be long oil stocks. For the month of February, leading up to the driving season in March, there is tremendous opportunity in some of these beaten down names. But I can no longer watch them tick by tick.

Extend the time frames; stop adding cocaine to your morning coffee.

Comments »

The Patriots Win; The Bull Market is Back

Why did the Seahawks decide to throw the ball at the half yard line instead of running it? It’s the same reason why bears stay short in the face of relentless central bank intervention: they were afraid to succeed.

Now that a proper team won the super bowl, after that ridiculous Seattle team snatched the title last year, the stock market may resume its 2013 ways and trend higher with uncontrollable fervor.

Some of you will disagree with my assessment, likely due to your allegiance to a NY foolsball team that happens to play in NJ, or you reside in a heathen part of the United States (any state that west of the Mississippi is considered “heathen” by most scholars, worldwide).

God bless the Patriots and let’s hope the bears get disemboweled tomorrow in a most horrendous fashion.

Comments »

I am Not Crazy, Per Se

I swear to you I am a normal guy, running about the world in search of fortune. This market is making me fucking crazy. Not just ordinary crazy either, LUNATIC crazy without pause.

The market just melted the fuck down inside of 40 minutes. Oil sprang higher and everyone started celebrating, popping corks of champagne into each other’s faces–a grande old time, yes?

NO.

Now we get rubber bullets to the face. If the market was merciful, it would fire lead bullets and be done with us. Instead, we get impact wounds and limp on, hunchback of Notre Dame style, ashamed of what we’ve become.

I feel like a monster of sorts, craven and stark raving mad, playing a ruinous game out of choice, not necessity. I hope you appreciate my candor.

With oil up 7%, the market should be up 3%. Instead, we are banana peeling into the bell, setting up for calamitous disaster on monday.

Fuck this shit.

Comments »

BURN IN HELL: OIL IS RUNNING LIKE A MAD LION NOW

Everyone shut the fuck up I have an announcement to make.

I BOUGHT MOAR SHARES OF SLCA, SN AND ECR.

If you like the bloggy, you’re gonna love my Twitter account, if you’re not already following me. Thanks to The PPT, I was able to make this prescient call last night.

OIL

Comments »

Put Your Arm in the Meat Grinder Please

Visa is adding 90 points to the Dow today. Had it not been for those bozos, the Dow would be flat from yesterday’s sublime melt up. Or was it sublime? Perhaps it was insidious, a bastard event that has pitted man against man in the never ending quest to achieve cannibalistic rituals.

You want my money and I want yours. We box each others brains in and poke fun at each other when we are wrong. Some of us lie all the time, to make ourselves feel better about losing and/or market newsletters. I’ve never been a big fan of lying, since it tends to irritate the very essence of who I am. I put my trades out there to be ridiculed, shorted by vindictive billionaire hedge fund managers, torn to pieces by the winds from the east. It has been a horrendous 12 months for me and I cannot remember the last time I felt good about investing.

Sure, I have a thousands of ideas scrambling inside of my oversized brain, all to do with innovation and economic trends. But who gives a shit when the 10 yr yield is at 1.66%? I keep telling myself “things must get better”–because I am programmed to be optimistic about the economy and the market. In business, I’ve never found my natural tendency to be negative about things to be helpful. As a point in fact, I readily fight my pessimistic urges and avoid hanging around people who are depressing.

Boy is this market depressing; it makes me want to run away from it, lock the doors, and crawl under the bed screaming “go away you stupid bastard!”

On a whim, everything can change, which is why I want all of you to head on over to your local deli and stick your arms in the meat grinder (don’t do it!). That’s a permanent draw down. All of this shit here is fleeting.

Comments »