Potential to Cascade Lower Exists

I got today wrong and lost 1.12%. In fairness to me, I wasn’t really trading much today and just sort of poked at the market without much thought. I do prefer to be backed into a corner and all of my recent successes called into question — permitting me to prove my worth once again. The very best version of myself is one that is miserable, in a slump, and grim.

The past two weeks I’ve been somewhat content — in spite of the leaders in my country attempting to drag American boys into a slavic conflict. To be clear once again for those reading: Fuck NATO and fuck the GLOBOHOMO and to hell with Ukraine. That said, I do not want the war to persist and would much prefer young boys over there had a chance to love and live than fight for the benefit of the homosexuals in DC.

I hedged at the end of the day via SQQQ and UVIX at 30% of assets, which is basically net short. I do believe the close was bad enough to warrant some sort of risk off, especially since we’ve recently gone up and up without much news and we are a nation filled with demons deserving of a much lower S&P 500.

Fuck — we’ll just have to take what we can. I have no shorts at the moment and rather enjoy this long oil trade. I will tell you my vision now.

By August of 2023 the war in Ukraine will be at its worst state for the pride parade folks in Brussels. Then it will dawn on people that perhaps this time Europe can and will freeze. The Russian gas will be in short supply and the odds of a nice and balmy winter is remote. This will cause a panic — as European catamites struggle to fill their inventory to prepare for the winter to come.

Gas and oil prices will soar, all the while people begin to worry about the SPECTER of another inflation scare. This will in fact zero bid stocks and most of the bulls you see now will be skinned alive and tossed carelessly into boiling vats of oil.

The trade will be SHORT EQUITIES, LONG OIL and we’ll all be better for it.

As for today, it appears markets don’t want to believe in my grim tales and have instead opted to invested in homosexual tech companies. My entire life has been filled with choosing between my passion and what’s the right thing to do. Once again, I must follow my brain and invest long — since the time isn’t right to jump ship and swing merrily in the fiery waters of vengeance.

The Russian saga ended without much bloodshed. If you look at it from a Warlord/Tsar point of view, everyone who was involved in the coup has to, at some point, be skinned alive OR participate in a suicidal mission for the state. The homos from SLAVA UKRAINE-TWITTER are elated because they believe the Wagner forces will “melt away” with weapons into the ether. This of course isn’t even a remote possibility. What is likely to occur is the Wagner people are going to spearhead another adventure deep into Ukrainian clay. They bob and weave from all of those HIMARS rockets and land themselves firmly inside Kiev.

Markets tricked me this morning and I’m now down 72bps. I haven’t been trading much — just sort of sitting around and waiting for the market to collapse.

Reasons for collapse?

Why bother? Let’s just wait for it to happen.

Our boy, best dictator of Europe, Lukashenko negotiated a deal with the PMC head to fuck off and instead of invading Moscow and killing Russians — he will now take his marauding band of pirates to “guard” the Belarussian-Polish border in exchange for guarantees.

This all strikes me as utterly ridiculous. Perhaps PMC Wagner will now invade Ukraine from the north. Or, even better, perhaps they’ll invade Poland and direct their violence into the heart of the GLOBOHOMO.

Either way, Putin looks weak after this. A true strong man would’ve drawn and quartered Prighozin in the Red Square and maybe massacred the entire PMC Wagner inside lion pits. Instead, they get to go back to doing the things they love best and the war drags on.

In connected news, Putin agreed to fire the Russian MOD heads, as per Prighozin’s demands — again another L for Vlad. In their place will likely be people more criminally minded, wholly intent on “bringing peace” through more war at a more rapid pace.

For insight into the beautiful mind of Luka, watch this clip.

Update on Russian coup:

PMC Wagner is about 2hrs south of Moscow. Putin is reported to have fled to St. Petersburg. There isn’t any military forced that can oppose the mercenary group of Wagner. This is an important thing to remember. This is a criminal recruited mercenary group that was used as cheap blood to fight Russia’s wars in order to obfuscate casualties.

There isn’t a scenario where the turnover of Putin’s government to Prigozhin can be viewed as a positive for market stability. While I do think it’s highly possible PMC Wagner was bought out by NATO to remove Putin, it’s also extremely possible that placing a band of actual murderers and rapists in charge of the largest nuclear arsenal in the world to be a bad mistake.

Best case scenario:

PMC takes over and calls an end to the Ukraine war. I am sure the west is more than willing to permit Russia to spiral into anarchy and genocide in order to win the Ukraine conflict. After Russia falls, so will Belarus and perhaps Chechnya. If this all works out without collateral damage to the west, the west might get its way in breaking up Russia into numerous provinces, effectively neutralizing the Russian state forever.

Worst case:

Putin views the loss of the Russian state as reason to conduct a scorched earth policy and will target western nations with his nuclear arsenal. A Russian civil war will most likely lead to much higher oil and food prices — perhaps causing a reintroduction of hyper inflation and higher rates in the west.

The only way Putin can get out of this is to totally massacre the Wagner forces attacking his administration. Anything short of that proves his weakness and Prigozhin might seize power, perhaps on a temporary basis, and eventually hand it back to someone who is friendly to him. Either way, a Prigozhin regime sounds like a scary Tom Clancy story made from nightmares.

I didn’t want to comment on this until I digested all of the facts. For many weeks or even a month or two PMC head Prigozhin has been publicly criticizing Russian command and more recently has been praising Ukrainian units and then yesterday he went as far as to say the premise for the Russian invasion was a lie and the casualties claims by Russia are actually 4x higher.

It all sounded like a great idea: PMC Wagner — hire a bunch of murderers to die for your cause in favor of ordinary law abiding citizens. Who would’ve thought that one day, perhaps, the head of this unit might want to seize power and declare himself Barbarian King?

I do not think this is a psyop. I am unsure as to whether the CIA bought out Prigozhin — but wouldn’t be surprised. Either way, the narrative out there now is Prigozhin is only going after Shoigu and Gerismov; but that’s bullshit and you know it. The way coups work is simple: appeal to the people and tell them you’re their friend. No one will get hurt and the coup leader is going to save the nation. This is all lies and what will end up happening is a purge and death and collapse.

The war is likely coming to an end if this coup gets going. Putin will be arrested and/or killed and Prigozhin will be the new King or perhaps the new kingmaker with an army of murderers and rapists.

You really have to sit back and revel at it all.

Can this escalate the war?

NO.

No matter what is happening here Putin looks weak. Is it possible Prigozhin is working on behalf of Putin to get rid of Shoigu and Gerismov? Maybe — but if so that means Putin is weak in Moscow.

Botton line: The war with Ukraine is creating a massive strain inside the Russian military and elite circles. This strain is the direct result of NATO support of Ukraine coupled with Russia’s empty threats to strike at Ukrainian leadership and western powers who are helping Ukraine against Russia. Unfortunately, the GLOBOHOMO appears to have won again. Prepare for another 100 years or Rainbow Flags and tranny brigades throwing pizza parties for your children, after they’ve transitioned to a neutral sex.

Lots of shit-talkers out there regarding their investment prowess. Lo and behold, when things go sideways — those fuckers always blow the fuck up. What is my distinct advantage?

I literally never ever ever blow up and never will blow up because, and this is a fact, I am a professional.

YTD, my gains are PINNED TO HIGHS — never been higher. This is what I am rolling with into Monday.

It’s important to me that you know your place, your role in the pecking order. Whilst you might manage more money than me and have an overall better life, wife and legacy — you will, and this is a fact, never be better than me.

We are midyear into this clown festival and the results are in:

NASDAQ +36%
Dow +1.8%
SPY +13.5%
IWM +4.8%

NVDA, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, TSLA, META and NFLX are your masters. If you’ve been hiding out in some bullshit names waiting for reprieve — keep waiting jackass. It isn’t coming. Here in America we cherish our monopolies and if you just invest in them and shut your pie holes — you might be able to pay down your 39.95% APR credit card balances.

This has been a wild 6 months, going from hyper inflation and not able to afford eggs to rapid deflation and loving all of the deals the market provides again. Each day is the same episode of buy the dip and then the wave until the close. It has been easy to make money, providing you’re true to yourself and don’t become disillusioned with your ideas.

I closed out my “perfectly balanced” portfolio this morning for a net gain of 10bps. That was more or less the goal. We have trended up since the open; but I had no assurance this would happen — which is why I just sold it all. If not for my TZA hedge, I’d likely be down about 0.7% now.

Even though markets have been strong, you shouldn’t expect this pace to continue. This isn’t 1999 and the NASDAQ doesn’t deserve to double. Up 36% is a damn good return. We are much more likely to head into summer doldrums rather than find more reasons to rally. Some people are holding out for the great big small capped rally to come. Keep waiting Jack — that shit isn’t happening.

Best case scenario we collapse. It would be pleasant to see zero bids and people panicking amidst margin calls and that sort of stuff. It really just brings back fond memories. HOWEVER, I see no evidence of this happening yet so let’s not get too excited at the first sign of market weakness.

I am short and long term BEARISH on this tape — but have plenty of longs to prove me wrong. I closed down 126bps with a 21% position in TZA — since small caps appeared to be weak today and my hopes are, if being honest, we fall by 30% tomorrow.

Most likely we will not fall — so I have a full book of longs to sell at the open of trade tomorrow. More or less, I am preserving an 8% gain for June — even though the calendar, in theory, means nothing to me since I only run my own money. Old habits die hard.

Twitter was electric today with death cults running amok with glee over 4 people trapped at the bottom of the Atlantic in a sardine can. I’d like to say you’re all monsters and finding joy in the pain and suffering of others is evil. Then again, you’ve always been evil and you’ll never change.

You don’t have to believe in God to have grace, empathy for others. At the very core of every issue today, yesterday, and tomorrow is empathy — the ability to peer into the future and understand what it might feel like for another human being. I once read a book about languages and they found certain languages around the world never make reference to a future tense. This is important because language shows how a people think. What it means is — many of you are descended from fucking morons and your only hope is to dilute your shitty genes in order to help humanity feel sorry for people stuck at the bottom of the ocean without air, water, or food.

The faggots at the SEC have been trying to destroy Bitcoin, alongside all homosexual central banks. The net result is BTC is +82% for the year and had proven to be a risk off hedge in the face of a banking crisis.

It’s important to place things into perspective as well. The NASDAQ is up more than 30% and the risk on crowd is firmly in control of this shit-show. I am looking down the road for blockchain uses and view the advent of AI as a prime driver in the demand for transactions or IP to be verified on a place, such as Le Blockchain.

That being said, I am awfully BOOLISH on BTC here and now and am thinking about purchasing some calls on BITO or maybe MARA going out a year. The risk with MARA is the potential of something going awry with the company. Even so, owners of MARA enjoy the most liquid options and also a 3x return of whatever BTC does.

Above is option volume for today for crypto miners. As you can see, no stock even comes close to the liquidity of MARA — which opens up an entirely other possibility of GAMMA squeeze on the stock if and when BTC really busts loose.

I covered most of my shorts and have been buying all day and have PINNED myself to session lows somehow — off by 1.47%. How I did this remains a mystery. But I am optimistic that I can reduce said losses and set myself up for a brighter future.