The Market is Taking the Direction of Maximum Pain

I am 10% exposed to the market as of now — but that can change at any moment. I am long $SOXL because the market is down heavily and whenever that happens — retards enter the foray and bid it up.

I am +62bps so far in smart trading — very smart indeed. I have been long and short — but mostly right.

The presumption is we are going to cascade lower and detonate the 401k plans of all hard working Americans by Hallow’s Eve. That presumption, dare I say, is exactly right.

The US 10yr is +10bps and all hell is busting loose in the treasury market, further deepening the already crimson losses at the banks. We have an inexorable and palpable crisis evolving and the people are mad as hell about it.

I’d say the mood in America is worse than I’ve ever seen it in my lifetime. People, generally speaking, want upheaval at home and peace abroad.

Today’s markets are foisting unbelievable cartoonish sized losses in just about every venue BUT Bitcoin miners and trillion dollar monopolies. If you’re not involved in those niche areas of the market, your losses are in the ball park of -1.5% today.

My gains are handsome because I am handsome and I’ve worked harder than you to perfect my trade. This doesn’t have to be an adversarial relationship, as you are of course welcome to join Stocklabs for as little as $2 per day and glean off my ideas like a chum fish attached to a great white shark.

Audio version of blog

Long ago when I was a cold caller at a brokerage firm my boss came around to my desk and sat down in front of me. It was about 10pm and I had been smiling and dialing all day and all night. He said to me “I made $85,000 this month and have nothing to do with it. You know how I do this Fly?”

Curious, I eagerly rang back “No, how, please tell me.”

He got up and said to me “because I work smart, not hard, pal” — and then walked away.

At that time I wanted to spring up and decapitate him. But as the years worn by and my own success achieved itself through manners of method, his cocained fueled words that night resonated with me more and more.

People who only work hard have no choice in the matter and are like machines — oiled with coffee and greasy egg sandwiches — whose sole purpose on this planet is to toil.

At the open of trade this morning, I executed my trades and came out the other end +45bps.

Do you know how I did that pal?

Because I worked smart on Friday, not hard, and now I preside before you at your desk to tell you these things because fuck you.

AI video version of blog

When I speak to retards about this subject — they always sight the dollar index against other fiat currencies and saying something weird like “King Dollar.” If you’re familiar with Einstein’s insane theory of relativity you can apply the price of the shit dollar to the price of the shit euro, throw them in front of two speeding trains, and then flush it all into one great big giant toilet bowl.

Like you, I’ve been making money since 2000 and like you I’ve been harangued by the cost of shit going up constantly, save televisions and cheap clothes, while at the same time told “MUHH the dollar is strong.”

SIR

Some stats for your review, from 2000 to present

Dollar Index: FLAT

Average hourly wages are +75%

Average home prices are +162%

Producer Price Index +111%

Gasoline +202%

Health Insurance +230%

College Tuition: +117%

S&P 500: +388%

NASDAQ: +83%

GOLD +254%

Dow Jones +68%

I hope you understand and realize markets had rebounded off the 2002 lows and crashed again in 2008-2009, destroying people in the process. We recovered in 2009 and have been up every year save 2. The markets truly soared under the Trump administration an we’ve been led to believe the NASDAQ is where money should be allocated — thanks to the domination of 7 large tera cap stocks.

But over a longer time frame, as you can see from the statistics above, the $SPY has been the single best place to invest and save yourselves from the scourge of the rapidly depreciating dollar.

The media will have you believe we are in fact “blessed” by the dollar — but this of course isn’t true. If you’re comparing the dollar versus failed civilizations, then yes we are blessed. But America has always been a financial power and our currency has been something of a marvel since the early 1900s. But do not believe for a moment that the dichotomy between wages and the price of everything else is copacetic.

When people refer to the plight of middle class Americans — this is what they’re talking about. If you’ve been smart enough to invest your money and hedge against the decreasing buying power of your money — great. Many government workers and people with pensions have benefited from the rise of markets and it’s good they have that. Could you imagine if markets had not soared since 2000 but was instead flat? Those people would be screwed.

This leads me to a point I’ve made for decades writing on this blog. We might hate the markets now because it is an avatar for a corrupt regime of tyrannical manifestations not seen since Marxist scum swept the planet decades ago. However, it is the only thing we have left here and they will always find a way to support it until the very end. We often say “it’s over” but it’s never really over and as long as these fuckers are breathing — they’ll concoct new schemes and methods to support this system.

Using my writing, I found a decent enough service to subscribe to in order to generate content. Let me know what you think.

I closed the month +0.25% in very risk averse trading. I could’ve spared myself the time and toil by just going on a month sojourn — but time is backward looking and only quitters give up on dreams of achieving success.

The NASDAQ raced lower 5.2% for September — extending the market’s losing streak to 8 weeks.

I am positioned into Monday HEAVILY NET SHORT and truly want you to remember that I said this come Monday. I had a grim vision, a prediction even, of brightly lit fires canvassing the entire market — people foisting themselves through windows without even bothering to open them.

When I was a boy, perhaps 10, I once predicted every single lottery number before it was revealed on the TV. One by one I called out the numbers and was delighted to see that I had predictive powers. After that, I went out to play baseball and later on throw M-80s into manholes to chase the waterbugs and step on them as they scattered for their lives.

I view the market like this, almost all the time. I am going to drop an M-80 into your home and when you come out to scatter about in the chaos — I will step on you.

Very sorry for that visualization — but sometimes I cannot help myself.

Cheers!

I will tell you precisely what is going to happen.

Markets will close out the session weak — because it’s September and fuck you. October will fall upon you like a sack of lead balloons — crushing your wallets and then your spirit. We will McPlunge lower to the tune of 10% and all will appear to be lost. Riots will cascade from the urban centers into rural areas — where BLM activities will spread into corn and wheat fields — rioters sacking tonnes of livestock and herding them back to their dwellings for proper butchering and sale. The wheat and corn will be STRIPPED from the fields and sold back to the govt for large profits.

Everyone else will starve.

Then the Fed will issue a press release to the effect that rates can, in fact, be dropped in the face of unyielding catastrophe in the financial markets. The Treasury will step in to expedite their papering over at the banks and stocks will bottom and then surge into the latter part of October.

All will be well into November, as America girds into large vats of brown crazy and mashed potatoes, celebrating Thanksgiving. Bulls will of course remind the bears of their place and boast about their excellence, coasting through December merrily opening Xmas presents and stocking up on Champagne to usher in 2024.

Then catastrophe will strike markets like a bolt of lightening onto Ben Franklin’s kite. They will reel lower and reel again, and the bears will rise up in force and shit all over the heads of the bulls who lay prostrate on the ground — forlorn and strewn — unable to defend the honor and glory of Wall Street.

The end.

I just got back from driving for two hours and talking and talking and talking and debating and debating and I feel like my fucking head is going to explode.

I bowed out from trading the last 2-3hrs of the day, closing up just 36bps — down from the session highs of +130bps. Make that two days in a row when I rather enjoyed good returns only to give them back in lackluster and abject stupid into the close.

HENCEFORTH: I will sell all of my stocks after achieving +1% gains, until this market improves. It should be noted, there is further upside ahead — into the terminal death of the entire economy. I am hedged, so my beta is low and my balls are small. I wanted to be brave — but I had to drive for 2 to 3 fucking hours to talk and babble about utter fucking nonsense.

I stand before you small people +80bps, leveraged long. I had to take out and shoot my hedges earlier, all for obscene losses — because the market only wants, for whatever reason, to go higher. We can hem and haw about it — think about ways and reasons for stocks to COLLAPSE and bring about the apocalypse. But, for now, she wants higher.

I have been particularly interested in the “white economy” due to so much shrinkage taking place inside urban centers and the stores that festoon them.

Take for example shares of $COST: very nice and cheap — as opposed to $TGT. Don’t get me wrong — I like Target and view the shares as historically cheap. But it’s not part of the ‘white economy’ anymore and as soon as they stock up on Xmas presents, BAM!, shrinkage of monumental scale will occur. The same goes for $BBY and $WMT.

But Costco is big and has a very ominous feel to it, especially if you’re a looter. You might get the sense that once inside taking chickens, the doors will shut down and kill teams will be dispatched to exterminate you with the lights out. Not a good feeling, I could imagine.

The other white stocks worth looking at are $ANF, barely any looters go there because it’s very gay and very white. Other names include $THO, $TSCO and $CHDN — all places that if attempting to steal from you will likely understand the 2nd amendment intimately.

Markets are climbing. All aboard.

You should’ve seen me out there — glistening in the sun — trading like the wind with strong strides and powerful motions. People would get in my way and I’d decapitate them with one single blow. I had been up in a FULLY LONG book 1.35% at session highs. Earlier in the day I felt the market would collapse; but then changed my mind and bought everything.

My plan worked in a dreamy state and I boasted and bragged about my good fortune at all of my enemies, who are also my subscribers, inside Stocklabs. They were besides themselves in rage, or at least that’s what I wanted to believe. My winning was hurtful to them and when markets started to cascade lower in the final hour, I noticed they felt better. My fortunes soured — gains decreasing to just +54bps by the close.

My response to this selling was more buying, in spite of really hating stocks and all of the pomp around them. And then I had a vision, a rather dark and dreary one, that had me buried in a shallow grave and all of my subscribers laughing at me as they urinated on my cardboard headstone.

So I bought a mammoth $FAZ position to hedge. I now feel better — but know I am 136% leveraged in an array of high risk stocks and one singular hedge that would require a banking collapse to offset any substantial drawdown in stocks tomorrow.

I place myself, hitherto, at the mercy of the Gods.

Hell of a market you have there. It’d be a shame if something happened to it. It’d be a damned shame.

Look on the bright side — the American stock exchange isn’t American anymore. It belongs to a weird cadre of globalist heathens who deserve infamy and persecution. Sure they’re in charge now and are enjoying their time in the sun — but everything fades and also renews. Their symbol of wealth and fame is held up by match stick legs. It dances around wonderfully and mocks those attempting to catch it. The friction it causes, from all of that dancing, will ignite those fucking match sticks and burn this entire son of a bitch down. They will pay for what they’ve done completely and entirely, or nothing will go back to the way it was.

A dark and brooding storm fast approaches — heading right for the dancing match stick fuckers.

The US 10yr is +7bps to 4.63%. WTI is +3.3%. The rally early enjoyed has been ransacked and now barbarian hordes are rampaging, LOOTING EVEN, all of the wonderful returns bulls had achieved for themselves since the beginning of 2023.