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Dr. Fly

18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.

Happy Holiday’s: You’re Still Fucked

I hope you are enjoying the tepid opening because the shit, mind you, will hit the fan later on today. I am very gloomed and doomed. My prospects at making some decent coin in this market has been smashed to pieces by QE3 buyers, who are now unwinding, running for safe haven.

TLT is heading higher. I’ve made my bed from concrete and intend to sleep in it, regardless of market action. Over the past two weeks, I’ve moved things around, quite a bit. I am tired of running and will opt to face my worst fears, even if it steam rolls my person into the fucking pavement, permanently solidifying my embodiment into the halls of great stupidity.

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Entirely Fucked

There is no silver lining. You’re entirely fucked. Same here, pal, so don’t get uppity.

There is no need to offer platitudes and tell you ‘longer term, you’ll be okay.” No one gives a shit about the long term. We want our blow now and we want it white.

I love how people paint pigs all the time. “Don’t worry, after your open heart surgery, you’ll be in tip top shape.” Truth is, once your body is opened, you’re fucked. Besides, anyone undergoing open heart surgery is super-fucked for at least 3 months, debilitated by pain. There is no silver lining in that; you’re fucked pal.

If you don’t want to undergo open heart surgery, quit eating cheeseburgers you stupid shit. If you don’t want to feel the pain of the market’s knife twisting inside of your guts, quit investing like a fucking degenerate OTButtfucker.

In 6 months, everything will be great, or it won’t– right? You can listen to the so called “experts” littering the Twitter and Stocktwits streams; but most of those clowns can’t string 5 cogent sentences together, let alone bank fucking coin in the market every God damned year since the dot com bust. I am going to give it to you straight: we are entering a very dangerous place and seasonality begs to differ with the overall bullish theme playing down on Wall. It can turn on a dime, stuffing you clowns, firmly, into cannons–shot out into the Van Allen belt.

If we don’t move up soon, we’re going down hard for a month straight. It just might be a VXX HALLOWEEN, yet again. By that time, I’ll be collecting famous human heads and placing them on my mantle, as “conversation pieces.”

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NIGHTMARE ON FLY STREET

I can’t think of a worse position to be in, other than August of 2011. Back then, I saw all of my gains vanish and go negative by 8%, before making a miraculous comeback. Today’s market action wreaks of market top. It has all of the hallmarks of being the beginning of sheer fuckery, pain thrusted upon those who dared to go long near the highs.

As I write this missive, I am now down 2% for the day, a 7 fold increase in losses since I spoke with you last. This is the nascent stages of my demise. My gluttonous greed has led my astray, away from my own advice, fully exposing me to the turbulent winds of the Fall.

The winter is coming and I am outside playing ball in a tanked top and speedos, like a fucking true bastard.

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Destined For the Circle Jerk

Once again, I glared at the warm market waters and dove in, without prolixity. My head hit pavement and my skull cracked in half, paving the way for my brains to fall out of my head–leaving me stupid.

Yes, indeud, the market is heading lower. There is a person on my teevee who believes we are going to crash again, 2008 style. Quickly, everyone panic and go to cash! I timed the market with precision, military grade, at the ultimate top of today’s trading range. I stepped in and purchased large blocks of DDD, JIVE, ESRX and ULTA, like a big fancy bow tied money manager, drinking shots of century old scotch as I pressed “buy.”

We were +50 back then, now we’re down 30 and just getting warmed up. Hell, the man on the teevee says we’re going to zero, so we might as well listen to him. After all, he must a denizen of truth and prosperity, being a CNBC guest and all.

Cocksucker!

I am down 0.3% today, which isn’t so terrible. But I was up more than 1% this morning. This market is, without equivocation, the very definition of “circle jerk”, an iron lotus to the head, sharp clawhammer to the top of your noggin. I am so fucking pissed off right now, I feel like punching holes through my windows.

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ALL IN, YET AGAIN

I added to my DDD, JIVE and ESRX positions. In addition, I started a new position in ULTA, for the $100 roll.

 

Cash is back down to 10%.

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ATTENTION BEARS: PLEASE SEE YOURSELVES INTO THE SEWER PIPE!

Futures are higher this morning and I have 30% of my assets in cash. The end of the quarter approaches and stocks need to print higher, to enhance the cosmetics of our business. Many of you pikers out there, doing 20-30k per month in gross commissions, are bankrupt. You’re degenerates, swallowing rum with the ice cubes (whole), pissing away your money in near dated call contracts. There are engineers who make half of what you make, yet have more.

SHAME on your house.

I am going to buy some stocks today. As of right now, I don’t know what I am buying. I intend to let the wind speak to me, in subtle, stentorian tones. I will visit my urinal shadows and have a cup of tea with them, discussing world events, history and the future. By the end of the day, I will have some serious money at risk, just in time for end of quarter shenanigans.

 

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The Wind is Blowing Decidedly From the East

No one is really talking about the Chinese cash crunch. But it’s starting to annoy me and I figured you should share in my source of annoyance.

Here’s why this story, which is entirely real and legitimate, annoys the fuck out of me. We all know the crazy chinamen have been building modern day pyramids (ghost cities) for the past decade, hoarding basic resources like stark raving lunatics, in order to avoid riots and things of that nature. The chinese brand of communism, which was ushered in many years ago under the banner of equality and fairness, has failed. The country is filled with rich fuckers who control the serfs, working at FOXCONN slave factories, making iPhones for western gluttons.

Anyway, this news should jar markets. It should dislocate credit markets and cause a serious crisis. But it won’t because everything is fake. I mean, they’re just trying to lure you into a false sense of panic, just so they can drop the “dick-guillotine” on your cylinder whenever you “sack up” to get short (puns intended). I will not be suckered into this “crisis” because by the time it materializes, the market will be on its way to 20,000.

I love the market because it gives me money. But I hate the market because it no longer abides by the rules. I am sure many of you feel the same. This is the new normal. It’s going to take a lot of re-programming to get the old school to fall in line. Truth be told, young and ignorant investors will do great in this sort of tape. They lack morals and intelligence by lack of wisdom and can invest freely, without fear or reason. It’s never the old man who banks coin in roaring bull markets. It’s the guy speed chopping carrots, with his balls on the table, who shits on everyone else.

Having said that, I’m gonna buy stocks tomorrow based on a real chinese cash crunch because “The Costanza Trade” is the only trade worth taking these days (whips cane into the face of old man in wheeled chair).

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Barren Lands at The House of Fly

Stupid fucking bullshit. I gave back most of my post QE3 party money over the past week of trade. Drip by drop, the market has fucked me, setting me back to a paltry +30% for the year. I don’t think the market is going higher; I know it is. Nevertheless, there is a process and stocks can fuck you before you fuck them (no homo), if you’re not careful.

For me, today’s tape was equal to having vindaloo chicken smeared all over my face. That spicy shit, burning out my eyeballs.

Aside from the refiners, the only long term trend that is a dunk shot to make money on is organic food. I know some of you republican dick-suckers like to toss irrelevant studies out there, decrying conventional food to have equal footing with organic. All of your distorted studies can suck 10 dicks. Having genetically modified foods inside of your digestive tracks will kill you. It will fuck with your stomach, organs, and eventually make you fat as hell, unable to fit through doors and bowling alley lanes. You need to research the negative effects that genetically modified corn and soy have on a person’s body, then you will realize why WFM goes up daily.

Off the cuff, some organic plays worth perusing are WFM, BNNY, NGVC, HAIN, TFM and CALM.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=odCSWY05u4Q

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Cutting Losses

I sold out of NFLX and ATML, closing the chapter on two stupid companies. Today’s ATML debacle is due to an analyst downgrade. I really have no interest in buying ATML weakness, as it was designed to pop with momo. Since the new momentum is lower, I am the fuck out of that goat-fucking stock.

The proceeds of both sales puts my cash position to 30%, as both positions were 10% albatrosses. My risk appetite is nil and I don’t feel like spinning my wheels today. The market is weak. There isn’t much working today, outside of utilities and defensive stocks.

You should be on guard for fuckery, as last week’s buyers capitulate into this week’s weakness. It’s really one big clusterfuck, this market. One day we’re all doing lines of blow, spinning atop the needle of the Empire State building. Today, however, we’re destitute, cellar dwellers, begging for Mother Market to bail us out.

Well, I have news for you, Jack. The market doesn’t respond to desperate pleas for help. The exact opposite is more likely to happen, under the banner of a “no surrender accepted” black flag.

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Sticking With Familiar Faces

I don’t like change. I’m not the type to paint the walls purple and I’m not the type to invest in unorthodox manners. What we are seeing here today, as well as last week, is consolidation following a strong move higher. The people who bought in last week are the “weak hands” and will be flushed out of the market at the first sign of a sell off. They are Johnny come latelys and do not have the composure to withstand a barrage of sell orders.

If you’re interested in buying now, do so in increments.

Aside from one or two names that are in  strong down trends, I am content with my mixed bag of nuts, even though it’s losing me money. I own a lot of KMB, ESRX, OSG, PPC, ATML, DDD, JIVE and even NFLX. I am positioned to make a great deal of money, if the market trades up. This is not a portfolio built for defense. If it was, I’d get rid of everything but ESRX and KMB.

When confused about the direction of the market, try to remember recent history and have faith in our government officials to keep the quo status and to kick the can down the road. Believe it or not, that is the best course of action for people living in the now. If you’re interested in preserving the American economy past 2025, you might want to make some structural changes. But maybe they know something you don’t.

For example: perhaps they are aware of an alien army on its way from a distant galaxy, hell bent on enslaving us to mine gold for them. Maybe the global warming thing picks up some steam and wipes out civilization inside of the next 10 years. Or, maybe we’re past the tipping point of fiscal cancer and it’s only a matter of time before the world sinks into an irreversible great depression.

If that’s the case, we might as well drink some brandy, dressed as gentlemen in top hats, printing money, on the deck of the sinking USS Americana.

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