Some of you newer investors look at the market and wonder why it’s going lower, so dramatically. The answer is very simple: monetary policy is wrong, especially in Europe. At the present, nominal GDP in Europe is contracting, as well as employment, asset prices and sentiment. There is capital destruction on a historical scale, yet the ECB feels it is appropriate to keep rates at 1%.
Europe is heading towards depression, brought on by massive deflation.
When deflation hits, prices drop, bonds and safe haven currencies soar. Look around you. How’s everything but oil? What is TLT, UUP and German bunds doing? Last I checked, German 2 yr yielded 0.0%, yet demand is at an all-time high.
If the Fed and the ECB allow the deflationary vortex to take hold, you will see a frightening economy. It will be full retard to the downside trading action. I am talking about 300-500 points at a clip, until we settle at around Dow 5,000. Many of you are still fighting inflation. You’ve been so brainwashed by people like Peter Schiff and others that you sincerely believe the dollar is going to zero and we are heading down the path of Zimbabwe.
You’re delusional.
All of the money that has been printed has been absorbed into the system and is being destroyed. Money supply is falling and we need more stimulus. We have no choice but to ease, quantitatively, until asset prices cause a ripple effect towards a path to economic prosperity.
What is the alternative? Would you rather take a dog-brained approach to this and get austere, like Europe, cutting spending into the fucking ground? Look at what is going on there! They are cutting spending as GDP falls. Then GDP falls some more, leading to even more cuts. It’s a never-ending loop to oblivion.
This is fact: Germany needs to be removed from the European Union. The EU doesn’t need those fucking barbarians. Without Germany they can issue Euro-bonds and save the fucking continent. With German austerity, bank runs, riots, soaring unemployment, global crisis and depression will be the end result.
Once Germany is removed from the EU, the mark will explode, fucking German exports, leading to a win for the allied powers, yet again.
Fuck Germany.
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