iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,430 Blog Posts

BREAK THEIR SPIRITS FOR XMAS

This is exactly what is going to happen.

There is a sense of entitlement in this market — with a cadre of traders solely depending upon fantasy and dreams of success to magically produce before their very own eyes, which in turn will afford them extravagances which in turn will produce partners to fornicate with in acts of grave debauchery. Let me remind you, the idea you are deserving of anything is folly. You get what you deserve and whether you like it or not is grossly irrelevant.

To start the day, I was entitled and delighted to see gains of 2%. I caught a buyout with VVNT and my hedges worked and I just held 100% long waiting for the cadre of optimistic dip buyers to step in and bring forth gains of perversion. Instead, market longs were offered the Black Flag, no surrender. One by one I bore witness to my comrades receiving bayonets into their livers. To escape this fate, I smarty traded and made 11 day trades, with 10 producing profits. Had it not been for my trading, my day would’ve ended in misery with me feeling dejected and depressed. Instead I stand before you like a man in the gymnasium hopped up on HGH, anabolic steroids and caffeine, down just 41bps for the day.

My hunch, or my feeeeeelings, point to an idea of Christmas joy and stocked market rallies. But then I get to thinking about the Dow +20% the past two months and all of the scam and all of the fiction and come to realize the bulls are going to be broken into pieces this holiday season. Whether you celebrate Christmas of Hanukkah, or perhaps even the CIA holiday of Kwanza: you shall be dispatched Sir into the depth of hades where you will then stew alongside Jeffrey Epstein for a while before coming to the conclusion that it is over and the only appropriate course of action would be to SELL SHORT THE SEMICONDUCTORS, or long SOXS — as all men of means are doing right now as we speak.

Alas, I have been blogging for your pleasure since 2007 and have accurately predicted every single bear market, even the ones that never materialized. I am telling you now, so hear me loudly, WE SHALL FORTHWITH BE SHATTERED INTO PIECES on par with a Blackened Swan event that will darken your souls and blacken your portfolios with losses.

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CATASTROPHIC BEAR MARKET RESUMES

It’s not as bad as it looks: promise. You might be thinking to yourselves now “oh no what will I do?” Stocks are down 3%, give or take, and the month has only just begun. At this rate, markets will drop by 25% by the New Year, truly ushering in Centaurs to the NYSE to ring in the bell with the heads of decapitated traders.

But before you get all scared like a pussy, bear in mind the 10 1000 point rallies you have been ENTREATED to this year. It is your right for magnanimous rallies. You deserve it because you’re an American and democracy is the light. Ergo, just sit there and snort some more cocaine and wait. I am almost certain Fed’s Kashkari will say something to really get people going again. Hey, how about *only* 25bps for December instead of 50 or the dastardly 75bps? I bet you’d like that — wouldn’t you?

In many ways, 2022 was a bull market for stocks. Sure, we had periods of disarray and many Reddit tier stocks dropped 90%. But on the whole, if you were nimble, you got to enjoy, and savor, multiple THOUSAND POINT RALLIES, which were all, mind you, well deserved for a man of your stature and station.

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THE FLY IS BACK TO RECORD HIGHS

We are not trading like a healthy market ought to.

I got lucky this morning and caught a buyout with VVNT. I closed it out and will replace it after 12pm today. I also stepped in with a 31% weighting in SQQQ/TZA and closed them out, perhaps a bit too early. Nonetheless I’m up 1.5% at the open: back to annual highs or *55%.

It was suggested that I wish my haters, both imaginary and real, to die since I’m now rich again at highs and that’s the sort of thing one does when they want to make themselves feeeeeel better.

“Hey you over there, why don’t you drop dead, now seeing I am back to annual highs?”

But I’m not a monster and am without ego. So you may live and press on and continue to read my blog and get angry at my success.

I’m tempted to reapply my hedges since markets look like rotten hell. Maybe I should go for a walk as if to avoid it.

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WALLED STREET HIT WITH NIGHTMARE SESSION HEADING INTO CHRISTMAS

Let me elaborate on several items, so we are clear.

I never believed in any of the narratives that pointed to stocks going up. They are going down for a long long time and you’ll have to deal with that reality going forward. The idea we rally based upon the Fed sticking their knife only halfway into your heart instead of fully — IS ABSURD.

This is what is going to happen, with exact measure.

RETAIL SALES WILL MISS EXPECTATIONS.

THE CHINESE ECONOMY WILL IMPLODE, TAKING WITH IT EVERYTHING.

THE RUSSIANS WILL FIELD A MILLION MEN TO WAR WITH UKRAINE, DRAINING WESTERN RESOURCES TO THE POINT OF COLLAPSE

THE FED WILL STOP HIKING BECAUSE IT’S OVER. THE ECONOMY WILL SHRINK BY MORE THAN 3% NEXT YEAR.

Rallies are to be sold lads. If you’re dumb enough to believe in the fantasy of democratic capitalism, I have a laptop with the President’s son smoking crack with whores to show you.

I managed the session like a champ, +38bps — fully hedged via SQQQ and TZA into tomorrow’s almost assured collapse. Had I not been hedged and waited to reallocate to my weekly holds, I would have been down more than 250bps. But thanks to 4 for 4 day trades and a little luck, I escaped the market’s wrath and now stand before you, a towering and terrifying visage, which will haunt you in your nightmares as a reminder that it’s over and there is nothing you can do to stop it.

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COMMODITIES FUCKING IMPLODE!

Based upon the assumption of a tight Fed, oil and has prices, alongside every single other commodity in the world, have collapsed? Is that the narrative?

BULLSHIT

The only reason for a rout like this is SLOWING GROWTH and a crushing lower of GDP and earnings.

LOOK AT THIS SHIT.

So you mean to tell me wheat is down 3.4% because the Fed is MUHHHH hawkish? INCORRECT. The only logical assumption is the following.

Russian exports are at record highs and intermediaries like India are reselling to the places that need it. There are NO SHORTAGES of basic materials. Any slowing of growth will naturally hit prices because there will be lessened demand. That’s all there is to it. There are no real sanctions on Russia. Prove me wrong.

NASDAQ is -200 and I dodged the entire meltdown because I had gone to cash, BASED UPON SCIENCE, at the open. I am now 100% long, just closed out a monster SOXS hedge — and reserve the right as a tax evading citizen to apply more hedges into ze close.

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NEW WEEK, NEW FLY POSITIONS!

Good day

My new trading stratagem is in full effect today, as I sashayed out of present positions this morning for +74bps. I will be repositioning into WEEKLY holds after the 12 o’clock hour, not based upon superstition but science.

Above is an hourly chart of returns per hour for the QQQ since June. As you can clearly see, evidently, my decision to wait is based not upon hunches or rote base instincts, but eloquent and incontrovertial data science.

There isn’t much to say, since my opinion on the matter is no longer relevant. I have been absorbed into the Borg. My resistance was and still us futile. I will, however, supplement my positioning with day trades and hedges, something I am still quite able to willing to do.

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END HATE: IT’S TIME TO UNITE BEHIND A SINGLE GOAL

I have adopted a new banner, from which I will now resume a reign of terror not seen since the days of the crusades.

Believe when when I tell you, that flag you see above “might” be representative of some depraved gay subculture trend, but I have adopted it here as a unifying force for all people: the blacks, the jews, the orientals, the brahmins (no Dalits permitted), and of course the whites to ATTACK and defeat the most annoying group of people on the face of the earth: the bulls.

I think we can all agree, all religions and races alike, that our common enemy are these fucking bulls and their talking points to almost always, at all times, prefer HIGHER stock prices no matter the news or the condition of the economy. These people, in my estimation, pose a risk to mankind as a whole and need to be defeated.

In this day and age of hatred and divisiveness, there are bloggers out there, who also run trading rooms, who talk extreme levels of shit and draw wedges between people based upon any number of issues. There are rumors, at least I am told, that some of these bloggers even cast out his own readers and members based upon investment preferences of cartoons rather than stocks. I am not here to cast judgement on those aforementioned bloggers, but instead offer a unifying cause that even transvestites can get behind (pause).

Let us set aside our hatred and come together under that flag and KILL the bull market and everyone in it. This way, after it’s all said and done, we might live in peace and harmony without FOMC rigging and Goldman Ballsachs/ JP Morgan schemes.

Post Pax Americana, I intend to become a rancher of sorts, walk about my land with a large hat and a lasso, presiding over my cattle — squinting at wolves in the brush to fuck off and to not even think about eating my family of future steaks.

Anyway, I hope you have a nice weekend and enjoy the ladders you’re on for the Xmas decorations you’re programmed to display each and every holiday season — like retarded children festooning your homes with Satan Claws trinkets and fanciful fictional beings who come to life every year for the express purposes of imposing RUINOUS costs upon your person.

GOOD DAY!

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Well Deserved Gains

Markets did a lot better than the indices suggested. Inside Stocklabs I created my own fucking indices and the general index comprising of 4,000 stocks was +1.3% today.

I managed +275bps in trading and +175bps in the quant.

To repeat, I am no longer WHIP SAWING like a fucking moron all day with my entire account. I am only whipsawing with a smaller portion using leverage. The rest of my positions are fixed each monday using the algos.

That’s all there is to it. I credit myself to be some sort of savant fucked for face when it comes to stocks. But I think I might’ve just cured my unhappiness and emancipated myself from being a TRADE-SLAVE in exchange for a rather GENTEEL existence as a mere manager of my assets. This new trading method will lead to a long period of success and fulfillment. I can envision myself now CAVORTING, sashaying even, doing all sorts of decadent things whilst my portfolio works on auto drive, on par with serving and DRINKING martinis whilst having your Tesla auto drive you across a pastoral landscape with nothing but sunshine and golden skies as a backdrop.

Look, I am deserving of win. Just today the FUCKED FACES at Pottery Barn called me up and said “we lost your furniture” and there’s not a damned thing I can do about it for the next few months. They have to get some 11 yr old Thai boy to make me a new one. In the meantime, my living room is fitted with a Pottery Barn couch that looks like a Tasmanian devil gnawed at its legs whilst in the shipping crate from Thailand en route to me. Those rotten hell bastards said I can’t get a new couch until February. So I am stuck without a chair, gnawed out couch, and a general discontentment just swashbuckling though my life for the better part of the last decade!

So fuck you very much, I will accept this 2.75% return and like to think my problems with the market have been all but solved from here going forward.

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Random Thoughts About Life and Markets

More of the same middling down day without any real energy in it. You can tell the bears are dickless pieces of shit, unable to truly mount an attack on the bulls. I’d like, ideally, to see markets down — say — 5,000 points. With a 5000 point drubbing, all of the bulls would be put into their places. Sadly, I have been doing this forever and the sharp drops NEVER last. The bear lifespan is no more than 1-2 years and then his brain is skull fucked for another 5 until he’s able to recover enough energy to strike back.

I +2.2% today and I deserve those gains, mainly because I am a good person. People think I am rather polite and well mannered, although at times there are enemies of mine who hate my guts and hope that I die. But who cares? We all die. Most of us go about our lives making fools of ourselves, saying crazy stuff — and a select few actually carry out crazy ideas with action. My words are mainly tailored for the internets. In real life, I mind my business and rarely even look at my neighbors, let alone attempt to carry on lengthly discussions. I would not call myself a recluse — but I certainly don’t give a fuck about social circles.

Travel?

What the fuck for — when I can see all of that shit on the TV. Nevertheless, Mrs Fly has ordered us to travel to Europe this spring and I agreed — but only because I have a suspicion that Europe will be completely destroyed soon and I’d hate to miss out on all of the GOOD FOOD before ICBMs level the place.

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New Trading Stratagem and Booming US Economy

Lads

The jobs numbers were good. We are in the midst of a soft landing. Nothing can stop the buying.

I wanted to briefly touch upon my life as a trader.

It’s fucking exhausting trying to figure out each and every turn. In recent months, due to my obsessive behavior, I have micro managed my account — doing between 50-100 trades PER DAY with little to show for it. I had ups and I had downs; but at the end of the day — I have my dick in my hand and have been flat.

My quality of life has been ABHORRENT — always out there running about for deals and collapses — throwing dry hay into fires because it’s fun and waiting impatiently for the end of Pax Americana.

The solution (maybe).

LET THE FUCKING QUANT INVEST ON MY BEHALF. After all, it’s my brain just digitized without the emotion. I will turn it over once per week — every monday — and instead of using our 1mo algo I will use the 1 week.

Simple.

To boost my returns and/or protect my account from the ending of Pax Americana, I will employ LEVERAGE to sell short or boost returns with other longs. The idea is to keep a 100% long portfolio at all times and use my instincts on an intraday or overnight scale to outperform even MOAR.

Thus far, I am +2.1% today, as I walked into today with a long panic SOXS position at 22% of my account — and I booked it for a 6% gain.

Presently I have a small 10% hedge in SQQQ and might cut it loose or add to it later on in the day — depending on my mood.

BOTTOM LINE: The economy seems to be doing unbelievably resilient with today’s jobs numbers exceeding expectations. The Fed hikes, and the war, have ZERO effect on the economy — as evidenced by all of the data.

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