Gonna Give Collapse One Final Chance

The morning action is bullish and I was close to covering my shorts and ending my foray into volatility — until I peered a look at bonds and saw they barely budged.

It’s true — all of the cool stocks are up and my olde man stocks and $TZA/$UVIX positions are tanking lower. But maybe I should give the specter of collapse a chance and let the market absorb all of the buyers to hopefully TRAP THEM long and destroy them!

This is probably delusional thinking on my part and my ego might be getting in the way of proper risk analysis. However, I did just buy 3 cool stocks to hedge my hedges and my losses, although regrettable, are still about than 1%.

If not short, I’d be boasting about the $LYFT numbers and how it meant my $UBER thesis to be correct and also telling you about $BTC and $HOOD — two strategic holdings of mine that I favor.

At any rate, I won’t add to TZA/UVIX and I probably won’t chase the devils going up here. Maybe I’ll just wait an hour or two to see if, perhaps, markets might cave in a little here.

Elon Musk has capitulated to the censorship bureau. Joe Biden is the first President in American history to not undergo a cognitive test — mainly because he’s senile and would fail. He’s in charge of the alleged nuclear arsenal.

Israel continues to inflict massive casualties amongst the civilian populace, unabated, and without any force willing to oppose them.

The war in the Ukraine has taken on a perverted element of industrial genocide, guided intently by the US State Dept and their sock puppet Zelensky.

Migration hordes continue to swarm white dominant nations — because their failed states aren’t as comfy. They’ll now create society in Europe and America in a manner that was similar to what they were accustomed to in whatever shithole they migrated from.

The LGBTQ agenda is now the strongest religion in the west — a pillar of sodomy that shall be defended with the blood and the guts of the soon to be extinct straight white male.

MEANWHILE, markets plunged lower today on news that US inflation data, measured by the CPI, was hotter than expected. The entire bull market since November was predicated on the idea that rates will be cut in May and thereafter in order to satiate the devils who finance the construction of vacated commercial real estate projects.

But since unemployment is low and spending in America rampant — we’ve managed to paper over all of the sins and all of the follies up until now. But the rates matter and a 4.3% handle on the 10yr is catastrophic for anyone of modest means attempting to buy a home this spring. The entirely of the bull case was the specter of lower rates, heaving into a slowing economic backdrop.

In the past few months, we’ve enjoyed bearing witness to a sundry of bubbles — inflating up into the sky and floating around aimlessly in cartoon like fashion. It was a wonderful thing to see, shares of $NVDA, $ARM and $SMCI race higher without resistance or even a second thought about what is all meant. It will be hard to take down the bubbles — because so many have been initiated into their religions. Just like the LGBTQ cabal, they believe fun can be enjoyed without consequence and hedonism to be the preferred mode of living — and then you get aids and die and your accounts are at zero.

I see sharp downside follow through tomorrow, with volatility spiking above $20 and the transgender bulls coming to grips with the faint idea that maybe, just maybe, it’s all over and it might be time to seek for cover.

I closed the session +37bps, not tricked or fooled, net short into tomorrow.

As predicted, the CPI came in HOT and Joe Biden and his band of bumbling fools are now fucked in an economy that is destined for the dust bin of history.

Meanwhile, $NVDA and $SMCI have bids and people are pretending it’s not really over.

I went to cash in the AM and now allocated about half my assets, some to risk some to low beta some to hedging. I am in the middle of a home project now, laying down tiles and doing some light millwork. I’m off to a run to $HD for supplies. When I get back, I fully expect markets to melt down into the close and beyond. I’d say there is a 75% chance that we follow through to the downside tomorrow, with very few places to hide.

I predict dark storm in the not too distant future, led lower by the fucking semiconductor index.

Tomorrow we will be entreated to a HOT CPI number, in my estimation — providing license to some bidless pin action. All of the chickens will run about the coop without their heads, in a dizzying panorama of confusion. Having been hedged properly in a beta neutral portfolio laden with cash, I would have escaped the fires and instead of burning in them — roasting those who revealed themselves to be flammable like marshed mellows.

America deserves ZERO BID pin action and we shall receive it soon. The idea this folly can continue is perversion.

All that aside, I am of course a servant to the winds and we are at RECORD highs and the bears are a pathetic cadre of hasbeens, so I will never hasten to join their side with any temerity, lest I felt the timing was optimal.

I closed with fairly conservative holdings, hedged by $TZA and $UVIX — hoping for the worst possible outcome for stocks tomorrow.

Good Sirs —

I’d like to remind you that computers are abundant and inside of those computers, whether it be a desktop, laptop, tablet or a phone — such devices requires the inestimable semiconductor chip. Such a marvel is boundless in its greatness and the market as a whole is appreciative. For the month of February, the $SMH is +11%, which is followed by a 7% gain in January. Such figures represent the largest returns for the industry in decades — perhaps ever.

Due to Wall Street’s insatiable desire for fast computers and Bitcoin mining operations, shares of $NVDA briefly surpassed Amazon in market cap today, as well as reaching parity with Google. Nvidia did an impressive $18b in revenues last quarter, about $70b from Google and $150b from Amazon — but the chips they make are so amazing that investors are willing to ignore any talk or chatter of valuation.

GUILTY AS CHARGED! as I posses positions in $NVDA from a basis of $120 in the trust accounts of my children. I tell this to you now and sincerely, I am not proud nor happy about it. The positions are mere trifles, small and inconsequential. Sure they’re the largest positions in the accounts now by virtue of their 300% gains — but to have such a winner in accounts that I cannot spend directly or have in abundance size greatly reduces my vigor for such grandiosity and the splendor of said victory.

Today I’ve spent my time doing mill work in my laundry room, tiling next, followed by painting. I’ve also been taking 5g of creatine per morning, ingesting 3500 calories per day, in an effort to build some mass — as my recent “Oppenheimer diet” made me weak and feeble. I am quite capable of losing or gaining 15lbs inside 2 months on demand. I will now gain 8 pounds over two months of pure muscle to attain the strength necessary to rip off the limbs of my enemies one by one if needed — followed by a tossing of their de-limbered bodies atop pikes.

I am still 100% cash, watching from afar.

I had positioned for an ordinary melt up today but instead we have received a ribald on led higher by micro caps and shit stocks. This isn’t extraordinary, since the smalls have lagged. However, we are also seeing major volume spikes in dozens of momentum names. I don’t want to suggest blow off top — but anything can happen.

Micros are up 1.7% whilst large are down 0.2%.

We are also OVERBOUGHT in Stocklabs and based on the data — this is bullish.

In a sense, this is the type of tape that produces short squeezes and massive runs in beaten down names.

HOWEVER fun this might be, I moved to 100% cash in my trading since my returns were small and I had been positioned for a larger cap rally. Only +41bps for me.

I have two choices in front of me:

1. Be happy with the small return
2. Risk squandering it via chasing retarded stocks already +7% for the session.

SIRS — I am a professional of the highest order.

For those of you betting interminably on oil stocks — last week was your Waterloo. Good Sir, you have been dispatched and do not belong in the cadre of important men in the field of finance.

Below are the top performers of last week. It should be noted the custom indices are of my own making and the high beta index isn’t comprised of low brow stocks like the Bubble Basket — but instead “cool stocks” with beta ratios above 1.5.

All of the data featured above make me feel even worse about my flat performance — once again missing out on the cool stocks rampaging throughout the meadow of Wall.

Some of the notable stocks of gallantry were $ARM +62%, $SMCI +56%, $PLTR +49%, and $NVDA up another 18%. Everyone who is mad decries grandiose bubbles and monstrosities of evil proportions. There are clarion calls to sink stocks for good and for shares of both $TSLA and $NVDA race to zero — revealing their decades long scam.

If I were to agree with those patriots who seek to destroy America, I’d curry the favour of a great many of you with cries of “CRASH THE MARKET FOR GOOD” — but I cannot in good faith speak with emote, as I am a person fashioned stoically and can only translate my opinions via ethical logic.

Having been through all of the finest stocked market crashes of all time, once chancing upon the 1987 carnage via a newspaper left on my floor which discussed the events as a cockroach traversed up my 11 year old stomach — I can speak plainly to you now that this “bubble” isn’t ready to pop. As a point in fact, we are fixed to trade up and can only be interrupted by the sudden death of Joe Biden or news that he was to be replaced as a candidate in the 2024 Presidential elections.

Investors remember the Trump days and harken for them, which is why the tape will receive bids throughout the year up until the fateful day when the next President is crowned King in the Americas for the next 4 years.

The NASDAQ pressed higher by 3% this week and the small capped Russell jumped by 1.9%, in what could only be described as accommodative pin action. I wasn’t short or sick with the COVID-10 virus, but managed to only achieve a gain of 0.10% for the week.

Conversely, my monthly allocated quant gained 1.2% and my strategic portfolio of long term holdings jimmied up 4.8%. I used to lament about these things, study where I went wrong — retrace my steps in a never-ending search to unlock the secrets of my fuck ups. But it’s all a waste of time, as I am fixed to go higher and just because I counter-correlated the market — that doesn’t mean it’s over for me.

Quite the contrary, as a point in fact. I am best followed and most profitable when diverging from the broader indices, as I posses an innate skillset to navigate markets and subordinate the indices to my personal returns.

I must admit, however, the allure of continuing to CRUSH markets has weakened in over time, since the time necessary to achieve high returns is great and making more money for myself isn’t something that is motivational to me. After all, I won’t ever pull my money out and I intend to leave my net worth to chimpanzees for banana provisions.

I once again closed fully long and with leverage, but focused only on very high priced stocks with exception to one or two other equities, like Rumble, that have my attention. I do not mean to sound glib or laissez faire about current ongoings — but the entire set up is uninteresting. There aren’t any collapses looming and Pax Americana and its regime of evil incarnate continue unabated, gleefully and gayly into the rainbow sunset.

About a week ago $BTC looked like dead money. Today it’s flying above $47,000. It’s hard to keep the faith on things that dip. You have to be truly embedded in the story to see a dip and be happy about it because it allows you to buy something cheaper.

I’ve stopped buying $BTC sometime ago, content with my position, focusing on things like $UBER. But I should probably get back to acquiring it monthly, as if paying a bill.

Last night during the Putin interview, Putin mentioned how sanctions forced Russia to stop using dollars, going from 80%+ dollar usage in trade to just 13%. He also stated yuan trade went from 3% to 34% in a single year.

Given the backdrop of $34t in debt, a multi polar world where American dominance is contested, and most importantly the Chinese economy superior to ours — one has to worry about the long term viability of the dollar.

Because of this, I believe $BTC should be owned by every single person in the country. It should be added to pension funds as a currency holding and retail investors should definitely have at least 5% of their holdings in it — just in case.

The just in case scenario would be something akin to the little talked about movie from the olden days called ROLLOVER. In the movie you see the dollar collapse and the subsequent results — truly a spectacle to behold. I’d say the chances of this happening in my life time is slim — but in the event it does — $BTC will halt to the upside with non stop buying sending it well into the hundreds of thousands, if not more.

When the Ukraine war first started I was almost convinced Russia not only had designs on Ukraine — but the baltics. As the war progressed, I felt for sure Warsaw deserved to be entangled into the war too, as well as NATO — for the simple fact that their actions were hostile to Russia.

Whether it be due to the stiffer than expected Ukrainian resistance coupled with the amount of weapons America sent them to wage war with Russia — or the fact that Putin never had ideas of expanding the war in the first place and this was all a figment in my imagination — one thing is indelibly clear after watching tonight’s historical Tucker Carlson interview with Putin:

He (Putin) is an extremely well balanced and a deeply intelligent politician who seems to take a third level thinking approach to leadership — unlike the fools in DC today. You can see that he loves his country and will do what is right for Russia and not for himself or special interests. In a sense, and this is why conservatives in the west like Putin so much, we are jealous to not have a leader who loves our countries as much as Vlad loves his. He is working for the glory of Russia and the Russian people in a long tail strategy, contrary to what we get in the west almost every single day by politicians who brazenly operate under nefarious methods and whose allegiances seem to be everywhere else but America.

I’m not sure if Russians feel the same about Putin as conservatives in the US, since the grass is always greener paradox works in both directions; but one thing I was convinced by, and I hope these words do not come back to haunt me, is that Putin seems extremely open to peace talks and the idea of the war expanding seems to be solely in the hands of the nutcases in the DC — which may be something I need to think about further in regards to its impacts on markets.

Nevertheless, I am convinced that the west will not engage Russia (at least not now), not out of cowardice or lack of gumption — but the non-negotiable fact that western military production isn’t even close to compete with Russia. This can change, contrary to many on X who seem to pretend that the west isn’t able to wage world war. It is and it can do it again. Just before World War 2, Britain had about 75,000 troops in total and mobilized pretty quickly to a peak force of 3 million. At any rate, I don’t believe the interview revealed anything we didn’t already know, other than the fact that Vlad seems very unshaken and in control of his emotions — which of course is a good thing when considering the alternative.