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Citibank Reveals That Spain’s Finances are a Mess and Understated

“Here’s What’s In Citi’s Gloomy New Report On The Crisis In Spain

 

Earlier we mentioned how Citi top economist Willem Buiter had a big warning about Spain

We’ve now seen a copy of the report, and get tell you some more details.

Here is our bullet-pointed summary of the report:

  • Spain’s public finances are worse than officially stated. Already there have been upward revisions to debt-to-GDP, and the number could rise as high as 90% when all the various categories of debt are added together.
  • The fact that GDP assumptions are badly missing estimates makes this all worse.
  • Although Spain’s banks get a lot of attention for being ugly, the non-financial sector is doing badly as well. Households are overleveraged.
  • The new government delayed reform legislation too long, missing the ‘honeymoon period’.
  • Spain’s PM Rajoy is alienating partners in Germany and France by announcing revised deficit targets without consultation.
  • The decline in Spanish land prices is not over.
  • The spending problems in various autonomous regions are big, and the central government cannot control them.

Buiter’s Conclusion:

Spain is likely, in our view, to be pushed into a troika (EC, ECB, IMF) programme of some kind during 2012……”

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The Bank of England Will Seek More Control Over the Flow of Liquidity in the Banking System

“The Bank of England’s Financial Policy Committee said it may seek powers over liquidity buffers to manage risks across the banking system.

“A key risk faced by many financial institutions, and banks in particular, derives from the fact that they typically borrow funds on a short-term basis and lend over a longer term,” the FPC said in the record of its March 16 meeting, published in London today. It was “likely to be desirable, in due course, for the statutory FPC to have powers of direction over a liquidity instrument that would tackle the build up of such vulnerabilities.”

The FPC said it held off seeking such a power at the meeting as there is no “commonly accepted regulatory liquidity standard.” It will return to the liquidity issue once international standards have been agreed, it said.

The panel recommended earlier this month that Parliament give it tools in three areas. It requested powers of direction over countercyclical capital buffers, sectoral capital requirementsand leverage ratios. The U.K. Treasury had sought guidance from the FPC on the tools it would need as the government overhauls regulation of lenders after the financial crisis.

The FPC expressed concern in today’s statement about the “lack of consistency across banks’ internal assessments of the riskiness of various categories of exposures.” It said control over a leverage ratio could be “an effective way of counteracting problems with mis-calibrated risks weights.”

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Portugal Gets No Love; Tick Tock Runs the Debt Clock…

“Stuffed into a time capsule, this ancient university town’s local newspaper would give future historians a good idea of the pain that Europe’s first financial crisis of the century inflicted on Portugal.

David Dear | Photographer’s Choice | Getty Images

The Diario de Coimbra reported on its front page last Thursday how bankers had called in a loan on a local sports stadium. A piece on the back page asked whether a rise in suicide rates was linked to the deepening economic downturn.

A bank advertised the auction of 38 foreclosed properties. Other ads promoted some of the many gold and silver dealerships that have sprung up since the onset of the crisis for people forced to sell the family jewels.

Burdened with public debt that will approach 120 percent of national output this year, Portugal is suffering so badly that many in the market wonder whether, along with Greece, it can escape its debt trap without abandoning Europe’s single currency.

The economy is contracting sharply due to tax increases and spending cuts demanded last May by the International Monetary Fund [cnbc explains] , the European Union and the European Central Bank in return for an emergency78 billion euro loan.

Output is projected to shrivel 3.3 percent this year, after a fall of 1.6 percent in 2011. With tax revenues withering, the government’s core budget deficit nearly tripled in January and February. Unemployment jumped to 14 percent in the fourth quarter of 2011 as slumping domestic demand was compounded by a dearth of credit, forcing small and medium-sized enterprises to shed labour.

“The financial sector just isn’t injecting money into the economy,” said the president of Centro region’s chamber of commerce, Jose Couto. Coimbra, two hours north of Lisbon by train, is Centro’s largest city. “It’s got to the point where even viable export companies are having problems managing their cash flow.”

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The Birth (and Death) of the Moral Age of Wall Street

by Heidi N. Moore via marketplace.org

Mar 27, 2012

Chris Hondros/Getty Images

Financial professional work in the Goldman Sachs booth on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange near the end of the trading day July 22, 2010 in New York City.

 

It’s well over a week since Greg Smith threw his Molotov cocktail of a resignation at his former employer, Goldman Sachs, and it’s fair to say that he and his claims on the bank are still a cultural sensation.

Goldman is searching its e-mail archives for any mention of the word “muppet” — an English epithet that means “idiot” — allegedly launched by Goldman traders against their clients, acording to Smith. Smith is talking to publishers about a book about his coming-of-age in finance; my vote for the title is Mr. Smith goes to Wall Street. And one hedge-funder turned chicken-farmer sees the Smith scandal as a good time to pursue his own grudge against Goldman for its behavior towards him during the financial crisis.

Smith’s outraged resignation letter hinged on one idea: that the “commercialism” and bald pursuit of money that he saw at Goldman perhaps wasn’t illegal, but it was, to him, immoral.

And that’s why Smith’s screed continues to produce aftershocks. He identified the rift in language and thought that has divided America from its financial system since the crisis began. While capitalism tends to see behavior in terms of “profit” and “loss,” most of the finance industry has been either slow or helpless to engage on the different scale that has obsessed everyone from Occupy Wall Street to the President of the United States: that of “right” and “wrong.”

The New York Times Web site had a fascinating “Room for Debate” feature on this, with perspectives from all sides. It’s an excellent read. And there’s no question that some of the best books on the causes of the financial crisis have a moral undertone to their titles: All the Devils Are Here, by Joe Nocera and Bethany McLean; A Demon of Our Own Design, by Bookstaber; The Devil’s Casino, by Vicky Ward.

Perhaps one of the most touching – nearly, actually, adorable – parts of Smith’s resignation was his conviction that there existed a time in his 12 years at Goldman Sachs when the bank was ruled mostly by honor rather than profit: “Culture was always a vital part of Goldman Sachs’s success. It revolved around teamwork, integrity, a spirit of humility, and always doing right by our clients.”(I’ve talked to Goldman employees who have had a hearty chortle at the “humility” part in particularly, but let’s not dwell.)

Smith’s blinkered, or maybe just naive, idea was the most skewered by most commentators familiar with Wall Street’s harsh ways, which are by no means less evident at Goldman. The most sarcastic was Michael Kinsley at Bloomberg, who acidly commented, “Apparently, whenGreg Smith arrived at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. almost 12 years ago, the legendary investment firm was something like the Make-A-Wish Foundation — existing only to bring light and peace and happiness to the world…. one imagines Goldman bankers spending their days delivering fresh flowers to elderly shut-ins and providing shelters for abandoned cats.” (As an aside, PETA did actually ask Goldman to establish animal shelters back in 2010.)

It’s hard to say what Wall Street could possibly do to either vindicate or avenge itself against Smith’s charges. E-mail searches for “muppets” or even “Smurfs” are probably not going to work. But a look at history – at the history of Goldman, in particular – shows that there was  another time when Wall Street’s perceived lack of immorality was threatening to spin the industry into chaos, and there was a man who tried to codify what it meant to behave honorably in finance.

The man was John Whitehead, the former CEO of Goldman Sachs, who spearheaded the firm’s business principles back in the 1950s after a years-long government investigation of collusion threatened to destroy investors’ faith in Goldman and other banks. The business principles, which are recited like catechism and which Greg Smith kept at his desk, are here.

What’s more interesting is how and why Whitehead created them – his ideas and his state of mind, the perspective that would cause him to want to impose some kind of moral order on the unchecked pursuit of profit.

The scholar Marcy Murninghan shared with me an unpublished interview she did with Whitehead in the late 90s as part of a book that, unfortunately, never saw the light of day. As Murninghan writes in the chapter on Whitehead, “at the time Whitehead is talking about – the late 1950s and 1960s – a conscious corporate commitment to ethical standards was not common. And on Wall Street, no less!” That’s easy to picture: consider the venal hucksters of Mad Men, and you see the environment Whitehead – a graduate of the Quaker-influenced Haverford – was functioning in.

Here are some excerpts from Murninghan’s wonderful interview with Whitehead, taken from her unpublished manuscript that she generously provided to me. Marcy, thank you for your eye-opening work.

It all has to do with what I would call moral principles and sort of the basic American principles of hard work and doing your best and things of that kind of nature—or the combination of things…..I felt that it was very important that any organization that I worked for – or particularly any organization where I had a leadership responsibility and was known to be the leader – that it be an organization that had high ethical standards, and that it conducted its business in a highly professional, responsible, ethical way.  And so I stressed that at Goldman Sachs in everything we did, and ultimately developed a what we called “Our Business Principles”.  It was a written statement of what we felt Goldman Sachs stood for, and there were fourteen of them.  I won’t burden you with going through them one by one, but we liked to feel that more than just a sort of expression of motherhood, they represented the special features that we liked to feel that Goldman Sachs stood for.[i]  Plus, the clients’ interests always come first, and if we serve our clients well, our success will follow.  That was one of the principles.  That was the kind of thing we talked about.

Whitehead is most interesting when he talks about the firm’s business principles as a way to elevate the firm’s culture as new people were coming in – that Goldman’s way of doing business had been intuited before, but needed to be codified:

And at a period when we were growing quite rapidly and adding new people, I wondered whether these principles – which historically had always been passed on by osmosis and by observation of new employees— “Wow, here’s how they do this at Goldman Sachs.  I’d better live up to that myself!” – I wondered whether with so many new people, and some attrition of old people and replacements, whether we could really successfully keep that culture and those standards, high standards.  And so one Sunday afternoon, I remember quite vividly, I sat down and tried to write them out.

With the next copy of our annual report—we sent the annual report to the home address of our employees, and we attached to the front of it a printed edition of this – “Our Business Principles,” as we called them – with a little note saying, “We’re sending this to your home because we thought your family would also be interested in knowing what your company stands for, and we hope you will, we expect,” we said, “that you will also live by these principles.  This is what Goldman Sachs stands for.”  And that made quite an impact, especially the idea of sending it to the homes.  It sort of brought the family into some appreciation of what their fathers or husbands – mostly male employees at that stage, I’m sorry to say – of what they thought, and exposed them in a different way to this company that was really quite demanding of the father’s life, and absorbed a good deal of his time and energy, and made them maybe a little more appreciative that we were a highly responsible firm that they could be proud of, too.

Perhaps the most fascinating chunk of Murninghan’s interview with Whitehead was this part, where he talked about how Goldman indoctrinated the Business Principles into its employees. He and the firm’s leaders made a point of firing employees that violated the Business Principles – a practice that, according to former Goldman Sachs partner Jacki Zehner – is exceedingly rare now if the employee brings in big profits.

Then we wanted to be sure that people didn’t just read it as an expression of high principles, but that they really applied it to their job.  And so we asked each department head to have a meeting of his department every six months, and to talk with people in his department about what this meant for them in their job—what did Principle No. 1, what does that mean to us in the work that we do every day?  And somebody would raise some question, maybe, about, “Oh, you’re talking about the customers’ interest always come first, that the customer wants to sell some bonds, and we could buy them at 106_  or 106¼, and the customer really wouldn’t know the difference—which do we do?”  And they would discuss very specific examples of how it affected their job and their department.

We asked the department head that minutes be taken without names, and to submit the minutes to their management, so that was the way we made sure that these meetings were actually held.  And it turned out to be quite successful.  The people enjoyed them and were interested in them and really participated actively.  I think it helped the people understand that these principles and codes of conduct were not just something to put in the annual report, but were something that they really were expected to live by. 

I remember in the next year or two, we had several problems with individual people that were clearly violations of these principles.  Instead of just firing the people because they had done something dishonest or something – I forget the exact circumstances – we tied their departure to violations of the code of conduct instead of to some regulation, and that made a big impression.  They saw that the code was broken and that there was a penalty for it—that this wasn’t just something that would be nice if you did this.  It was something that really had teeth in it.  So that was effective.

Whitehead, now 90, spent 34 years at Goldman before retiring in 1984 to pursue a career in diplomacy. (To Murninghan, Whitehead called his work in Eastern European human rights “God’s work,” marking a rather painful counterpoint with Lloyd Blankfein’s misfire of a joke about banking being God’s work.”)

Whitehead’s parting thoughts on the Business Principles and his efforts to strengthen the moral sense of Goldman are particularly fascinating – mostly because he jokes that he’s offended by the suggestion that he wasn’t also a big moneymaker.

I can’t really say the extent of how this code of conduct still survives and exists.  I don’t really know, but people tell me – people who are still at Goldman Sachs tell me – that this code of conduct, which they attribute to my era of management, was the most important thing that I left behind me during my ten years of being chairman of Goldman Sachs.  It was actually instituted before I was chairman, but [they tell me] that that was the most important thing that I did.  And I guess I’m sort of proud of it, although I must say, I thought that some of the money-making things that I’ve left were at least as important, and [he chuckles] I’m slightly offended by that…

We’ll chalk that last part up to the fact that you can never take banking out of the boy. Whitehead’s thoughts, in all seriousness, raise some questions about Wall Street’s current direction and whether any firm can provide now a moral education to employees such as he tried to provide back in the late 1950s. Probably what a lot of investors want to see at the moment is that Wall Street is at least trying, and while the industry tends to scoff at all this criticism from the outside, there’s very little evidence for that kind of effort now.

About the author

Heidi N. Moore is the New York bureau chief and Wall Street correspondent for Marketplace, where she reports and writes about the culture of banks, companies, financing and markets. Follow Heidi on Twitter @moorehn

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Fed’s Bullard: Policy ‘Too Loose’ Across Global Economy

“The Federal Reserve doesn’t need to jolt the economy with a third round of liquidity-inducing quantitative easing (QE3), as the inflationary effects could be damaging, says Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard.

Under quantitative easing, the Fed buys Treasury bonds, mortgage-backed securities or other assets from banks, pumping liquidity into the financial system with the aim of juicing the economy, encouraging more hiring and stabilizing prices.

The Fed has rolled out two such policies since the downturn, which are often seen as tools used to kick-start the economy when normal policies like interest-rate cuts aren’t enough, with mounting inflationary pressures seen as an eventual side effect.

Now is not the time for such a move, Bullard says, as the economy would really have to tank to consider such policy.

“I think QE3 would require the economy to deteriorate somewhat from where it is right now,” Bullard says, according to CNBC.

“The basic story on the U.S. economy is that we’ve had good news over the last six months or so, especially compared to the recession scenario that was being painted in the August-September time period of last year.”

Liquidity from quantitative easing often finds its way to commodities markets, and another round could send already pricey crude oil even higher.

“I think one of the biggest mistakes is continue to throw us much more in the way of monetary injections into the economy and with that, you get a much higher increase in commodity prices and potentially produce less global consumption across the world, which slows economic activity down,” Bullard says….”

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Regional Banks Have Yet to Rally Like the Big Banks; Is There Value ?

In 2012, large bank stocks have outperformed regional banks.“In 2012, large bank stocks have outperformed regional banks.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) — Investors may be able to find some big bargains while betting on smaller regional banks.

Financial stocks are in the midst of a 2012 comeback, but shares of regional banks haven’t enjoyed the same surge as their larger peers. While Keefe Bruyette & Woods’ large bank index (BKX) is up more than 26% in 2012, its regional bank index (KRX) is up about 15.5%.

Still, analysts say it could be time for the stocks of regional banks to shine.

Several hundred banks closed or were taken over by the FDIC since 2008. The remaining community and regional banks are a healthier bunch and are well positioned to benefit from the nascent uptick in demand for consumer and business loans.

“So many banks went belly up during the crisis that the regional and community banks that are left are in much stronger condition to pick up market share now that lending is picking up,” said Scott Siefers, head of equity research at Sandler O’Neill.

The Wall Street multibillion scandal no one is talking about

Merger activity among community and regional banks may finally be set to increase too….”

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The OECD Proposes a $1.3 Trillion Eurozone Crisis Fund

“BRUSSELS (AP) — The 17 countries that use the euro need to build a €1 trillion ($1.3 trillion) firewall to help the struggling currency union return to growth, the head of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Tuesday.

Angel Gurria, the secretary-general of the Paris-based international development body, said existing plans for a €500 billion ($664 billion) European rescue fund were not enough to restore market confidence in the eurozone.

“The mother of all firewalls should be in place,” Gurria he told a told a news conference in Brussels, where he was flanked by Olli Rehn, the EU’s economic affairs commissioner, who has also been pushing for a larger bailout fund.

A permanent bailout fund of at least €1 trillion would give governments the breathing space to focus on kickstarting growth and restoring the competitiveness of their economies, Gurria added.

As well as shoring up the financial defenses, the OECD chief pointed to a raft of economic reforms that individual countries should enact. According to the organization’s annual report for the eurozone, which was released Tuesday, vulnerable states may need more than €1 trillion in aid over the coming two years and Gurria said eurozone finance ministers should take a decision to boost their bailout funds at their meeting in Copenhagen on Friday.

Germany, the bloc’s largest economy, signaled on Monday that it would support an increase to around €700 billion ($929 billion), but only until some €200 billion in loans already promised to Greece, Ireland and Portugal have been paid back….”

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A Flight to Safety in Europe Occurs as German Bonds and Rates of PIIGS Rise

“German bunds rose amid concern measures to increase the euro-region’s financial firewall will fail to stem the euro-area crisis, spurring demand for the region’s safest assets.

Italian government debt fell as it sold 3.82 billion euros ($5.11 billion) of bonds today. Ten-year bunds gained for the fifth time in six days after a German industry report predicted consumer confidence will decline in April. Finance ministers from the 17 euro nations will meet in Copenhagen on March 30 to discuss bailout provisions. German Chancellor Angela Merkel gave her first indication yesterday that Germany could let temporary and permanent rescue funds run in parallel.

“It’s far from certain that we will have an increase in the rescue funds’ capacity and also the devil will be very much in the detail, whether Germany would go ahead with raising the capacity of the permanent funds or not,” said Elwin de Groot, a market economist at Rabobank Nederland in Utrecht. “That will keep markets on guard. This confidence figure that we saw this morning was really a small dip, but overall consumers remain fairly downbeat.”…”

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Chinese Media Asserts a Japanese Bond bubble is About to Burst; Yen to Take a 40% Hit

“It is a fact that when it comes to the oddly resilient Japanese hyperlevered economic model, the bodies of those screaming for the end of the JGB bubble litter the sides of central planning’s tungsten brick road. Yet in the aftermath of last month’s stunning surge in the country’s trade deficit, this, and much more may soon be finally ending. Because as Caixin’s Andy Xie writes “The day of reckoning for the yen is not distant. Japanese companies are struggling with profitability. It only gets worse from here. When a major company goes bankrupt, this may change the prevailing psychology. A weak yen consensus will emerge then.” As for the bubble pop, it will be a sudden pop, not the 30 year deflationary whimper Mrs. Watanabe has gotten so used to: “Yen devaluation is likely to unfold quickly. A financial bubble doesn’t burst slowly. When it occurs, it just pops. The odds are that yen devaluation will occur over days. Only a large and sudden devaluation can keep the JGB yield low.Otherwise, the devaluation expectation will trigger a sharp rise in the JGB yield. The resulting worries over the government’s solvency could lead to a collapse of the JGB market.” It gets worse: “Of course, the government will collapse with the JGB market.” And once Japan falls, the rest of the world follows, says Xie, which is why he is now actively encouraging China, and all other Japanese trade partners of the world’s rapidly declining 3rd largest economy to take precautions for when this day comes… soon. Oh, and this: ” If the bond yield rises to 2 percent, the interest expense would surpass the total expected tax revenue of 42.3 trillion yen.”

Why has Japan been able to sustain its deflationary collapse for over 3 decades? Simply – an ever rising currency.

A strong yen, deflation and rising government debt form a short-term equilibrium that lasts as long as the market believes it is sustainable. The yen has seen a relentless upward trend since it depegged from the dollar in 1971, up to 83.4 from 360 again to the dollar. When wages and asset prices rise, a strong currency can be justified. When wages and asset prices fall, a strong currency is suicide. Japan’s nominal GDP peaked in 1997 and its nominal wages did too. Its property prices have declined every year since. The Nikkei rose in only four out of the last fifteen years and is still close to a three-decade low.

 

Japanese policymakers, businesses, academics, currency traders and the average Mrs. Watanabe all believe in a strong yen. This belief is wrong but self-fulfilling. It has lasted so long because the Japanese government adopts policies to offset the destabilizing effects of deflation due to a strong yen. Hence, Japan’s national debt has marched upwards along with the value of yen. It is expected to top yen 1,000 trillion in 2012, 215 percent of GDP, 7.8 million yen (or roughly US$ 94,000) per person, and about half of net household wealth per capita.

 

The sustainability of Japan’s deflationary path depends on the market’s confidence in Japan’s debt market. As Japanese institutions and households hold almost all of the government’s debts, their faith in the government’s creditworthiness is the mojo for Japan’s seemingly harmless deflationary spiral.

There’s that. And also that it is nothing but a ponzi. In Xie’s words.

The justification for the low JGB yield is deflation. The real interest rate (the nominal rate plus deflation) is comparable to that in other countries. This rationale requires deflation to persist. But, deflation shrinks the nominal GDP or tax base. How could the government pay back its escalating debt by taxing a shrinking economy? It can only sustain its debt by borrowing more. This fits the definition of a particular type of Ponzi scheme.

Deflation is ok, if in addition to collapsing GDP, it is paralleled by declining wages.

The JGB bubble explains the seeming lack of pain in Japanese society. A strong yen and deflation haven’t led to an employment crisis because the government deficit is pumping up aggregate demand. As long as wages decline in line with prices, one doesn’t feel the pain. Japan’s household debt is only half of GDP, about half of the level in the United States. Deflation doesn’t cause much balance sheet trouble.

Unfortunately this is unsustainable by definition, as the divergence is a finite series at which point it become self-destructive. And yet the strong Yen is the glue that ties the rickety house of cards together… for now.

Despite the fact Japan has had a bad economy for so long, the yen has remained strong. It reinforces the Japanese psyche on the issue. The strong yen has become a cult.

 

The international financial market believes in a weak yen from time to time. In 1998, the short-selling by foreigners briefly caused the yen to touch 140 against the U.S. dollar. But, as the Japanese hold all of the yen, if they believe in the yen, foreign short-sellers get punished eventually. Over time, yen bears are all weeded out of the market. The remaining yen traders are all believers in a strong yen.

So far so good: any cult can exist in its own bubble if left to its own devices. However, as much as it is trying to avoid it, Japan’s secular role in international society is changing, and very soon the habitual self-delusion of its citizens, politicians, and FX traders will do nothing to offset the advent of reality….”

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Take a Look at Old Man Buffet’s Stock Picks; Bullish Yet Cautious in His Approach

Source

“(MONEY Magazine) — Digging into Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio to see what Warren Buffett has been buying lately — and to gain clues as to what the world’s most successful investor really thinks about the markets and economy — has become a bit of a national pastime.

And the early reaction to Berkshire’s recent moves, revealed through Buffett’s annual shareholder letter and two SEC filings, was that the Oracle of Omaha appears to be putting his money where his bullish mouth is. On the surface, Berkshire seems to be doing everything you’d expect:

Be greedy when others are fearful. Check. While spooked investors pulled more than $140 billion from stock funds in the scary second half of 2011, Buffett’s conglomerate went shopping.

Favor stocks over other assets.Check. Berkshire (BRKA,Fortune 500) has been avoiding gold and Treasuries lately, and its cash stake has shrunk from more than $47 billion at midyear to less than $37 billion at year-end.

Boost ownership of first-class businesses. Hello, IBM (IBM,Fortune 500)! Last year, Buffett made a massive bet on this industry-leading giant and its pristine balance sheet.

Dig a little deeper, though, and you’ll find that appearances aren’t always what they seem. The acquisitions made by Buffett and his new lieutenants — former hedge fund managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler — show signs of caution that you may want to heed.

Does Warren Buffett really pay just 17% in taxes?

At the very least, you’ll see that while many of Berkshire’s purchases were made at prices that are no longer available since the recent rally, they’re still tailor-made for investors who think a recovery could be at hand, but who want to hedge their bets.

If that sounds like you, consider Berkshire’s following moves:

He’s buying tech, but …”

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Italy’s Monti Worried About Contagion From Spain

“Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti expressed concern about Spain’s public finances on Saturday, and said it would not take much to reignite the euro zone debt crisis and revive the risk of it spreading to Italy.

Mario Monti
Bloomberg | Getty Images

Speaking at a conference by Lake Como where he was discussing the Italian government’s new labor reforms, Monti praised Spain’s efforts to reform its jobs market but said it had fallen behind on budget control.

Spain shocked markets last month when it said it had missed its 2011 budget deficit target and a few days later set itself a softer goal for 2012.

“It (Spain) certainly made profound reform of the labor market, but it did not pay the same attention to public finances,” Monti said. “This is causing us big concern because their yields are rising and it wouldn’t take much to recreate trends that could spread to us through contagion.”

He added that any fresh eruption of the euro zone sovereign debt[cnbc explains] crisis could cancel out the progress made in Italy and “take us back months.”

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Clear and Present Danger in Corporate America

Source

“The nation’s largest banks, with combined holdings equal to half of the U.S. economy, represent a “clear and present danger” and must be broken up.

This alarmist conclusion is not the work of a consumer advocate or a liberal critic of Wall Street. No, this assessment comes out of Dallas, Texas, and the local arm of the Federal Reserve.
In its 2011 annual report, the Dallas Fed notes that more than half of the banking industry’s assets belong to just five institutions, those often referred to as “too big to fail” (TBTF). Furthermore, the 10 top banks account for 61% of commercial banking assets, and ‘their combined assets equate to half of our nation’s GDP.”
Written by Harvey Rosenblum, executive vice president and director of research for the Dallas Fed, and approved by Dallas Fed president Richard W. Fisher, the report points out that “The term TBTF disguised the fact that commercial banks holding roughly one-third of the assets in the banking system did essentially fail, surviving only with extraordinary government assistance.” Too big to fail perverts the concept of capitalism in the United States because Capitalism requires the freedom to succeed and the freedom to fail. Hard work and good decisions should be rewarded. Perhaps more important, bad decisions should lead to failure—openly and publicly.”
The report goes on to warn, “TBTF institutions were at the center of the financial crisis and the sluggish recovery that followed. If allowed to remain unchecked, these entities will continue posing a clear and present danger to the U.S. economy.
“As a nation, we face a distinct choice. We can perpetuate TBTF, with its inequities and dangers, or we can end it. Eliminating TBTF won’t be easy, but the vitality of our capitalist system and the long-term prosperity it produces hang in the balance.”
The big five banks and bank holding companies are JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs.”

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