iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,473 Blog Posts

IRMA SHIFTS WEST; FLORIDA’S EAST COAST SPARED

Dr. Masters over at Wunderground gives us the quick rundown on Irma. It looks like she weakened a bit, slumming through Cuba. Now she’s shifted NNW, en route to Tampa.

Irma is still predicted to “run the peninsula”, taking an unusual track from south-southeast to north-northwest along the length of the state. This forecast track has steadily nudged west since Thursday, and Irma is now expected to track closer to Florida’s west coast than its east coast. Models are now in very close agreement, and we expect little significant shift to this track outlook.

Parts of the Florida Keys will experience extreme winds and storm surge. On its west-northwest heading late Saturday, Irma was aimed toward the west of Key West, which would put the the city on the storm’s more dangerous right-hand side. However, Irma is beginning to angle rightward, and this will most likely bring its core somewhere near or just east of Key West between around 2 and 8 am Sunday. Winds of 120 mph or more can be expected just east of the eye, and storm surge is predicted to range from 5 to 10 feet.

A catastrophic storm surge is increasingly likely from Fort Myers to Naples on Sunday afternoon as Irma passes along or just to the west of this coastline. Surge values of 10 to 15 feet are expected from Cape Sable to Captiva. Vanderbilt Beach at Naples experienced a peak surge of 10-13 feet during Hurricane Charley, and Captiva Island experienced a surge of 6.5 feet. Irma’s surge will be more widespread and devastating to southwest Florida than the surge experienced during Charley, since Irma is a much bigger storm and has had more time to build up a larger surge. Parts of this coastline may also experience destructive Category 2 or 3 winds if Irma intensifies as expected and its center remains just offshore. Assuming that Irma moves inland between Fort Myers and Tampa as predicted, surge values northward through the Tampa area will be somewhat lower, but still potentially 5 to 8 feet. It would take a significant jump westward in the forecast track to put Tampa on the more dangerous right-hand side of the storm.

As much as we hate to see people suffer through a storm of this magnitude, those who bought UVE on Friday stand to make a mint on Monday. The fact that the eyewall has moved to the west gives me reason to believe the damage to Miami will be manageable and not catastrophic.

Here is the current forecasted path.

Rooftop cam — Keywest

If you enjoy the content at iBankCoin, please follow us on Twitter

19 comments

  1. sarcrilege

    Not such a big deal. Not the first storm; or last. Israel, completely unprovoked, is now bombing Syria. This could get legs ….

    • 2
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
    • acehood

      Unprovoked? How exactly do you think Hezbollah gets armed.

      • 0
      • 2
      • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
      • sarcrilege

        How exactly do you think Israel gets armed?

        • 2
        • 1
        • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
      • ferd

        So are you saying too that we (the US) provokes Hezbollah? And that their, or Syria’s, bombing inside the US is justified due to the fact that we arm the Israelis? The inability of each side to see the other’s is why we are in perpetual war. The concern here should be that Israel is trying to start a war in which they seek to involve the US.

        Due to the failed invasion of Syria that neocons here and in Israel had us undertake, there are now lot more Iranians and Russians in that country to defend that Assad regime. What will Russia or Iran do if their people are hit by Israel in one of these Israeli provocations? What side of such a conflict will Israel’s operatives in our press and their whores in congress take?

        The fact that Sarc is a flawed messenger should not knee-jerk people into dismissing his concern about our getting dragged into yet more war.

        • 2
        • 0
        • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
      • ferd

        You and I have no idea what they bombed. The prevention of a chemical weapons threat is very likely pure bullshit.

        • 2
        • 0
        • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
        • slowmo

          Only sick fucks like you and Sarc can turn a discussion about weather into some more “JOOS hating”

          • 0
          • 1
          • 1 Deem this to be "Fake News"
          • ferd

            Yet another demonstration of you making a vile and racist assumption: That all Jews hold one single opinion.

            All Jews do NOT hold the same opinion as you. All Jews are not in favor of making war. Many Jews both here and in Israel have the brains to realize that the neocon war against a secular Sunni government in Iraq, and its replacement with a Shiite majority government was against both our and Israel’s interests. To group all Jews together as you do and make assumptions about beliefs and motivations based on labels is disgusting.

            Learn to take people one at a time for who they are and abandon the neoNazi tactics that you use to shut down speech, or continue to go through life as a complete asshole.

            • 0
            • 0
            • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
          • sarcrilege

            Shlomo, let me say this: “A Jew’s worst enemy is another Jew”, a Jew like YOU!! Jew is not a Jew, Shlomo, You should know. Not goyim, but the zionist Jew traitors always throw the non-zionist Jews under the bus. Do you ever realize that all the faithful, nationalistic and anti-Zionist Jews were conveniently killed off during WWII, while the small minority of criminal pro-Zionist Jews, liek hofjuden for instance, made out like gang-busters? How come people are never surprised to hear about internecine conflicts between Catholics and Protestants, or between Sunni and Shi’ite. Internecine fights amongst Jews are just as bloody.
            Besides that, will you ever disclose if you’re a paid troll hired by the ADL, AIPAC, Mossad, George Soros, or any other filthy zionist organization? How much do you get paid for monitoring the comment section here? Shlomo, you’re a fucking idiot.

            • 0
            • 0
            • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  2. uglyflint

    Looks like Memphis might get obliterated.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  3. Cricket

    The jet stream, that was touching Florida, is completely breaking up today. As compared to the huge influence of the stream during the last 3 days, it is now gone. Anything is possible.

    Hurricane Ivan behaved in a similar way and hit Mobile, travelled up the Appalachian Mountains to Virginia, then went back out to sea, came down to Florida, hit land in Miami (as a storm) then dissipated.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  4. bennyhill

    Who here was saying the storm wouldn’t turn north? Let me guess a climate change denier? And why DID it turn north? Because science said it would. Kind of like how science warned us of this 11 years ago.

    http://www.newsweek.com/climate-change-made-hurricane-irma-worse-al-gore-warned-would-happen-people-661935

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
    • chuck bennett

      Science via the Simpson’s predicted more shit than your stupid science.

      9-11/ Trump as president , Siegfried and Roy tiger attack , face time, faulty voting machines changing votes, NSA spying

      Your science is weak

      Regards

      Chuck Bennett

      • 1
      • 0
      • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  5. roundwego

    You lucky bastard. For sure I thought you be toast on uve. Congrats you old bastard.

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"
  6. zola

    The Periscope live feed in Florida is pretty entertaining: https://www.periscope.tv/w/1OwGWoOkBXAGQ?channel=all-vits

    • 0
    • 0
    • 0 Deem this to be "Fake News"