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Monthly Archives: January 2017

THE REIGN OF TERROR CONTINUES: A NEW PURCHASE

I bought $HBM because it’s heading, the fuck, higher.

My goal for 2017 is very simple: keep buying stocks until I run out of money.

A great man once said ‘I got a lotta more for you.’

My biggest winners for the day are $UEC, $YY, $URG, $TDW and $ALNY.

All losses incurred from last year’s slothlike behavior have been made up here, and more, pressing my rights as a gentleman of the markets using space aged technology.

“The Fly’s” reign of terror has begun.

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Spot Uranium Prices Explode Higher After World’s Largest Producer of Uranium Slashes Production

Believe it or not, all roads paved with uranium run through the slavic lands of Kazakhstan. Shares of uranium stocks have exploded to the upside this morning, something yours truly foretold weeks ago, after Kazatomprom, a state run uranium company for Kazakhstan, announced they were cutting back on uranium production by 10%.

Kazakhstan is the world’s largest producer of uranium, representing 39% of world production.

Source: Borat’s favorite website

Kazatomprom Chairman, Askar Zhumagaliyev, announced today that due to the prolonged recovery in the uranium market, planned 2017 production from Republic of Kazakhstan will be reduced by approximately 10%. This will amount to a volume greater than 2,000 MtU or more than 5 million lb U3O8 reduction in 2017 planned output. For greater context, this is equal to 3% of total global uranium production (based on 2015 UxC Consulting figures).

The uranium output of Kazakhstan is produced by mining operations either wholly owned by Kazatomprom, or managed through joint-ventures with international partners. The exact production levels for each mine and JV were determined and approved by their respective management boards, and vary from the overall aggregate 10% figure. These difficult decisions were based on a strategic review of the current oversupplied uranium market, and the unique circumstances and economics of each operation. These adjustments of production levels are also consistent with the provisions of Kazakhstan sub-soil use agreements governing each operation.

Kazatomprom Chairman Askar Zhumagaliyev remarked: “While the outlook for nuclear energy growth continues as strong as it has been in many years, the realities of the near-term uranium market remain in oversupply. Kazatomprom, and its joint venture partners, have had to make responsible decisions in light of these market challenges. These strategic Kazakh mineral assets are far more valuable to our shareholders and stakeholders being left in the ground for the time being, rather than adding to the current oversupply situation. Their greater value will instead be realized when produced into improved markets in the coming years.”

Even with these reductions, Kazatomprom will continue to lead global uranium production and support the growth of nuclear energy around the world. No existing customer contractual commitments are impacted by these strategic decisions.

Spot uranium prices have Mcjumped by 13%.

As such, shares of uranium stocks are through the roof.

$UEC, $URG, $UUUU, $URRE, $CCJ, $DNN, $LEU

Based off the predictive algorithms in Exodus, the sector has more upside.
nukes

For those keeping track, I put my entire fucking account in UEC at $1.04, back in December.

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Right Wing German Leader Suggests Splitting Eurozone in Two, With the Weak Clustered Around France

Joerg Meuthen, leader of Germany’s Alternative for Germany party, wants the eurozone divided in two — with the stronger nations clustered around Germany and the weak ones around France, naturally.

Germany would keep Austria, Finland and the Netherlands and France would keep the PIGS (Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain).

Sounds like a war in the making.

“The euro is a seed of discord in Europe that has different currency cultures and different competitiveness levels,” Meuthen told Reuters, eight months before the federal election.

Meuthen, widely seen as a moderate in the AfD which represents a wide range of views, said the German economy could suffer in the wake of such a euro zone split but only for a year or two.
“The euro is too strong for southern European countries while for Germany and several others it’s too weak,” he said in a telephone interview.

“It’s conceivable that the weaker countries leave,” he said, mentioning Italy, Spain, Portugal and France. He said Greece is so weak that no country wants to share a currency with it.

Germany, Austria, the Netherlands and Finland should remain in the core euro group, he said, even though a stronger currency would hurt exports from those countries.

“That could cause an economic slump (in Germany),” he said. “It’s impossible to say how deep. But in my view the economic slump would be over in about a year or two.”

Meuthen said the euro exit should not be linked to a fixed exchange rate system. “The currencies need to be able to breathe,” he said.

Nothing is unreasonable about his plans. As presently situated, the EU is a failure and destined to collapse. In this way, Germany gets to rule over wide areas of Europe (their main goal in life), while subjugating others, the weak, to a life of misery and slavery.

Literally, nothing has changed in Germany over the past 100 years.

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Valeant Surges After Reporting Positive Phase 3 Results for Psoriasis Drug

Is there a more hated drug stock in the world than $VRX?
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This is easily the very worst major drug stock out there, with all sorts of headwinds. By all accounts, it appears the company is heading towards a watery grave. However, in the interim, there is opportunity for short squeezes, especially after reporting good clinical data.

Valeant Pharma announces ‘positive’ results from a second confirmatory pivotal Phase 3 study to assess the safety and efficacy of IDP-118 lotion in the treatment of plaque psoriasis

Within the Phase 3 study of 203 adult subjects with moderate to severe psoriasis, IDP-118 showed statistical significance (p < 0.001) to vehicle with a treatment success rate at 8 weeks of 35.76% to 6.98%. The primary endpoint of the 12-week study (8 weeks of treatment followed by 4 weeks of follow-up) was achievement of a “clear” to “almost clear” score and at least a 2 grade improvement based on an Investigator Global Assessment (IGA) at 8 weeks, and clear to almost clear and at least 2 grade improvement in the IGA at weeks 12, 6, 4 and 2 as secondary endpoints.

Shares are soaring early on. I expect the stock to continue higher, maybe even causing a buying frenzy — somewhat dependent on the overall health of the biotech sector, which has been good as of late.

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Chipotle Guides Way Down, Increases Share Buyback Program by $100 Million

If it appears that Chipotle is circling the toilet bowl, following a horrendous year of declining comps and wasteful sharebuybacks, it’s because they are.

The deleterious affects of poisoning your patrons without ever resolving the root cause of the problem is taking a toll on the burrito maker. They’re slashing earnings by nearly 50% for Q4, reducing revenue expectations, but increasing their share buyback program by $100m to total $2.1b per date.

Sees Q4 EPS $0.50-0.58 vs $0.98 Capital IQ Consensus; revs $1.035 bln vs $1.05 bln Capital IQ Consensus; comps -4.8% vs. ests near -3.5%.

Comparable restaurant sales for the quarter decreased 4.8%, which includes the benefit of 0.5% related to previously deferred revenue that was recognized in the fourth quarter. Comparable restaurant sales decreased 20.2% in October 2016, decreased 1.4% in November 2016, and increased 14.7% in December 2016. Sales comparisons are lapping an easier compare due to lower sales levels in November and December 2015.

Operating margin 13-14%. “During the quarter we incurred higher expenses compared to our originally-forecasted amounts in other operating costs, driven by increased promotional spend and costs related to testing television advertising. Our marketing and promotional expenses during the quarter totaled ~4.7% of sales. We also incurred higher food costs compared to our originally-forecasted amounts as a result of increased market costs for avocados.”

I’m not a fan of these buybacks, especially when the core business is woefully impaired like Chipotle. Although comps will be much easier this year, make no mistake, this is still a company in turmoil, with a valuation that isn’t cheap. Bear in mind, revenues aren’t growing anymore, so management is tossing money at common stock that is arguably way too expensive compared to its peers. Based on their industry peer comparisons, $CMG is trading more than 2x on a price to sales basis.

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Does CMG deserve to be trading at 3x sales when BWLD trades half that amount?

Over the past year, the company has bought back nearly 2 billion worth of  shares, all at higher prices, and for what?
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The stock continues lower and management continues to chase the stock, throwing good money after bad. Lunacy.

Shares are trading up early this morning because good news is good and bad news is even better. People believe the year over year sales bump is something to celebrate, when in fact it’s just smoke and mirrors.

My favorite pundit for retail and consumer oriented stocks, Jeff Macke, offers his two cents.

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Hillary for Prison: Jason Chaffetz Promises to Continue and Expand His Investigation into Her Email Scandal

Trump ran on the promise to ‘lock her up,’ regarding Hillary’s activities with her insecure email server and subsequent activities in destroying evidence that might’ve paved the way for her landing on her head in prison. No one could say for sure, since upwards of 30,000 emails were destroyed by the Clinton camp — in a feverish ploy to evade investigation.

Rep. Chaffetz, along with Trey Gowdy, have been leading the way in Congress in pursuit of the truth, regarding the Clinton email scandal. Many on the left have lobbied for Trump to ‘let go’ of the Hillary investigation in order to ‘heal the country’ after a bitter and tumultuous campaign. However, nothing has been graceful about Hillary since her loss and it shouldn’t surprise anyone if Trump, along with incoming AG Sessions, decided to pursue a case against her with energetic fervor — draining the swamp of those implicated in the biggest political corruption cabal since Tammany Hall circa mid 19th century.

Source: Washington Examiner

“This was never a political targeting in the beginning and just because there was a political election doesn’t mean it goes away,” House Oversight and Government Reform Chairman Jason Chaffetz, R-Utah, told reporters Monday. “There were a lot of other characters that were involved in this that we have to look at.”

“This was potentially one of the largest breaches of security in the history of the State Department,” he said. “It cannot and should never be repeated again. How is it that so much information was able to migrate out into the world? These are still open questions that we need to finish up so that they don’t happen again.”

Chaffetz wants to review the security clearances of Clinton aides who helped manage the “extremely careless” email process described by FBI Director James Comey. Chaffetz said he is inclined to hold Bryan Pagliano, a key Clinton IT aide, in contempt of Congress for flouting subpoenas last year. “You can’t just get a subpoena from Congress to testify and not show up,” he said.

The Utah Republican wants to target more senior officials, such as State Department Under Secretary for Management Patrick Kennedy, in light of FBI suggestions that he tried to set up a “quid pro quo” with the FBI to suppress revelations that Clinton’s email server held classified information.

FBI leadership could also be a live target of the review, as Republicans are troubled that Va. Gov Terry McAuliffe, a longtime ally of the Clintons, made campaign donations to the wife of Andrew McCabe, the agency’s second-in-command. “I’m very concerned about the straight-up conflict of interest that Mr. McCabe had,” Chaffetz said. “That’s something we’ll continue to spend resources on.”

Hillary for prison, 2017.

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Deutsche Bank Declares Trump’s Economics Policies Will End Stagnation and Double GDP Growth by 2018

The good people at Deutsche Banks have toiled over the numbers and proposed policies put forth by Trump and have concluded that an end to Obama’s misery might be around the bend — the very worst GDP performance since Herbert Hoover. The combination of lower regulations, tax cuts, and fiscal spending might lead America to greatness, doubling its GDP growth by 2018 — providing succor to world economic growth.

In other words, all of the horrible things you heard during the elections, regarding Trump’s policies being disastrous for the U.S. economy, were fabrications. Trumpenomics stands to provide a renaissance in American economics — creating an atmosphere of winning whilst eschewing the communist shills who’ve misdirected the economy into an era of globalist tyranny.

Gross domestic product growth would be double its current level under an agenda that cuts regulations across a broad swath of critical sectors, enacts tax reform that slashes personal and corporate taxes, and calls for at least $1 trillion in improvements for bridges, roads and other public projects.

“This policy mix has the potential of reigniting productivity growth and raising U.S. growth potential,” David Folkerts-Landau, chief economist at Deutsche Bank, said in a report for clients. “While Trump introduces higher uncertainty, this is better than the near certainty of the continuation of a mediocre status quo.”

The impact may not be felt immediately, but once the new agenda kicks in it will serve as a “game changer for the U.S. economy,” Folkerts-Landau added.

In raw numbers, that would push 2017 growth to 2.4 percent and 2018 up to 3.6 percent. By way of comparison, the economy has grown an average of about 1.6 percent a year under President Barack Obama, the worst recovery since the Great Depression. Obama is the first president since Herbert Hoover not to see at least 3 percent growth for a calendar year.

U.S. growth will bleed into the world economy, according to Deutsche, which pushed its 2017 global GDP forecast from 3 percent to 3.4 percent.

“This policy will be successful in moving the U.S. economy away from low-growth secular stagnation towards significantly more buoyant performance,” Folkerts-Landau said. “We would not be taken by surprise by a doubling of the growth rate of real GDP in the U.S. over the next two years, nor by a further significant move up of equity valuations and a material further appreciation of the dollar.”

The analysis also takes a more optimistic view of Trump’s expected “America first” agenda when compared with other Wall Street views that have cited the danger of a potentially isolationist U.S. that starts trade wars with global competitors.

“This approach should produce a new order that will ultimately be more stable in the sense that ‘good fences make good neighbors,'” Folkers-Landau said. “However, we do note that the uncertainty about the Trump administration’s policies is still large, as is the reaction of those impacted by these policies.”

America is on the precipice of becoming great again, with it the share prices of those interested in Americana.

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Piers Morgan Annihilates Meryl Streep’s Trump Scene Performed at the Golden Globes

Once liberal cry baby, now redpilled destroyer of establishment shills who seem unable to accept the election results, Piers Morgan chimed in on last night’s anti-Trump tirade by Meryl Streep — and utterly destroyed her.

I don’t want to spend any more time on this ridiculous topic than this post. The only reason why I’m delving into it is to debunk the refuse circulating online. After all, “The Fly” is all about winning the culture wars. But for those of you adamant about Trump mocking a disabled reporter employed by the most powerful newspaper in the world, watch the following video of Trump using the same hand gestures while mocking other ‘non-disabled’ people and tell me with a straight face that you still believe Trump is guilty.

Piers Morgan chimes in.

Last night, Streep received a Lifetime Achievement award at the Golden Globes, and chose the moment to launch a very personal attack on Donald Trump.

She began by saying that Hollywood, foreigners and the press are ‘the most vilified segments of American society right now’.

At which point the cameras panned out to hundreds of the richest, most privileged people in American society sitting in the audience in their $10,000 tuxedos and $20,000 dresses, loudly cheering this acknowledgement of their dreadful victimhood.

She then said that if all the ‘outsiders and foreigners’ were kicked out of Hollywood, ‘you’ll have nothing to watch but football and mixed martial arts, which are not the arts.’

Wow.

I haven’t heard such elitist snobbery since Hillary Clinton branded Trump supporters ‘a basket of deplorables’.

For your information, Ms Streep, tens of millions of ordinary Americans love football and the MMA and would be quite happy watching their favourite sports at the expense of the next Woody Allen film.

Her real target, though, was Trump. She’d come to take him down, and that is exactly what she proceeded to do.

‘There were many powerful performances this year that did breathtaking, compassionate work,’ she said. ‘But there was one performance that stunned me. It sank it hooks in my heart, not because it was good – there’s nothing good about it. But it was effective and it did its job. It was that moment when the person asking to sit in the most respected seat in our country imitated a disabled reporter. Someone he outranked in privilege and power and the capacity to fight back.’

Meryl’s bottom lip began to tremble.

‘It kind of broke my heart when I saw it,’ she cried, ‘and I still can’t get it out of my head. This instinct to humiliate when it’s modelled by someone in the public platform, by someone powerful, filters down into everybody’s life because it kind of gives permission for other people to do the same thing.’

Hmmm.

Really, Meryl?

For starters, the incident to which she referred didn’t happen last year, it happened in 2015. There’s even been another Golden Globes in between then and now, at which it was never mentioned.

Second, Trump has always furiously denied – and has again today on Twitter – he was mocking the reporter’s disability and a Conservative website produced video evidence of numerous other instances where he made the exact same gesture to fully able-bodied people when attacking them.

Third, the reporter is hardly a powerless individual with ‘no capacity to fight back’; he’s a long-time Pulitzer-prize winning investigative journalist at the New York Times, a paper that’s trashed Trump for decades.

But putting all that to one side for a moment – and if Trump WAS mocking a man’s disability then I agree it was disgraceful – let’s move to what Streep said next: ‘Disrespect invites disrespect. Violence incites violence. When the powerful use their position to bully others, we all lose.’

At this point, I laughed out loud with incredulity.

Not at the words themselves, which are laudable.

No, it was at the hypocrisy.

You’d be hard-pushed to find an industry that encourages more disrespect and violence than Hollywood.

A place where rich powerful people make billions of dollars by regularly pandering to the lowest common denominators of sexism, racism, homophobia and misogyny.

And happily exploit ever more hideous, graphic violence to make a fast, easy buck.

And seethe from every tinsel-encrusted pore with the very kind of nasty, power-based bullying that Meryl Streep claims to be so incensed by in Trump.

So great though her censorious words indisputably are, they would be perhaps better directed at her own back yard.

To highlight just one example of Streep’s shocking hypocrisy, what about the 2003 Oscars when she leaped to her feet and gave child rapist Roman Polanski a standing ovation after he was announced as winner of Best Director for The Pianist?

 

Read Full article here.

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The Ever Elusive Dow 20,000 Hangs in the Balance

Do not worry. We are simply ‘basing out’ before the blast off to Elysium, or Dow 20,000. Pardon my absence from the site today and lack of Pro-Trump news, but I’ve been busy dealing with the Verizon guy — who has been trying to take short cuts and energetically working towards leaving me with subpar service. I will have you know that “The Fly” is fanatical about his internet speeds and coverage and will not waiver from his demands.

The Dow Jones traded off, but the NASDAQ was up. Several of my positions were up, including my nuclear bomb play $UEC and Charles Manson murdering biotech company, responsible for the deaths of at least 18 people, $ALNY.

Also, I started a position in $AMD today — specifically because they’re a weak and flaccid company, fighting against a dominant monopoly. In a sane world, AMD could flourish and thrive, helping consumers enjoy lower prices through hard fought competition. I am not disillusioned and merely bought it because I feel AMD is the antithesis of a reasonable portfolio selection — which is precisely why it will trade higher.

My reign of terror has just begun. It’s going to be a long year for you fucking cucks out there.

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Fiat Chrysler CEO: Due to Trump’s Proposed Tariffs, the Mexican Auto Industry Could Be Imperiled

Trump isn’t punishing Mexico, but instead encouraging American companies to come back home and hire American workers — totally within the bounds of reason.

In light of President elect Trump’s intention to increase duties coming into the country, the CEO of Fiat Chrysler said he’d have to shut down their Mexican production, if it became ‘uneconomical.’

“It’s possible, if the economic terms imposed by the U.S. administration on anything that comes into the United States that, if they’re sufficiently large that it would make the production of anything in Mexico uneconomical,” said Marchionne. “We would have to withdraw. It is quite possible.”

“Let’s find out what happens as a result of President-elect Trump coming in and how he views imports,” said Marchionne.

Marchionne said that the entire Mexican automotive industry could be imperiled.

“The reality is the Mexican automotive industry has now for a number of years now been tooled-up to try and deal with the U.S. market. If the U.S. market were not to be there, the reasons for its existence are on the line,” Marchionne said.

With American auto production coming back to the U.S., the Mexican auto industry is entirely screwed. As of now, Mexican factories account for 20% of all vehicles made in N. America.

“It puts everything back on the back burner for the time being, Marchionne said. “I need clarity … we’re not the only ones who need clarity.”

The 64-year-old Marchionne said it would be “very, very costly and uncertain” to repurpose Mexican production for export to other markets other than the United States.

On Sunday, $FCAU announced they were going to invest $1b in U.S. manufacturing — which should add 2,000 jobs to the shit filled states of Ohio and Michigan.

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