iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,473 Blog Posts

Missed the First Ark Trip? Here’s Your Chance to Get on the Second

I’ve been extremely bullish on TLT since December of 2015 — which was the last and only time I bought it. My basis is around $118 and I bought it when Exodus had flagged it as oversold.

On Friday, it flagged oversold for the first time since 12/23/15 and the stats are worth paying attention to.

Our signals for TLT are flawless over the 9 previous occasions it has reached these high stress levels.

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Seasonally speaking, bonds are doing what they usually do in October: go down. But even for a down October, we’re right up against the most extreme sell off in over a decade.

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Lastly, I want to remind you that the bull market in bonds is still very much intact, when viewing from a longer time frame. These sell offs, while being quite rare, are to be viewed as opportunities to buy, not sell.

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I don’t condone any of the leveraged bonds. But if you want to play just the price action and have no desire for income, consider the zeroes: ZROZ.

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10 comments

  1. tmmdn0

    Dr. Fly, I agree that picture from the bridge is impressive.
    But if you are selling a ride on the Ark, why show the Titanic?

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  2. peso trader

    We’re going to need a bigger boat

    http://www.raptureready.com/soap2/ecklund13.html

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  3. natehois

    Because the Fly is Billy Zane

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  4. heaterman

    Peso, I actually went back a re read Ez38 and following this past week.
    Makes a person wonder.
    At this point it should be obvious to all there is much more in play here than a presidential election.

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  5. peso trader

    I agree Heater,the curtains have been pulled back on the Middle East, Russia, the media, politics,ect.

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  6. roundwego

    the last stop in downgrading careers, bartenders and waiters will be out of work.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-15/restuarant-industry-gloom-number-americans-eating-out-tumbles

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  7. cancel19

    I was worried about that small leak in the Giraffe section of the Ark. I’m glad that the Real Fly addressed this situation!?

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