Over the past two days Exodus has been flagging the financials oversold. I discussed it briefly, due to the very accurate history of the signals. Today the banks are running like freed slaves. I do not claim victory in this endeavor, as I didn’t have a horse in the race. Perhaps if I wasn’t so stubborn, I would’ve done something about it. But that’s another matter to be worked out with my inner demons.
Today, there is another interesting call being made and I am going to tell you what it is, in spite of a certain fuckhead who’s been menacing me with his childish complaints.
This should come as no surprise to you, so I feel at liberty to discuss it. We all know that oil and gas stocks are overbought. The only question you should have is how does one quantify it and what are the past results of selling short into overbought levels, such as now?
This signal is flawless by the 5th trading day; which means if you shorted it on Monday, you should expect profits by the first day of the following week. Some of the levered ETFs, like ERX, are overbought too and the potential profits of leveraging this trade is tempting. But short squeezes are brutal affairs and it’s best not to get too aggressive while these little speedboats are racing across the waters.
Wait for them to hit a rock, then pounce on them with medieval intentions. Moor their little ships and then crush them into the octopi infested waters.
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Is this market sucking in the suckers, only to eventually leave them dry humping and frustrated?
The market is your dinner table. The legs keep giving out. They keep stuffing things in there. Now wobbly. Keep bringing it back up even though it’s rotting
I busted out laughing in my cubicle when I read “running like freed slaves”.
Please tell your inner demons to chill & get back behind the wheel of that, I can’t remember the model, car of yours and careen through the groceried store parking lot.
Miss that.
Thx 4 a great number of months of fine blogging.
That and the speedboat/drowning analogy were fantastic.
Fly owns a PT Cruiser with custom air brush (lightening and wolves) and 50k sound system. looks fresh af he posted pics a while back
Classic Fly. You are so full of shit. Fuck you.
BANNED
second target met at 2020. if we get to 2034 I’ll be totally creeped out. I have a boatload of super cruddy TVIX. support there is 5.80 ish.
and have a great weekend everyone. nothing but love for the house of fly.
have you got this trade backwards or upside down?…..FOMC out Wednesday and maybe the market finally goes south for more than 5 hours… but your thesis based on your quant system – which quite frankly YTD is fucked- well I think the folks can see for them selves the entertainment you provide.
yes i know you are a kinder gentler soul who doesn’t trade and uses OB signals on the SPY’s but the facts are 3 months into the year and you have been in and out early twice and lost money in one of the most outstanding trading markets of all time. If people have paid you to deliver on I WIN A LOT .. the pickings have been slim.
I think you will sit down and try and figure out how to refine your system..if you don’t well.. you can always close Exodus and start something new and improved.
How much are you down? You sound angry. It’s happy hour somewhere, time for an attitude adjustment?
Not down at all up quite substantially and am having a lot of fun not stressed at all….
Nothing but love for the platform after a week or two of use, Dr. Fly. Cheers
ab– shit happens. If you’re down for the year—own it. It’s too easy to blame someone, something or even the market. Attitude is everything if you want to succeed at this game.
Exodus is down for the year…..or maybe flat… Me not so much 🙂
Bush.. 2016 is the year of the Tangible asset class…. I hope you figure that out sooner rather than later….. a new dawn has arrived and if you are really a student of the markets you will see it and plan accordingly. Now if you are a paid up subscriber of anybody’s service then you must wait for your instructions……