Predictions For 2011
73 Responses to Predictions For 2011
fig!
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What is driving FTK there FLY? Thanks for the great site!
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your docstoc embed is off
link here: http://www.docstoc.com/docs/68133141/iBankCoin
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Happy B-day Steve.
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First!
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One should avoid making predictions… particularly about the future.
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One should avoid giving advice… particularly to the Fly.
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Now that is good advice.
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In case you haven’t seen it, one of R.W. Pelican’s cousins in action.
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FYI: I bought CHNG.
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And this morning in the heat of the moment I bought some ASIA. Chinese Lotto Guy is back with hands of balut! ROROROROR
I also like the prospects of LTD, JOSB, and LCC. Pissed I didn’t pull the trigger on JOSB this morning, but may into the bell.
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Woodshedder apparently has the most prophetic ability, but I was disappointed not to see Jeremy’s predictions included.
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Dell goes private??
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Raven vs. Steelers in the Superbowl? WTF?
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not possible. they are both in the same division.
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Gio: All AFC North Superbowl in 2011?
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FTK to 8 or 9 … way to early Fly
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interesting , very interesting ….. nothing on solar flares flaming out our electronic grid & communications network? No 2012 alien landing prophecies?
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The Martin Armstrong look to the document is Priceless.
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Great post! A big Cha-Ching and many thanks to the inimitable iBC bloggers. Best wishes and Happy Holidays to them all. May wit and large coin prevail for us all in the months ahead!
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LMAO at Shed’s prediction…
“Women will be able to urinate on their iPhone and find out whether or not they are with child.”
Classic! Great work Gents (and Gints)!
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Happy New Year to The Fly and all associates and regular users of this blog.
Thanks for sharing your knowledge and great skills.
New years are best celebrated in Vegas.
Vegas
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Ironic, my daughter is reading Tale of Two Cities and just went to see Les Miserables last night!
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Greenland’s Kvanefield will surpass China’s Baiyunebo rare earth mine as the largest in the world and BHP will pursue it’s owner (GDLNF) with an unsolicited offer that falls on deft ears and expires with a whimper as all of BHP’s recent takeover bids have ….
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“The single best trade of the year will be volatility” – don’t tell me you are going to buy that crappy VXX again!
I thought you banned that security from these pages?
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All About Money
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Quint- I’m sure you know about other ways to trade volatility, and are no stranger to options.
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bot SCEI: CHINESE LOTTO IS BACK
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Clean coal, hah!
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Your “predictions” for 2010 came up a blank page. How could you go wrong with THAT?
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Click the header again.
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Why should “Obamacare” be struck down by the Supreme Court? You are not REQUIRED
to buy health insurance. You simply don’t get a tax BREAK if you are uninsured.
The new law forces you to have insurance, or you pay a penalty. Therefore, you are required to buy healthcare insurance. I believe the Supreme Court will strike this down as an overreach of the interstate commerce clause- 5 to 4.
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If you don’t buy the health insurance after Obama-care, and you then get a horrible disease, can you still go ahead and later buy health insurance with a new pre-existing condition?
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Jake,
All Blacks win the rugby World Cup? They get picked everytime yet never deliver. This time will be no different.
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It will be different because they are on home court this time.
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Well done. There is more probability of fruition in Woodshedder’s ruminations than appears at first blush.
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My Predictions for 2011:
Shanghai and Hong Kong markets are in constant decline…civil unrest on the mainland.
Thus commodities continue to fall…
As panic ensues, the dollar continues to rise, the Euro collapses and the Euro-nation dissolves.
Thus US inflation declines and the bond market rallies pushing 30-year yields to 3.5% as QE3 is focused on the long bond, driving up the price of real estate and homebuilding stocks.
US Unemployment rate drops to 7% as everyone becomes international financial advisors – advising the rest of the world how to solve your own country’s problems.
The best stock markets are the US and Japan, each up over 50%, as P/E multiples expand.
The worst stock markets are China, Brazil, Austrailia and India.
The New Orlean Saints repeat to win the Super Bowl, and the Washington Nationals win the World Series.
Ben Bernanke becomes a Saint – the first Jewish Saint by The Vatican for his recognition in saving the world!
Lastly, Osama bin Laden dies from gonorrhea.
Osama bin who? oh, yea… him.
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Quint, I like the way you think. TWO DAT?!
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Hey Fly, remember the reverse horseman of certain death?
your call for MAC, WRI, ACC and HME to go bankrupt at the bottom of the crisis
Enough said
PS thanks for your MOTR shares
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Nice job on the predictions guys.
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Thanks for what MOTR shares?
Banned
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Fly,
Any thoughts on FTK’s surge today? The late dump makes me think it was nothing more than a function of the plug on CNBC.
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it was for today. I think some analyst mentioned it. The real question is who this guy is working with. Im pretty sure it was the guy with the cat
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bwahhaaaahaaaha..
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whats the discussion like on the ppt after hours?
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It’s great…we talk about the best stocks, best liquor, best hookers…always looking for new members, come join.
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Excellent job by all, thank you for putting this together.
I hope we stay healthy, reasonably happy and avoid personal financial doom.
Let’s enjoy the ride as much as our vision of the destination.
Ravens vs. Steelers huh? Big sports fan Gio…2 teams in the same division meet in the superbowl….what an ass.
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No predictions by The Spyder Crusher … did he get a bye or has Fly docked him his iBC Xmas Bonus in treau clawhammer fashion?
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Glad you liked them folks! Now I’m going to look back at my 2010 predictions to see how I did…
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Wow, my 2010 predictions were superb. Look for yourselves! WIG.
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WIG
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Since I had most accurate predictions for 2010:
“Here are my predictions since you asked:)
The only thing I am certain of is that the dollar will catch offguard everyone and rally higher than most expect, mu guess, at least to .85.
The rest are so unpredictable is not even worth trying. If $ rallies above .84-85, the markets will tank. My guess is that the market ends unchanged YE with 20% drop in the first quarter and later rebound. The states, banks and CRE will need more bailouts and will get it and not kill the market. We will never see the 09 lows again. action of the FED and Treasury has convinced us that they will fo anything in their power to not allow this. They will prevail. TNX will stay between 3 and 4% regardless of new QE and new bailouts, or because of that. No inflation showing in ‘10. Deflationary undertones will still prevail. Taxes will increase very little if any at all in ‘10.
Gold at 930 is a dream buy longer term, although it could dip as low as $750.
Black swan event very likely via one of the large euro region defaults, think PIGS or even larger in a way of austria or even england if the fire from pigs catches on.
Happy New Year to all”
I will give you another one for 2011:
Baring Hong Kong RE collapse or Spain default, I think that the market ends up 5% for the year. There will be a selloff in second half of Jan to the tune of 5%…Market rallies 10% from there until May…sells off to the tune of 5% for the next several months and than rallies another 5% in the Oct-Nov-Dec months. In other words, one of the most boring markets you’ve seen in a long time.
Le Fly’s post will trickle down to 2-3 per week as the market will be so boring/uneventful and he realizes that he is good enough at this game, hence, spends more time with his family! Hint…
Oil will top at 105 and will dip as low as $74.
Gold will see mid $1500 and low $1200
TNX will trade the same as ’10…2.5-3.5%
The mighty $ will trade as low as .76 and top @ .86. The .76 will be the all time low!
The FED won’t go to QE3 but they will find back door ways of infusing the same amount of cash nevertheless, preventing a RE collapse
Couple of US states and couple of munis will default and won’t have a lasting effect.
Financials, as much as this pains me, will have a decent year
RE will dip another 5% but it won’t be eventful
The Fascist party will share the blame of “no change” helping the O admin.
The excitement will be pushed for 2011 when shitload of things will materialize. Euro-zone, China-including Brazil will get fucked as demand doesn’t appear due to prolonged. Japan will kick the can down the road in 2010 but will finally (after 20 years) have a SECOND DIP. More on this a year from now.
Maby most of youse will be served better by spending time doing things with your families as overwhelming majority of you won’t make any money. Make this your NY resolution!
Happy, healthy and prosperous new year to ALL.
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AAPL & Co. might very well do poorly next year, but the Dow will end up. Even if it means 0.001% up, but it will end up.
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Who’s this steve bloke?
PS. nothing was penned about the rugby world cup prediction for 2011???
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I predicted the All Blacks would win. What more do you require?
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I’ll go way out on a limb and predict the Aussies win the cricket World Cup.
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@ Steve you stupid wasp, if a trader gets something wrong, to borrow a colourful aphorism from our friend taleb: “Learn to fail with pride — and do so fast and cleanly. Maximise trial and error — by mastering the error part.”
Nobody can be 100% correct. Now seeing as you did not know this we can assume you will be put to the blade of the reverse horseman of certain death, as you will love your idea, and end up in the gutter with it!
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developing…..The best trade of 2011 is coming ere soon…but to be serious i’m going to release the info to the PPT first….
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Midget asian lesbian clowns control the market. Fundamentals have no place here. Cocaine filled pinatas await the victors in 2011.
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fellas fellas fellas…
a new tading instrument will be put forward as the U.S. dollar remains…well…less and less ” stable”.
The alternative currency will be ‘commodity’ based backed by 14 of the G20 Nations and used strictly as an International Trading Instrument…regardless of what “Timmy” thinks
Cheer up…Wal-Mart will introduce gold shaving weighers at each register by mid February
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All good pedictions (except for the Superbowl prediction), but I think the theme of 2011 will be the return of “goldie locks” in the US markets. A statue of Ben Bernanke will be erected at all major stock exchanges around the globe which Erin Burnette will report live from throughout the year. Barons will write cover stories referring to “THE NEW BULLMARKET”. Everyone will eat bacon cheeseburgers and be merry.
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That actually sounds likely. If Ben keeps pumping until RE goes up and stocks keep going up, he will be a world hero until it crashes again, which could be an entire 3 or 4 years.
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Yep, same as Greenspan. Everybody thought he was a complete bad ass until everything went to shit.
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Apologies jake, I’ll be in NZ supporting the Wallabies who I predict will take the cake. Hawke’s bay is the place to stay if you get there…
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TSLA will hit $50
I’ll sire another child
Silver above $40
Gold above $1800
Another big Earthquake and Tsunami somewhere more economically important
Katla eruption shuts down European air travel
Global Warming starts to be pushed less in the media as cooling trends cause the big boys to stop pushing it
FLY’s personal aggressive accounts hit $20M
Oil above $150
US Natural Gas prices stay very low
The announcement of at least 1 large natural gas to liquids plant in the US (Natty to diesel)
I buy shares in whoever does it.
SpaceX IPO
US Social unrest begins to become a big problem.
Canada does what the private citizens who own the IMF tell them to (ramps up reckless spending)
Another assasination attempt on my hero Nigel Farage
EU politics and unrest get a lot more messy, European stocks suffer accordingly.
These guys get some competition http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aerion_SBJ
These guys get their $100M http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SkyHook_JHL-40
damn dude, you are pretty spot on with some of these…must be time to buy some TSLA…
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Why is woodshedder such a redneck?
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