iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,428 Blog Posts

The Rigs Are Back

Oil is not at $140, yet. Nonetheless, rig count activity, both onshore and off, is through the fucking roof. It should not be a surprise to you to see stocks like Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , Helmerich & Payne, Inc. [[HP]] , Weatherford International Ltd. [[WFT]] or Lufkin Industries, Inc. [[LUFK]] go through the roof. Rig count is near all time highs in many parts of the United States. We are talking about 25%+ sequential quarterly growth, in both oil and gas. What does that mean?

Quite frankly, it means nirvana for depressed drilling parts makers. It is not by accident that piece of shit companies, like Flotek Industries, Inc. [[FTK]] , Warren Resources, Inc. [[WRES]] or Global Industries, Ltd. [[GLBL]] have gone parabolic to the upside, but by design.

In summary, oil is back. Drilling is back. For the love of stale donuts, Le Fly is back.

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59 comments

  1. Rand

    We are building concreters for the oil companies very quickly. Already built 9 and have frac units contracted, also nitrogen units being built as well as control units for all machines. Guess someone wants oil.

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    • StratG

      Obama is a big oil guy now. His people are buying it up.

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      • omfgitsjd

        oh yeah. Winning the presidency is like winning the lotto. Those oil slicked handshakes lube up everything.

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  2. Le Fly

    We were owed a double points day, due to yesterday’s laid back session.

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  3. Le Fly

    You better hold your breath

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  4. Le Fly

    It went up in march. This is april

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      what was the PPT est’d avg return (?) vs the actual (20%) ?

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  5. Le Fly

    +20.8% ytd

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  6. Le Fly

    I murdered that guy who was short 600 ftk with my 1.1mill long

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      HA HA HA …. I’m only down 13-14% on mine now.

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  7. Le Fly

    Tea

    I will hold both swn and mta. I expect mta to drop 9% after ex date. When i recoup it, i will sell for a net 9% divvy gain

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  8. ZenProfit

    Do my eyes deceive me? A 2 handle on FTK?

    Only 1.20 more and I’m back to even. Thanks Senor Fly.

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  9. BernieCornfeld

    Whoohoo. A great send off to the weekend! Go FTK!! PHHWOOOOOMMMMM (ala rocketship style)

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  10. DownTick

    FTK is dropping Steinway grand pianos from orbit on the shorts today, Donkey Kong style. Brutal. Fly wins again!

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  11. Danified

    Nice! Last evening read a spectacular article on offshore drilling. The process of drilling deep water offshore is simply amazing and highly complex. In regards to the deep water crude boom, traveling 2 miles to get to the sea floor is only half the battle. Once you reach the seafloor, you need to go through another 10,000-20,000 feet of rock and salt formations to get to the oil. The data comes from one source and perhaps may not be entirely true, but the article was sure fascinating.

    Off to the Green Turtle Club Marina in the Bahamas for some much needed decompression time. Absolutely amazing and profitable trading week. Today, checked technical and overall hybrid scores a few times and bought some core holding dips. What a treat, instead of 40 we get 60. Cigars and scotch for all…..

    It is nice that ur back trading more often. U, Mrs. Fly and the kiddies have a great weekend.

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  12. Dayman

    Where’s that guy with the 600 shares short?

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  13. YaBollox

    There’s one less rig in the GOM. Another fun oil rig company is VTG, only 1.78/sh. They got some new rigs getting to work internationally, off shore stuff.

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  14. The_Real_Hmmm

    It should provide you with an excellent exit for FTK.

    If oil begins to go parabolic keep in mind that 10 of the last 11 recessions post WWII have been preceded by sharp inclines of oil prices. The only time it didn’t was in 1960-61 when there was a mild recession.

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    • Heaterman

      Except this time I think the price will become a fact of life. Demand has been right on the ability to supply since about 2005 and any up tick in the world economy will send price/bbl soaring up again. I doubt if it will come back down again barring an outright collapse of the world economy. Too many forks stuck in the same pie now. That’s the difference vs all other oil price spikes in the past.

      And speaking of soaring…………..I watched a 3 year old bald eagle grab a fish out of the small local pond this morning, carry it up to a nearby tree branch and proceed to have breakfast. That was way cool and reminded me that the market isn’t the only thing in life that matters.

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  15. wolf

    Wasn’t WFT on the buy list for April from the seasonality screen? Also, are any of you experiencing light headiness and a metal type taste in your mouths from that poison kcup shit that the Fly introduced me to?

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  16. The Sax

    Now’s as good a time as any to point out that just a few days ago, The Fly gave many of us unPPT’d types a gift (http://ibankcoin.com/flyblog/2010/04/13/get-in-the-vice-4/). Being the reckless type, I went ahead and dumped a stupid amount of money into these stocks, spreading it evenly among them all. Currently, I am up 9.96% in a mere 9 days. Biggest winner is the Fly darling FTK with 37.01% gain in those 9 days. There are a couple other double digit gainers (XNPT, BLDR). The sole loser is GTXI at -0.60%. The next lowest performer is SCHL with a respectable 3.66% gain. All the rest are in the green between 5.44% (PLCE) and 9.45% (SKS). I have no intention of closing these positions anytime soon unless something drastic happens. So I’ll keep you updated from time to time, unless you tell me to shut it.

    Some might argue that the market has been going gangbusters, so those particular stocks were likely to be just as good as any others. I don’t know how to calculate how the S&P did over the past 9 days, but I’d be willing to bet it’s nowhere near 10% up. I think the moral of the story is when the Fly gives you a peek at the PPT, listen closely.

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  17. panamaorange

    Revising my Dow target to Zero.Devildog is too bullish here.

    We are setting up a move that will make 1987 look tame. I didn’t flip bearish at start of april on a coinflip. Its the apocalypse. You only get one per planet. Its in the contract.

    230 points underwater on my dow short swings, but
    Im looking for first expanding megaphone in XLE to resolve–to a low of 58.80 by wednesday.Break of 2nd megaphone could bring 55.00

    I can hold my breath a very long time

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R7boUa5FXBg

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  18. HuggieBear

    I hope you have enjoyed this double points day.

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  19. dave

    Happy endings only happen in fairy tales and Asian massage parlors.

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  20. mrkcbill

    The Fly Is God

    I’ll take your $200,000 ftk payday and raise you:
    http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/04/23/toothless-checkout-clerk-wins-million-powerball-jackpot/?test=faces

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    • ZenProfit

      Shaw said he looks forward to spending more time with his kids, who live with their mothers about 240 miles southeast of him in his hometown of Alton, as well as with his girlfriend’s two sons — 13-year-old and 15-year-old boys Shaw says he considers his own. He plans to take them all to Disney World in Florida.

      “Hi, this is my brother Larry and my other brother Larry.”

      Damn, them hillbilly’s know how to live the good life.

      How long before this 2010 Ned Clampett is broke again?

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      • Heaterman

        It was Jed, not Ned and I give the kid about 2 years tops. Ya know……………if a guy won that kind of coin and just lived on the interest alone……………….

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        • ZenProfit

          You are right, my bad: Jed Clampett.

          Also I screwed up his cousins: Larry, Darryl and his other brother Darryl.

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  21. High Road

    Fly is there an index that reflex rising home prices. I would appreciate any info. You son jr fly

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  22. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    FLY …. SWN is up 6% for April vs the avg seasonal return of X (?) for the month with one week to go … will you hold this thru the summer for caine season or swing it in a week or two?

    With MTA, will you sell after “record” date for the divy only or continue to hold thereafter and can you sell AH on the record date or must you wait till the next trading day to still be eligible for that divy?

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  23. omfgitsjd

    Congrats to those loyal to the FTK thesis. I missed it. Doesn’t matter. Still up from being long and accumulative for the last year.

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  24. Le Fly

    There are etfs that track actual homes. Do a google search

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  25. EN1GMA

    Nice call on your ever reliable FTK fly… told some newbie about your skills and he banked some nice coin with it…another fan of le fly

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  26. Goldie

    EQIX looking like it is at a good entry point.

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  27. QUIKTDR

    Below are the bottom five companies in the Specialty Chemicals industry as measured by return on equity (ROE). The ROE is a general indication of the company’s efficiency; Investors usually look for companies with ROEs that are high and are growing.

    Flotek Industries (NYSE:FTK) ranks first with the worst ROE of -112.2%; Senomyx (NASDAQ:SNMX) ranks second with an ROE of -96.1%; and Altair Nanotechnologies (NASDAQ:ALTI) ranks third with an ROE of -54.4%.Material Sciences (NASDAQ:MASC) follows with an ROE of -35% and ADA-ES (NASDAQ:ADES) rounds out the bottom five with an ROE of -31.3%.

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  28. Dayman

    Can you join the PPT without paypal?

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  29. Dave

    A little frothy in another corner of the oil patch: I owned the royalty trust BPT for about three years. Watched it hit ~$107 when oil peaked at ~$149 or whatever in the summer of ’08. A couple of weeks ago it hit $105 with oil in the $80s. This is a trust with maybe ten years of life in it, kicking out ~$9 per year in distributions. So I sold it at $104 and change and bought more puts on it (I had bought a few puts on it a couple of weeks earlier, as a hedge).

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  30. noodleboy

    im just a side kick

    with no hero

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  31. BuyandHoldBoy

    I’ve been away for awhile but I’m glad to see The Fly is finally back in bull mode – that VXX & TLT experiment was interesting. In any case, if you haven’t bought the radio stocks you are missing out on the best leveraged play on the economic recovery…just check out SBSA, EMMS, SBGI, ETM, CMLS, ROIAK…no analyst coverage anymore to screw you either. Oils are interesting but not enought leverage for me. Meanwhile, Dow 15,000 beckons, but I’m afraid there is a big time correction starting mid-week as the crowd sells in May and goes away…even BuyandHoldBoy will be selling after the usual early-week rally…so don’t get too bullish up here Fly – you’ll wish you didn’t.

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  32. theV.King

    ACLS

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  33. TheV.King

    The Hybrid gave this to me a few months ago…thks

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  34. TheV.King

    I’ll say it “WON” more time ….ACLS…..

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29_uSlEEPSk

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  35. Le Fly

    Swn, wft, ftk and a few others. Nbr is horrible. Dony bother

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  36. skogie1

    Hey Fly what are you looking at in the rig/oil services space? I’m watching HP, NBR, EP, GMR, WLL, NOV, PDS and TTI. Any thoughts?

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  37. Le Fly

    $5-8

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    • HuggieBear

      good lord

      ima get me some…. i think you are on to something. This will be your first position i’ve trapsed into since my timely purchase of GMCR in the 60s.

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  38. HuggieBear

    Fly how high do you think FTK can go? Whats your target and at what price did you buy in?

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  39. tradingnymph

    SLB party…OK OK now, the real question…with australia out getting drunk tonight, will China continue their downward movement???

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