iBankCoin

Cramer is Preparing to Destroy People, Again

I didn’t bother turning on CNBC at 6pm (NYC time aka the only time that counts) today, since I was busy planning an egregious west coast vacation. But, one of my little lemmings came over, who was greeted with an immediate smack to the face for interrupting my favorite time of the day (6:47pm). He told me Cramer said Intel Corporation [[INTC]] is a double from present levels. Here we go with silly ol’, crazy ass Cramer again and again! By golly, that man is crazier than a ham sandwich, in Pakistan (as you know, that is indeed crazy)!

That is so fucked up, on so many levels. Where do I begin?

Okay, using consensus estimates and present FPE, Intel is cheap. As a matter of fact, if this current semi cycle can last forever, well, Intel will double, AND MORE. Inside of The PPT, Intel Corporation [[INTC]] is the #11 ranked stock, out of more than 4,000. So, it certainly is undervalued. With a FPE of 13 and net cash per share of about $2, Intel’s stock price can easily run to $30. But, for Cramer to go on the fucking teevee and suggest the company will add, oh, just another 120+ billion dollars in market cap, is more than ridiculous; it’s criminal.

Not criminal in the sense that he should share a cell with Charles Manson; but criminal in the failure to behave like an adult on the teevee, which of course, as you know, is punishable by death via wooden stake to the heart in Iran, Romania and parts of South East Mongolia.

Seriously and sincerely, Cramer needs to take his fucking meds again and do a little research on the boom and bust nature of the semiconductor cycle. While it’s true, all recent reports point to a severe shortage in Flash and DRAM memory chips, as well as bustling capacity utilization at all of the major foundries; I’ve seen this shit happen before and it always ends badly.

When investing in semis, remember this story:

I once had a client who loved SanDisk Corporation [[SNDK]] . We bought SNDK for around $10ish, back in 2003, just prior to the big run up. When the stock hit $60, my client was feeling all rich and shit, full of purpose and circumstance. His position was quite large and the paper gain made him pompous to the point that he became my most hilarious client of all time. Needless to say, when the shit hit the fan, he was woefully unprepared. As always, he refused to heed my dire warnings. Into the teeth of the 2008 decline, he ended up selling his position $2 points higher from his cost basis. Then I had to go out there and perform voodoo magic on his account, via shorting stocks, to make him feel better about himself. I am sure the roller-coaster ride inflicted his manhood in the most heinous of ways, putting limpy on the “blue pill” indefinitely. I have to admit, I was delighted by the whole ordeal. It made for great afternoon drama back then.

I have lots of stories, like the one above. The moral is: The NY Mets are the worst team in baseball, save the nonsense dished out from the fucking Pirates every year. And, semiconductor cycles are as reliable as first marriages or high school sweethearts.

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58 comments

  1. Rand

    Enjoy the west coast, its nice this time of year. I hear the gangs go caroling at night. Right next to the sounds of the bubbling tar at La Bria. At least the weather is nice.

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    • mrsbuttons

      La Brea aint the tarpits genius – mention La Brea and it’s hipster ville shops and the Tjoes and orthodox jews walking to temple on saturday afternoon and ghey duplexes on Orange and 1950 bowling shirts at Jet Rag and the overpriced bakery.

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  2. Rand

    Is it me or are the posts not showing up for others as well?

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  3. Rand

    Anyone?

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  4. Mark

    Booyah.

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  5. Rand

    Quirky program, looks ok now.

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  6. Rand

    You never know what comes out of the tar. One day they will pull a gang member out and his mugging victim.

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  7. Le Fly

    I had a guy who rode out a 900% gain in wfr. Fucking moron

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  8. Rand

    I bet when I go to jefferson parish this weekend, I will see a confused Steven Segal there as well. Its good to be confused, and in some instances, its good to be the king. A little confusion never hurts, gets you lost, but never hurts.

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    • RaginCajun

      ROFL, I grew up in Jefferson Parish.

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      • No One of Importance
        No One of Importance

        Good to see folks from Louisiana on here. I’m grew up in Caddo Parish. Well north of Bunkie (the north/south line in LA). You guys probably would would consider me a yank. Go Saints!

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        • Po Pimp

          Lincoln Parish (Ruston) representin’ here.

          Damn… having all sorts of hell with the comments today.

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          • MX2101

            Geographically, Louisiana is like the purchasing power of the Dollar- a slow relentless decline,

            The question is if the people of the state have the will to free the Mississippi River and let it create a new delta, or at least rejuvenate the state by flooding, instead of dropping new land off the continental shelf.

            It is an interesting problem of human nature. One could argue that the Mississippi should be permitted to take the Atchafalaya River path. Eventually I think it will regardless of what we do.

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          • MX2101

            btw- no offense intended, just a comment about the land situation.

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          • Po Pimp

            No offense taken. I haven’t lived in Louisiana for a long time. Haven’t lived in America for a long time actually.

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          • JakeGint

            Who says Louisiana even is America?

            😉

            ____

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          • No One of Importance
            No One of Importance

            La. Tech graduate…1996…For others, that’s in Ruston.

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  9. SCG

    Fuck Cammer! Via The Fly!

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  10. Larry

    fig

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  11. henryfool

    lord jesus i’m fallin down the steps!

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  12. Goldie

    Cramer still on teevee?

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  13. Jerry

    How does your client not take a 600% PERCENT gain!!!!<—refering to $SNDK……WOW…..

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  14. Largebill

    I don’t need to read the charts. I hear Fly is heading on vacation and I know a correction is in the offing.

    You don’t need to know the exact moment. If you protect assets too early and miss a little of the upside it is still better than waiting to get hammered by an aggressive correction. Still a BULL, but even bulls understand there is give and take.

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  15. maineman

    West coast of what?

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  16. Buckeye Bob

    Crap, I loved this post until the last bit. I’m a Pirates fan and I’m still on my first marriage. But I do hate Cramer.

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  17. GW

    Believe it or not Cramer actually said it could double and then double again because the market is back like the old days. Sooooooooooooooooooo INTL could go to $90?????? Most certainly criminal….just like:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJt77Kd_FiY

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  18. Jaylarule

    He said INTC would double in tbe next 18-26 months. Why write a whole blog/comments on something you did not see for yourself. Intel csn go to 40 in 2 years, Fo Sho! Fact is Cramer wss trading intel while most of us were in diapers. He may have history and experience on his side. 30 yrs. over our 10-15?? Mskes a difference. Anyhow I saw the segment and he was talking about long term growth not a double by Sept. 2010

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    • Yogi & Boo Boo

      One question… Where was jc when Intel was in the 13’s or even 14? ‘Nuf said.

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    • force majeure

      experience doesn’t necessarily mean a thing, especially in this case

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      • Mr. Cain Thaler

        Cramer should write a second book, “So You Read My First Two Books: What To Do Now That You’re In Bankruptcy And How To Recover.”

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  19. Jaylarule

    Also Fly are you still bullish on Ag stocks? I bought POT at 108 but then another analyst downgraded yhe sector!

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  20. JakeGint

    Frank Sinatra’s greatest movie was perhaps Pal Joey…. or maybe not.

    Nonetheless, those are two inflation-fighters that are up and away these days…

    ____________

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  21. 500kmin

    Had a client round trip a 1000% gain on microstrategy (mstr) back in the day (ended up losing money).

    Had another client whose wife forced him to sell all of his PMCS north of $225 ($2mil plus gain). They paid the taxes, had twins and bought a million dollar house in Potomac, MD in 2000. Fast forward 6 years, they sold that house for just shy of 5 million and have been sitting in MD go muni bonds ever since. (His wife worked for the State Dept and they had to move overseas for a bit). Luckiest dude ever! He didn’t want to sell PMCS or the house, wife made him do it…

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    • JakeGint

      That’s nothing. I had lunch with a guy who sold his company within (arguably) two weeks of the M&A valuation top in August of 2007. Company is bigger than when he sold it, but he’d be lucky t get half what he got for it then, today.

      _______

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      • Force Majeure

        Sometimes it’s better to be lucky than smart.

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      • needle dick the bug fucker
        needle dick the bug fucker

        Heres another. Had a guy that took 20k and bought MSFT in early 1995 sold in late 98 bought CSCO then sold in 99 and bought JDSU… Just Dont Sell Us. in the end turned that 20k into 500k. Then took JDSU to 10 bucks.

        A complete round trip~!

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  22. Hawaii Five0

    Fly,

    Sorry to be a pest, but is there a formula for putting the numbers in the sentence below together.

    “With a FPE of 13 and net cash per share of about $2, Intel’s stock price can easily run to $30.”

    Also, what does this mean? “if this current semi cycle can last forever”

    Are you referring to time of year or just demand or what?

    Thanks!

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    • don't know but I can guess
      don't know but I can guess

      is there a formula for putting the numbers in the sentence below together.
      no, much more involved
      “With a FPE of 13 and net cash per share of about $2, Intel’s stock price can easily run to $30.”

      Also, what does this mean? “if this current semi cycle can last forever”
      he’s kidding
      Are you referring to time of year or just demand or what?
      Fly is using the thousand factors in the ppt + experience

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  23. GonzoTrader

    Bankrupt stocks spurting every half hour like a Tiger + Kramer jacking the market to rise forever + Fly adds long = VXX

    This run up reminds me of watching 2 kids that have just found a rather large rubber band and a tug of war ensues … they always seem to stretch more than you think is possible.

    I knew a guy who would carry them in his pocket all the time, kids would be at the bus stop and he would drop them on the ground and just watch… kids can not resist these things….he was a real sick O

    Well the world is full of sickos brother and they all carry rubber bands, so if you meet someone new and they seem a bit stranger than normal just ask in a relaxed sort of way it they might have some thing that could help hold your socks up ….. if they offer duct tape head for the nearest exit.

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  24. jlab

    This rally reminds me of Wille E. Coyote spinning his wheels as he chases Roadrunner off of the cliff…
    Sooner or later the lemmings will realize the only support is ……………nothing but AIR!

    Added to Jul PUT positions at close today.

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  25. Rascial Flattop

    Dow 16k

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  26. Rascial Flattop

    Siri is boot stomping

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  27. Rascial Flattop

    Siri is boot stomping

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  28. Le Fly

    Say that again

    Say that again

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  29. Rascial Flattop

    Fly I am becoming a movie producer.
    Been making some really funny office movies with that website you shared with us. Thats some funny stuff.

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  30. henryfool

    Heads up on low float UFPT

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  31. Sebaco

    I’m guess your describing your brokerage business, separate from the trading that goes on here at ibankcoin? Can’t imagine clients exerting indirect (direct?) input into what positions you’re holding here on any given day…

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    • T MOE

      I would think that Fly’s posts here on iBankcoin are his trades in the discretionary accounts that he manages

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  32. scum bucket bitchez
    scum bucket bitchez

    SRS 5:1 reverse split tomorrow.

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  33. YaBollox

    When INTC goes up 10% Cramer will be telling people to sell it. He acts like a goofy fucker on TV so he can be taken less than seriously.

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  34. T MOE

    Bought more ISLN, been riding this fucker up since 3 bucks. Holding a pretty big position going into earnings next week. tight trailing stop on this stock. in case the fuckers sell it off after earnings. I will keep adding shares as it continues to breakout above its 20 day high.

    Best storage solutions in the business

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  35. J

    Fly:

    This the best damn thread on the interwebs for the entire year. Thanks for putting in the effort.

    Cramer is an idiot but he’s intentions are pretty decent I think. He just gets ahead of himself.. all excited and shit.

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