SHORT TERM BEARISH FOR A TRADE

I was distracted today by a late day gym effort and numerous issues in my garden. I seem to can’t keep trees alive in my fucking yard and have gone though 3 Crepe Myrtles in 1 year. The one that was just planted last week is dying, leaves wilted, and was dying from the second that fucker planted it. The truth is, the landscaper probably killed it before he planted it in my yard — a regular serial tree killer that guy is.

I lost 79 basis point in listless uninspired trading. I clung onto my SOXS 10% hedge for too long because NVDA is in bubble mode at 40x sales. This position is likely to lose me even more at the open. But I really want to be around when the SOX drops by 30%.

Can I turned it around tomorrow and propel myself back to recourd highs?

I absolutely can and will.

All that said, the Fed is gonna hike again and the regionals raped. The Charles Schwab corporation will trade to ZERO amidst more cash sorting and the war in Ukraine will be lost to NATO and Russia will likely bomb Warsaw by Xmas.

All of these things, and much more, looms — so why not be directionally bearish after such a nice and handsome run?

Later on today, I’ll sulk over a few more things and then maybe pop open a bottle of Burgundy and perhaps BBQ some sort of meat on the grill. I haven’t been cooking at all, since Mrs. Fly has more or less banned me from doing it. I used to enjoy it but now that is over and all I do now is read, listen to books, garden, gym, talk shit online, and various other concerns in regards to consumerism.

I like to review mega winners to see trends and dream about what could’ve been. Every investor, no matter their success, wants to snag a mega winner at least once in their lives. For me, I achieved this twice — once long AOL in the early day into the dot com bubble and then again with ETH — making 17x my money.

The SPY is +168% the past decade, NASDAQ +400% — spearheaded by Apple and Amazon.

What stood out aside from the household names we all know?

CELH +42,000%. I became enamored with this stock several years ago and regrettably sold it. It has achieved great success due to its energy drink. This is a very hard path to replicate.

NVDA 11,500%. We all knew NVDA and saw them struggling to make chips for decades. Then something changed in 2016. Look at the Stocklabs price to sales valuation chart for NVDA.

It leapt from a sleep 3x to 8x because they had chips for crypto mining. Now the stock is trading 40x sales, which is absurd — because of AI. I own the stock in trust accounts and have no plans to sell it.

TSLA +3500%. The innovator of our lifetime.

AMD 3,000%

ENPH 2,600%

AVGO 2,100%

SMCI 2,100%

See a common theme? All semis, a little solar — the shift in human behavior can be easily ascertained here. As an investor, ask yourself now — “how is human behavior shifting now and what areas of the economy stand to win?” After you figure that out, then you can dig into the names that best represent them.

SIRS —

At the beginning of the year I entreated you to step in and buy TSLA. I had even dedicated an account for it inside Stocklabs — whereby I intend to accumulate shares on a dollar cost basis every month for 2 years. Thus far, with half a year in, that account is +37% for the year — as Tesla is now on a frantic 14 day winning streak. I do believe, in spite of what Greg says, Musk is the innovator of our lifetime and the stock should be held.

The other long term conviction hold for me is Bitcoin. The coin proved itself to me during the little banking crisis we underwent, where BTC went up as the banks melted down. That’s all I needed to see, frankly, and I now have a 7% in BTC with an intent on building it to 10%. The melt up scenario is through gradual adoption, need to verify things on the blockchain due to AI, central bank collapses abroad, and overall western banking system collapse.

Since we are on the topic of long term holds, I have another one. I am fairly content with my thinking on this one so I will share it even though I do not own any at the moment.

UBER.

It’s likely to become a trillion dollar company, especially when they completely automate cars and no longer share revenues with drivers. In the future, we will have air taxis and self driving cars and UBER will likely get involved with insurance and nothing business lines to support their empire.

American and German armor getting shredded in the Donbas. More weapons and more death on the horizon, all the while we spend the lives of our Ukrainian brothers so eagerly. If you think about it, since Ukraine is so important, Americans should be in the Donbas, boots on ground, fighting against the Russian hordes. After all, if Ukraine can fight and defend all of the free world — shouldn’t we?

Most conservative estimates point towards 500-1,000 KIA per day on the Ukrainian side. For us to win for them, just like we helped out S. Vietnam, we’d need to send at least 500,000 men. Back in WW1, we fought for 110 days and lost 110,000 lives. I suspect, based off current events, we could expect similar deaths.

The question is: how fast can we defeat the Russian army and force them to heel? We’d have the Flinstones in the Baltics helping us and a neutered German Reich army, as well as a flabby UK gathering. On the whole, we might expect Russia to commit MAXIMUM resistance against a US entry into the war, as well as submarine warfare near Alaska and in the Pacific. Whilst a world war might seem scary to you, you should not be afraid — for we are spending lives in order to save lives — whilst at the same time breaking up the Russian empire and placing one of our own on the Russian throne — someone who could celebrate the month of June with us and regale in the glory of the rainbow standard.

As an aside, a war of this magnitude might require a military draft in the United States — which as you know is exactly the right thing to do because all should contribute in the struggle for freedom and fight back the despotism that our forefathers fought against by dropping gelatin gasoline munitions on women and children in Germany and Japan. Because of those actions, we now enjoy the subservience of those civilizations — bought and paid for with the blood of those not in a position to become exempt or commissioned as an officer behind the line of contact.

I was +212bps today, closed at record highs with a long only book — no hedges.

No one likes all of this prosperity. Man craves danger and bloodshed and death. There is nothing better than the death of stocks that imposes panic unto a deserving public. The people of America have earned a market crash and more than that — wanton unemployment.

The suffering to come will be unlimited in its scope and the individualism that has ball and chained society will swing back to the individual and take off his/her/they/thems face.

Perhaps this is wishful thinking from a man who simply grows weary of it all. I suppose this is how most men feeeeeeel as society changes around their archaic way of thinking. Nevertheless, one can always dream and perhaps dreams can come true.

I read my horoscope today and it read the following:

“If you are not yet on the move it won’t be long before you are off on your travels again and having the time of your life. You will be super popular too, so don’t turn down invitations unless you absolutely have to. Get out there and shine!”

INDEUD.

What I need to do is become “super popular” and travel more — perhaps shine a bit. I do believe, as I have said here numerous times — that I am a very good person — powerful even. I also believe, due to thoughts in my head, that I have much to offer. For example, I am very very good at trading stocks, investing for long term, intuitively feeeeeeeling market directions. I should get out there and share my ideas more often — perhaps create a chatroom where I can offer advice to people and maybe inside of that room I can have TOOLZ for the market — you know build stuff that I use to find stocks that allow me to have success. I could name it something, like Stocklabs, and invite people to join it and maybe, just maybe, they too can enjoy success and be at RECOURD HIGHS.

On the issue of market collapse, I do believe there are shoes in the balance of the dropping varietal. From what I have gathered, via my astrological reading, the droppings shall commence in about 1 week and 7 days hence, a fortnight or one half of one month — common parlance for two weeks.

Let’s talk about me. I stepped into today, an important CPI number, leveraged long at 105% equity. I chose the best stocks, drank some Burgundy, and had an overall great sushi dinner.

The CPI data was of course BETTER THAN EXPECTED and now stocks are flying. Since I do not like to be tricked, I booked all of my gains this morning and kept just the very safe BTC and IEP on the books. I’m up 160bps to new RECOURD HIGHS.

How do I keep doing this? Very easy — I use Stocklabs. Whilst that sounds like a sales pitch, it’s also true. I use nothing else to find stocks.

Since I’m mostly cash now I’ll be taking it easy for the next few hours, since I deserve a rest.

I have never been so sure of a trade, perhaps ever. Carl Icahn is old and he’s a winner and nerds are trying to storm his castle, impugning his integrity and legacy. He is going to throw hot tar onto their heads, then feathers, then he’s going to cut their dicks off.

Many people are in fact short IEP after a short seller twisted a knife into Uncle Carl, proclaiming Carl had made some rookie error and him and his fucking son Brett were morons. Traders laughed at this report and destroyed IEP. Even Bill Ackman joined the fray and took pot shots at Carl.

All this time Carl has been scheming, remaining quiet, biding his time.

I suspect Carl, perhaps even now as you read this, is filming a DEAD MAN’S SWITCH video whereby upon his death he is going to face fuck all of the shorts who bet against him while alive. In his death, he will haunt them and take their money, just like Ebeneezer Scrooge.

Because of this, and other things, I am 10% long IEP. I will trade in and out but always try to remain exposed for the big explosion, for I feeeeeeeeeel it is coming.

Everything else looks good. I closed at session highs +52bps, +122bps for the quant — firmly at RECOURD HIGHS and fully invested without hedges or fear.

Sort of a boring day. At first I wanted to show restraint and head to cash — shaming others who thought stocks were heading back up. After about 45 mins I got back in slowly and now all the way. My returns are negligible, +0.01% — but I feeeeel good buying stocks here because I have ideas and visions of the future with me winning in it. There is very rarely a vision of mine that shows me losing. I, in fact, manifest, absolutely, my success.

I usually get an idea and then think about it for a long time — figure out the future, and position myself in it. I do this all the time and I’ve never failed.

Right now I envision myself winning again — reaching RECOURD highs and having a nice summer. I might, for example, dabble in some wine and cigar tasting — perhaps another trip somewhere — and then chide my readers for not winning like me.

We have a steady crawl higher wit decent breadth. It’s a traders market and I happen to be a trader, so it’ll all work out.

I see no risk whatsoever and do not even feel like me saying such is a jinx. I could, if I wanted to, spit into the faces of the stock Gods and nothing bad would happen to me. We are now impervious to drawdowns.

I’m sitting in 93% cash, the rest safe and secure in Bitcoin. Let’s be clear, the bears have been defeated and have been refuges for the past 6 months.

But my issue with trading now is the same stocks showing up in my screens: AFRM, UPST, CVNA, IONQ, TSLA etc. I’m living in a ground hog dayesque hellscape and grow weary of repeating the same trades.

I get it, high beta means big movers. I also see various other sectors and industries plodding higher. Heck, I even sold IEP, which was hard because I really want to see Icahn skin Bill Ackman and friends alive again.

Maybe in an hour or two I’ll feeeeeeel better. For now, cash and some Bitcoin.

One of the chief criticisms of following my trades is that I do too many. This new rapid style trading is somewhat new for me and I never did it until COVID hit. In the past I was a swing trader and built positions over convictions for longer durations. But after COVID and the speed of markets coupled with the speed of the tools I created inside Stocklabs, I found I could achieve far greater returns being autistic.

Because most of you are retarded submentals and cannot figure out how to use the tools in your trading, I am doing this post to offer advice.

On the screener page, I have a series of pre set screens populated. I hand picked them myself and curate them when needed.

I will now pose to you a philosophical question.

Is it smarter to buy stocks you think will move next or stocks that are already moving? This is the essence of investing and you can have it both ways, contrary to moronic beliefs.

Introducing my Alpha Chaser screener.

This screen will populate all stocks that meet a minimum volume threshold of 500k that have moved higher by 0.3% over a 5 min time frame. When day trading, I sort by 1 min and sometimes 30 seconds. This screen will capture every single stock movement as it happens. Nothing can escape its grasp. The idea here, buy stocks moving now. You would do this because you’re not stupid and want to trend follow. But while doing this, you can spy areas of the market moving and perhaps attempt to front run a future move. For example, if you see a flurry of Chinese stocks or Alt Energy or Refiner stocks moving on a 1 min scale — you can then click into the industry and fish for stocks at session highs.

How can you do this?

Click on industry and sort for it.

Confused which one to pick? No need to look at charts. We do not have time for that shit. Apply the technical score algorithm and sort for the strongest.

In very bullish tapes, I gravitate towards short squeezes. The logic behind these ideas is natural buyers compiled on top of short covering. If short, you do not want to get caught inside a short squeeze. Look at the recent action in CVNA, UPST and AFRM.

That screen is preset to look for squeezes with stocks already up 3%. But I will adjust that when looking for a future winner. I simply remove the % change filter and sort by heaviest shorted and see what looks good.

Another must use screen deploys our volume tools. Again, this is basic sense translated into my bespoke trading tools that many of you ignore. A stock doesn’t breakout without a volume increase. We can show you which stocks are volume spiking in real time. The delta tools measures the volume pro-rated over a 1 min scale against the 30 day average. So if Apple usually trades 10,000 shares per min and is blasting off 20,000 shares per min — we will see it and report it at 100% spike.

We also do this on an intra day 1 min over 1 min or 5 min over 5 min or 15 min over 15 min etc. If XYZ releases some news and buyers come in — if this screen is up you will see the spike immediately register.

On the issue of news, as you know we have a news wire powered by Twitter. We use this news wire to build a database from which users can search from and also apply in real time screeners.

If at the pro version, you can use the “live” features — which makes everything dynamic. Under this search feature set on news, if any press release hits the SL tape using the keyword “intelligence” under an associated ticker symbol, it will register here inside 3 seconds. You can set time frame ranging from 24hrs to past 12 month. You can also use this to search company profiles and the Pelican Room, which is our chatroom.

Our industry page can do many things. The lowest hanging fruit is finding the most technically strong areas of the market.

But it can also apply our volume tools and alpha tools to see what is moving over a determined intra day time frame and what is volume spiking. It can also show backtest data using our intelligence algorithms.

Every stock, sector and industry is accompanied by multiple sets of predictive algorithms. The intelligence algos uses current technical or hybrid (fundamental and technicals combined) and crosses it against a selected time frame to show you how said security performed in the past.

Our overbought and oversold algos are merely the extreme ranges of the algorithms, which are then documented and tracked for a 10 day holding period.

This is our systemwide aggregate oversold signal the past year, flawless data under the hybrid score.

We also visualize it.

Ok, this post is already too long and I need to fuck off. What else can Stocklabs do?

Grade balance sheets and fundamentals, show valuation data going back to 1993. You can go back to 1970 to see our algorithms scores per stock. You can view seasonality data on a daily, monthly and even hourly basis. Curious to see what QQQ has done between 2-4pm the past month? We can show you that. We also take the valuation data and cross it against traditional PE and PS ratios to produce price targets. Yes, we use FPE and FPS. We also aggregate all financial data, show share buybacks, and I use fundamental data to produce a quant portfolio.

Here are the returns for this static monthly allocated model.

If that’s not good enough, you can always hang out with the degenerates in the Pelican Room and wait for my picks. Here are my returns.

There’s actually a lot more to the platform than what I mentioned. If you want a free trial, you’ll have to wait until we offer them again. But if you’re a serious trader and want to see it now, try it for a month and cancel at any time. If you’re confused due to low IQ after joining, we can help with demos and educational videos and emails.

Ciao