iBankCoin
The first hit is always on the house.
Joined Aug 2, 2009
1,847 Blog Posts

GOODBYE SHANGHAI, HELLO MACAU

Earlier in 2014, I read a data point that suggested a massive wave of retail investors that arrived on the scene in China. There was a week in which 7-8 million brokerage accounts were opened. This was in March or April if I recall…right at the point that the Shanghai made its second wave higher from its 2014 lows.

2016-01-05_8-26-09The renewed interest in stock market speculation cleared the casino floors. While the Shanghai was at lows 2 years ago, $WYNN, $MPEL and $LVS were at their highs.

2016-01-05_8-25-43

With all the talk of Chinese investors fleeing the scene, this may present an opportunity for the Casinos, providing investors are leaving the bucket shops for Macau.

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21 comments

  1. nocturne

    Been long WYNN since November and traded successfully around the position.

    My longer term thesis is MOAR water for Vegas in the short term (wait till all the Vegas is saved stories come out in the spring) & legalized gambling in Japan.

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  2. Chub

    Wynn as a long term investment at these prices is a steal

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  3. kidstockibc

    Bought SLCA & URTY

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  4. Chub

    Noc- what’s ur target on your crude short?

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    • nocturne

      I will cover some at 35, most at 32, all at 28 and load the boat long.

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  5. Thomas Jefferson
    Thomas Jefferson

    Looking at oil for the end of the day. Just a trade.
    Clearing the decks of my low conviction crap that’s been accumulating. It feels wonderful.

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  6. tradingnymph

    Ah Hello, Casinos in Macau worked because everyone was using their ATM Machines to move money out of China. Chinese Govt closed that activity down last year. With the Yuan dropping in value, the foreign investors are leaving in groves too. So no interest in Macau at all.

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  7. nocturne

    Observations:

    My KMI telling me Natgas wants to break out … still in its range. I am slightly short Natgas

    My portfolio is higher now than 10am. +.65% vs .5% primarily short oil, short long bond, long mean reversion divvy payers: WYNN,KMI,WMT,PNC,IBM,AAPL,HFC,QCOM.
    Started position in SBNY @145.10. Like northeast regional banks going into the spring

    That’s all I’ve done today in addition to fantasizing what trading nymph looks like. T.N., please take that as a non sexist compliment. I love Bjork…..

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    • Trading_Nymph

      Nocturne..When I first came here, I posted my real pic. Jake said I looked like Bjork, which I thought I looked much prettier then. I had to switch out my real photo when a troll was threatening me, I figured Bjork wearing a white swan would be perfect…cuz I have been waiting for my black swan. Someone told me I looked like Janet Leeves too..which I don’t see either.

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  8. Quality Control Inferno
    Quality Control Inferno

    I present to you the 2008 analog. Notice any similarities from last 3 or 4 trading days? (hint: the price action is the same) If we’re not down substantially tomorrow then new ATHs are on deck. That’s how important I think tomorrow is.

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    • Option Addict

      Whoa! HUGE call!

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      • Quality Control Inferno
        Quality Control Inferno

        Haha. I just think this week sets the tone for the month and the year. To bounce here does a lot of damage to the bearish thesis. It needs to play out like 2008 and continue down substantially here IMO.

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  9. Nocturne

    I could not bring myself to add any hedges, full stream ahead.

    Short oil Natgas & bonds
    Long select dividend stocks

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