iBankCoin

IF YOU THINK YOU’RE STOPPING ME — YOU BELIEVE IN FICTION

HERE HERE.

It is a Friday and I don’t need to be doing this; but I am doing it anyway. I have nothing to prove to the world at my ancient age. I’ve been around, more or less, for the past thousand years — trading to and fro — having a grand old time on these internets in recent years. Some of you are GIGANTIC faggots and some of you aren’t. But one thing you all share in common is this notion, this far-flung theory, that you can stop me. This theft of honesty is, frankly, alarming.

Into the teeth of a short weekend, I stepped in and bought YEXT. Yes, indeud. Gaze at the chart and fucking tell me it isn’t heading straight for $20 — like a cock into condom.

Also, I bought BILI back, higher from whence I sold it — because Chinese video streaming is nuts. Look at IQ. Look at HUYA.

I teach you these things, my methods, because I am a generous man. You should thank me for being very nice, and very beautiful, believe me.

Comments »

RIP Anthony Bourdain

What the fuck is going on? It seems like every day someone else is hanging themselves. Sad news with Bourdain. He’s one of those people that everyone seemed to have liked.

If you’ve never read his epic book, Kitchen Confidential, do so. Here’s a piece in the New Yorker that led to his rise to fame.

People who order their meat well-done perform a valuable service for those of us in the business who are cost-conscious: they pay for the privilege of eating our garbage. In many kitchens, there’s a time-honored practice called “save for well-done.” When one of the cooks finds a particularly unlovely piece of steak—tough, riddled with nerve and connective tissue, off the hip end of the loin, and maybe a little stinky from age—he’ll dangle it in the air and say, “Hey, Chef, whaddya want me to do with this?” Now, the chef has three options. He can tell the cook to throw the offending item into the trash, but that means a total loss, and in the restaurant business every item of cut, fabricated, or prepared food should earn at least three times the amount it originally cost if the chef is to make his correct food-cost percentage. Or he can decide to serve that steak to “the family”—that is, the floor staff—though that, economically, is the same as throwing it out. But no. What he’s going to do is repeat the mantra of cost-conscious chefs everywhere: “Save for well-done.” The way he figures it, the philistine who orders his food well-done is not likely to notice the difference between food and flotsam.

Comments »

Futures Slump on G-7-Trump Drama

Look at this shit. Trump is going in hard against Canada, France and the G-7. He’s bring the trade war from Asia all the way back home and now over the Atlantic to the faggots residing in Paris.

Markets don’t like this rhetoric, so futures are off 50, Nasdaq ~40. Truth is, this is just rhetoric. Trump is like a child who needs to be placated. All of his threats, or at least most of them, end up in nothing. I would not be surprised to see stocks dive down lower on this news, especially because it’s Friday — but I’m pretty sure it won’t last long.

Trade wars aside, we’ve got a pretty good thing going here, globally. Business is strong, spirits are high, and markets have never been better. There’s literally nothing to fear but fear itself, or Zerohedge.

This is something that might rattle markets at little, should people pay it mind.

Near-term memory softness – reducing estimates on LRCX, AMAT, ASML, etc – Cowen (188.83)

Cowen notes recent checks suggest that market concerns regarding near-term NAND and DRAM capex softness appear to be true, but is not demand related, but more focused on pricing. They believe there is potential for wafer fab equipment (WFE) spending push outs due to chip pricing (for NAND and DRAM) and to a lesser extent yield-related issues (DRAM 1Y-nm) at Samsung. They view this as a timing related issue and believe it could be reflected mostly in C2H estimates and translates into roughly $2.5B in WFE spending. They are lowering 2018 industry WFE forecast from +12% Y/Y to +6% Y/Y and raise CY19 to +13% Y/Y from +4% Y/Y. Clearly LRCX (Outperform) and AMAT (Market Perform) might see the most impact due to their memory exposure, and KLAC (Outperform) appears the most defensive. They view this as near-term weakness and resulting in a resetting of expectations and forecasts. The more important takeaway, in their view, is that both CY18 and CY19 would still be growth years for WFE and speaks to their thesis of improved durability and lowered variability (less cyclicality) for the sector. Also reducing forecasts for KLAC, AEIS, and MKSI but maintain positive LT outlooks.

Comments »

Here’s Your Shopping List — You Ungrateful Malcontents

We’re only buy tech stocks — because those are the nerds who make us the most money. OilFAGS get beat down 8 months out of 12. Anyone who’d like to argue against that fact can go fuck themselves.

I don’t give a shit about futures or the fact that XYZ is already up 5,000% over the past 3 years — it’s going higher.

Here’s a simple enough screen for you Simons that displays the best tech stocks over the past month and the one’s that suffered the largest drawdowns today. What we want to do is watch them for upside reversals — get in — and then get the fuck out.

SAAS stocks are preferred, because it’s the Bernie Madoff of business — literally bullet proof. These companies didn’t slow down during the financial crisis; why would they slow down now? They’re using big data to drive sales inside high tech boiler rooms. Companies like HUBS, CRM, NEWR, and ZEN are making it easier to analyze and parse data for businesses to A/B test their ways into predictive and repeating streams of revenues that cannot be stopped — just like me.

Comments »

I DID IT AGAIN: THE BLACK IS RISING

Bet against me, fuck around, end up losing your house, wife, and kids.

Carbon Black beats by $0.29, reports revs in-line with preannouncement; guides Q2 above consensus; guides FY18 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus  (26.31 -0.69)
  • Reports Q1 (Mar) loss of $0.98 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.29 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($1.27); revenues rose 34.8% year/year to $48.4 mln vs the $47.99 mln Capital IQ Consensus. Co preannounced rev of $47.5-48.0 mln in the IPO prospectus.
  • Ended the quarter with 4,006 total customers, up from 2,648 in the year-ago period and from 3,739 at the end of the previous quarter. Growth was driven by strong demand across the entire product portfolio and customer acquisition across a broad range of industries. Growth of customers who licensed at least one cloud product increased to 1,870 at the end of the first quarter, compared to 552 in the year-ago period and 1,605 at the end of the previous quarter.
  • Co issues upside guidance for Q2, sees EPS of ($0.41-0.42) vs. ($0.43) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees Q2 revs of $48.5-49.0 mln vs. $48.21 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
  • Co issues upside guidance for FY18, sees EPS of ($1.32-1.35) vs. ($1.38) Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees FY18 revs of $203.0-204.5 mln vs. $202.01 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

Go ahead and tell me how I’m getting lucky.

Comments »

Momentum Stocks Take the Day Off — But I’m Still Winning

It would be nice to take the day off from winning. The saltiness of loss and is a flavor worth tasting, in order to truly enjoy the sweet taste of success. But I sacrifice for you, the unwashed reader pleb, winning — day in and day out — because I am selfless in that regard.

Case in point, early this morning I stepped in and bought some Shitspotter (SSTI) in the $33s and now it’s in the $36s and heading higher. Most of the high beta stocks are diving lower today. My Bubble Basket is off by 2% and many a high beta name is off by 4%, including my ZEN.

But I also have a position in PS and it’s bucking today’s trend and pressing higher. All in all, my losses are minimal — thanks to my smart positions.

The only sectors working today are in oil. If you’re trading high beta stocks — you’re not enjoying life right now. But have faith in knowing that losses in high growth areas of the market are temporary phenomenons, likely to dissipate within a day or two.

Find your favorite stocks. Put them on a watchlist. Buy them.

Comments »

BALLS OUT AND RUNNING HARD — NEW PICK ALERT

I bought SSTI here because of the MUH chart. Open air running here, nothing but net.

Gonna slide for a few. Top picks into another rally infused mood: CBLK, PS, PVTL and MDB for a late day upside reversal.

Comments »

I WILL NOT SELL ANYTHING AT A LOSS

Good morning lads,

It looks like my MDB earnings play is down a little in the pre-market, but up from my basis. I shall not be selling it today, unless it reverses and goes MONGO to the upside. The way I see it, I have so many irons in the fire that are stoking hot, I can afford a little set back in one name.

Early this morning, news hit the tape that the US came to terms with China over ZTE. This is good for semis and China stocks. Also, Jamie Dimon and Warren Buffett want to put an end to earnings estimates. These fuckers are hogging out.

Futures are up, Europe is up, Oil is up, the dollar is down. Welcome to the new normal where no one loses, unless they had it coming to them.

Here are this morning’s movers.

 

Gapping up/down: CONN +21%, ZS +13%, COST +0.5% after earnings/comps, AVHI +26% after M&A news; SJM -8.5%, CLDR -7%, and THO -6.5% after earnings

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • CONN +20.9%, FIVE +16%, ZS +13.4%, OKTA +5.3%, CMTL +4.4%, GEF +3.5%, ABM +3.5%, MTN +1.9%, CATO +1.5%, (May comps), SONC +1.5%, COST +0.5%, (May comps)

M&A news:

  • AVHI +25.8% (to be acquired by Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) for $21.50/share in cash & stock)
  • BR +4.2% (acquires MackayWilliams)
  • AFSI +3% (agrees to amended merger agreement with Evergreen Parent, consideration increased from $13.50/share in cash to $14.75/share in cash — Icahn Group agrees to support amended merger agreement)
  • TEUM +1.7% (to acquire Artilium plc for approximately $104.7 mln)
  • ENTG +1.5% (to acquire SAES Pure Gas Business for $355 mln)

Other news:

  • AXON +31.6% (continued momentum after yesterday’s 160% move higher)
  • ATHX +20.1% (to expand collaboration with HEALIOS K.K. into additional therapeutic areas)
  • OPHT +15.4% (enters into an exclusive global license agreement with the University of Florida Research Foundation and the University of Pennsylvania)
  • BHLB +6.6% (will replace Ollie’s in the S&P SmallCap 600)
  • FTV +4.1% (Fortive announces binding offer to acquire the Advanced Sterilization Products business from Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) for approximately $2.7 bln in cash
  • CMRX +3.3% (received Orphan Drug Designation from the FDA forbrincidofovir as a treatment of smallpox)
  • HEAR +2.8% (announced new partnership with esports franchise Team Allegiance)
  • AGN +2.7% (on reports that Icahn is building stake)
  • REDU +2.5% (priced follow-on public offering of 7 mln American depositary shares by the selling shareholders at $14.75/ADS)
  • AABA +1.5% (commences tender offer to purchase up to 195 mln issued and outstanding shares of its common stock)
  • VKTX +1.2% (proposed public offering of common stock)
  • TRI +1.1% (to buy back up to an additional $1 bln of its shares under a new repurchase program)
  • VSH +0.9% (proposed offering of $525 mln convertible senior notes due 2025)
  • MRTX +0.9% (proposed public offering of common stock)

Analyst comments:

  • IMMU +1.9% (initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR)
  • SPOT +1.9% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Buckingham Research)
  • CSIQ +1.7% (upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan)
  • CMCSA +1.3% (resumed with a Buy at Jefferies)
  • DRI +0.9% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at SunTrust)

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • REVG -18.7%, AMSC -12.9%, SJM -8.5%, CLDR -6.9%, THO -6.5%, MDB -3.4%, UNFI -3.3%, FGP -1.9%

Other news:

  • PTI -28.6% (reports data from ongoing Phase 1 Study of PTI-801 in Cystic Fibrosis patients on background Orkambi therapy)
  • MDXG -24.5% (to restate series of historical financial statements, appoints interim CFO)
  • ESND -10.6% (following Genuine Parts’ S.P. Richards business merger update; notes Staples has not otherwise engaged in discussions with Essendant)
  • WGO -6.7% (following THO and REVG earnings/guidance)
  • ZYME -5.1% (prices underwritten public offering of 5.4 mln common shares at a price to the public of $15.75 per common share)
  • LCII -4.1% (following THO and REVG earnings/guidance)
  • DCPH -4.1% (prices underwritten public offering of 4.3 mln shares of its common stock at a public offering price of $40.00 per share)
  • CARO -2.9% (agreed to sell 1,500,000 shares of its common stock, and that certain of its executive officers and directors have agreed to sell 96,350 of their shares of the Company’s common stock, in an underwritten public offering)
  • OPTN -1.4% (prices offering of 5 mln shares of common stock by co and selling share holders at $22.25 per share)
  • JCP -1.1% (Moody’s downgrades J.C. Penney CFR to B2 from B1 reflecting continued weakness in op performance coupled with uncertainty in its strategic plan given the recent departure of its CEO)
  • CWH -1.1% (following THO and REVG earnings/guidance)
  • MB -1.1% (proposed private offering of $200 million of convertible senior notes due 2023)
  • FNHC -0.9% (files for $150,000,000 mixed securities shelf offering)
  • ETR -0.8% (registered underwritten offering of 13,289,037 shares of its common stock at a price to the public of $75.25 per share), .

Analyst comments:

  • TRUE -3.7% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
  • MT -3.1% (downgraded to Sell from Buy at UBS)
  • AAXN -2.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • FSLR -2.5% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman )
  • GHL -2.4% (downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette)

Comments »

GOING FULL RETARD INTO THE CLOSE — MONGO IN A CAGE STYLE

I’m long MDB and they’re reporting earning after the bell. If you followed me into this, then you’re long from $49. This is where you get off and enjoy the gains and celebrate the virility of Commodore Fly.

All those riding with me into this dangerous and potentially ruinous report should know the risks. Mongo is a caged animal and wants to bust loose. Will it happen or will the stock Gods deny me?

Tune in after the bell for the exciting conclusion.

Comments »