What the fuck did I just read? Did our Federal Reserve chair just suggest that NOT tightening into a weakening economy WILL cause a recession? The truth is, these bastard recessions are almost always brought on by Fed rate hikes.
Yellen posited that if we don’t hike now, and all of that looming inflation that doesn’t exist takes hold, we’ll be forced to hike like mad later on.
Fucking delusional.
“On balance, economic and financial information received since our October meeting has been consistent with our expectations of continued improvement in the labor market,” Yellen told the Economic Club of Washington on Wednesday, according to a text of her prepared remarks. “And, as I have noted, continuing improvement in the labor market helps strengthen confidence that inflation will move back to our 2 percent objective over the medium term.”
“We have seen a welcome pickup in the growth rate of average hourly earnings for all employees and of compensation per hour in the business sector,” she said. “While it is too soon to conclude whether these more rapid rates of increase will continue, a sustained pickup would likely signal a diminution of labor market slack.”
“It appears that the underlying rate of inflation in the United States has been running in the vicinity of 1-1/2 to 1-3/4 percent,” Yellen said, once the core data are adjusted for downward pressure from low oil prices and a stronger dollar. She noted that policy makers are paying close attention to indicators of inflation expectations, some of which have shown deterioration recently.
“The Committee anticipates that even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run,” Yellen said Wednesday.
Were the FOMC to delay the start of policy normalization for too long, we would likely end up having to tighten policy relatively abruptly to keep the economy from significantly overshooting both of our goals,” and that pace would risk disrupting financial markets and pushing the economy into a recession, Yellen said. “Holding the federal funds rate at its current level for too long could also encourage excessive risk-taking and thus undermine financial stability.”
What are we moronic children? So, if we don’t hike now, when things are tenuous and getting worse, we’ll be forced to really really raise rates later, when a hypothetically strong economy takes hold? This strikes me as juvenile and pollyanna type thinking. Instead of dealing with certain realities, the Fed appears to, once again, be in an academic bubble of their own making, thrusting their opinions upon us as if they were fact.
Yellen makes a strong case for abolishing the Fed altogether and forgoing this nonsensical rabble once and for all.
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