iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,441 Blog Posts

FORTUNES FOR ALL: Exodus Free Trials Descend Upon You

Our profits will blot out the sun.

A little addendum to my recent bearish leanings: I bought SPY today, a 25% position, based on the Exodus oversold readings flagged yesterday. My current portfolio consists of 50% short XLE, 25% long TLT, 25% long SPY.

Normally I would not share this invaluable information with the Third Estate. However, in the spirit of Good Friday and Easter, Le Fly is bestowing great gifts upon you, in a very inverse Judas sort of way. With these indelible treasures, you might take the family over to the local watering hole, or maybe a movie showing or two. More fortunate persons investing 2,3 even four figure accounts, might be able to afford a trip to Disney World, where you might endeavor to ride on roller’d coasters and decapitate yourself by standing up in a low clearing overpass.

(NOTE: I am not to be held responsible for your decapitation, if in fact I funded your family trip to Disney World)

COME ONE, COME ALL. Get your free trials and immerse yourselves in the grandeur of Exodus.

 

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Fed’s Bullard Menaces Markets With Interest Rate Hike Jargon

The psychotics at the Fed are at it again. I want you to forget all of the horseshit you’ve read regarding why the Fed is going to hike and remember the real reason why they’re desperately making the case to raise them.

The very first argument was they wanted to raise now so they could lower them later. Using that logic, the Fed must fear we’re nearing the top of the economic cycle and want to raise rates as fast as they can, in order to lower them later and save the world from insurmountable devastation.

This argument is complete horseshit. Nevertheless, this is their plan.

Bullard is out this morning, menacing markets in incorrigible tones, pressing and clamoring and pressing again for higher rates.

“The relatively minor downgrades contained in the March SEP suggest that the next rate increase may not be far off provided that the economy evolves as expected,” Bullard said in a speech in New York on Thursday, referring to Fed officials’ quarterly forecasts, known as the Summary of Economic Projections.

Bullard in his speech said the outlook for U.S. and global growth was “downgraded somewhat” from December, while “the outlook for the U.S. labor market was upgraded somewhat” in the forecasts. Other variables were left about the same, he said. Bullard is a Fed policy voter this year.

“Not following through on a proposed action can damage a policy maker’s credibility,” in the absence of a change in data or the outlook, Bullard said.

Fucked.

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$PTLA Plunges on News Their Drug is a Farce

It’s amazing to me that so many biotech companies are, essentially, VC styled Ponzi schemes, designed to ingratiate nerd scientists with budgets to pretend to be mad scientists.

This piece of shit company has failed to do anything meaningful. Ergo, the stock is cascading lower.
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Portola Pharmaceuticals Inc said late-stage data showed its oral anticoagulant was not superior to an injectable standard therapy in preventing blood clots in acutely ill patients.

There was no statistical difference in major bleeding between the patients who were treated with Portola’s drug, betrixaban, and those given the injectable, enoxaparin, in the study, the company said.

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America Looks On, As Europe Gets Jackhammered into Oblivion

Okay, so I’m exaggerating a little. One could be cautiously pessimistic, no?

European markets are swimming lower. The blood is flowing and Count Dracula has transformed into a bat, en route for Paris.

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Crude oil isn’t so cool anymore.

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Lastly, America is Marco Rubioing lower, denigrating itself for all the world to see.

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Note: there are a few seats left on the ark, next to this wonderful family of mongoose and herd of llama.

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Starboard Moves to Remove the Whole God Damned $YHOO Board

Oust its CEO first. In spite of the non-negotiable facts that Starboard is making demands of a King while owning a peasants 0.75% position in YHOO, their plan has extreme merits.

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Marissa Mayer is the worst CEO since Jack Dorsey. She basically reduced Yahoo to the fucking ashtray of the internet, buying up web-popsicle refugee companies and driving them further into the ground until all value had been lost. Hell, the entire worth of Yahoo is NEGATIVE after taking into account their gigantic step in shit that is the BABA stake. What is that thing worth now, 30,40, 60 billion dollars?

If we asked D. Trump to assess the situation at Yahoo, he’d say ‘they’re all losers who don’t know how to win. They don’t know how to win and it’s really a sad, sad thing. Someone should make Yahoo great again. Anyone could do a better job than Marissa Mayer. Even my son Barron, whose still a baby, could do better for the Yahoo shareholders.”

Yahoo could be a great company. They have fantastic assets that are being squandered. Needless to say, Starboard agrees and one day before good Friday, they’re taking the fucking knives out and firing catapult missiles into Mayer’s pretty little castle.

Activist hedge fund Starboard Value LP, which is leading an investor revolt against Yahoo Inc’s management team, is seeking to remove the entire board of the struggling Internet company, the Wall Street Journal reported.
The activist investor, which owns about 0.75 percent of Yahoo, plans to announce Thursday morning that it will nominate nine directors to Yahoo’s board, the Journal said, citing a Starboard letter.
“The board and management have continually failed to live up to their own promises and shouldn’t be trusted with the decision on whether Yahoo should remain an independent company,” the paper reported, citing the letter.

Carl Icahn usually asks for 3 board seats. These fuckers want 9, the entire company. I am certain Mayer will accept this letter, urinate on it, then go try on a new dress or something.

This press release by Starboard is designed to make inroads into ousting Marissa. Let’s see where the wind is blowing for her, east or west?

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JP Morgan Gives Recession a 50% Chance Inside of Two Years

Give recession a chance. That’s all I’m asking from you.

Earnings are in freefall, fucked faces. BEHOLD.

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Pre-tax earnings probably fell 9.5 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, after dropping 5.1 percent in the third, according to economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York. That would be the biggest decline since the 31 percent free fall in the closing months of 2008 during the height of the financial crisis.

Profits last quarter probably were unusually depressed by a $20.8 billion penalty payment by BP Plc to settle claims over the 2010 oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But even after stripping out that one-time charge, earnings likely still fell about 5 percent, by JPMorgan’s reckoning.

According to the eggheads at JP Morgan, an earnings downturn of this magnitude has led to a recession in 90% of the times, inside of 3 years. Moreover, the problems are more systemic than the media would lead you to believe. The weakness isn’t just isolated to the bedraggled energy sectors. As a point in fact, wages have been increasing at the same time productivity has decreasing–compressing margins like batter in a waffle press.

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“With wages picking up but productivity growing in slow motion, margins are likely to continue their declines, which have historically signaled an expansion near its end,” JPMorgan economist Jesse Edgerton wrote in a March 21 research note.

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Turkey Arrested and Deported Brussels Terrorist in 2015; Belgium Ignored Warning

Western nations are on a suicidal path towards oblivion. The liberal policies that afford the benefit of the doubt to people who want to behead their men and enslave their women will lead to more deaths, destruction, and denigrate an otherwise enlightened peaceful way of life.

Turkey arrested one of the ‘attackers’ in 2015, on the border of Syria. They knew he was a fuckhead. They warned the Belgian government of this fact and they, in turn, did nothing. The pole smokers in Brussels said they couldn’t tie him to a terrorist organization, so they let him go.

Really?

Erdogan told a news conference that Bakraoui was detained in the southern Turkish province of Gaziantep near the Syrian border and was later deported to the Netherlands. Turkey also notified Dutch authorities, Erdogan said.

A Dutch government official said Erdogan’s comments were “being carefully looked into,” but that they could not yet say if El Bakraoui had been in the Netherlands.

“One of the attackers in Brussels is an individual we detained in Gaziantep in June 2015 and deported. We reported the deportation to the Belgian Embassy in Ankara on July 14, 2015, but he was later set free,” Erdogan said.

“Belgium ignored our warning that this person is a foreign fighter.”

Turkey insists that they provided the carpet eaters in Brussels with ample evidence to detain Ibrahim El Bakraoui; but they opted to for the multiculturally correct path–which in turn led to 34 dead and 250 injured.

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DON’T FRET THE WEATHERMAN; FEAR THE STORM

RIP Phife Dawg from a Tribe Called Quest. Growing up in the sewers of Brooklyn, this was one of my favorite groups in the late 80s to early 90s. A little later on I got into the gangster rap varietal and was entreated to the melodies of Onyx, DMX, Wu-Tang clan and many others. Phife died today and had been dealing with a variety of health concerns, diabetes being one of them, for over a decade. I believe he received a kidney transplant in 2008 and was on record saying he was addicted to sugar.

It might taste sweet, but sugar is an insidious poison that should be avoided, whenever necessary.

Today’s big story was the breakdown in commodity related stocks, like VALE and FCX. They represent the pseudo reflation trade that was promoted by all of Wall Street’s finest sophists. Just yesterday, James Cramer went onto the teevee to declare a bottom in the commodity trade and even suggested significant upside lied ahead, in spite of the indelible facts on the ground stating otherwise. A reasonable sequitur to all of this outward promotion is the presence of invective money changers wholly interested in getting liquid on you.

I really do believe there is a media conspiracy designed to take advantage of the layman, which is why iBankCoin enjoys its unbridled popularity amongst the unwashed masses.

My char-wallah greatly appreciates my candor and I am sure you do as well.

In closing, I remain long TLT with 25% of my assets and short XLE with another 50%. For the time being, the rest is idled in cash. I am as bearish as a bear can be and pine for the days of ominous clouds shrouding the horizon.

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This is Your Grandfather’s Market

Spiraling bond yields and the toxic status of high yield has Grandpa pissed off, in search for yield. The traditional destination for old men looking for a little yield action, worldwide, are the utilities.
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Its been like this since the beginning time, old cavemen crushing in the skulls of their neighbors for their utility common stock certificates.

Year to date, diversified utilities are up 14%, by far the best performing sector in the market.

Con Edison is in style, for christ’s sake.

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