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Yearly Archives: 2017

U.S. Yield Curve Tightens Some More; Futures Plunge

Before I head off for a 2 hour slumber, I’d like to inform you that the US yield curve is now 66.9bps and getting tighter by the second. This is extremely onerous for the banks. Short them at will.

Also, Nasdaq futures are -14, Dow -60. Feel free to buy protective puts and also volatility. There is a king’s ransom to be made on volatility, at the right time, during the right circumstances.

When I accurately called the market crash in 2008, it wasn’t a sure thing. You can check my archives and see how I did it. I undertook probing exercises and always flipped back to long. I stayed nimble and when things started to go south, I bet big on the downside. When people covered, hoping for the BTFD scenario, I leveraged into my short positions and faded them. I made so much money in 2008-2009, my fucking arms were involuntarily punching people in the face when I walked by them. I swear to God. Ask anyone who knew me back then.

I don’t know when this market will collapse — but it will eventually. We have to watch for the little things, like yield curves, FX markets, and junk bonds. If I see anything that looks suspect, I’m in on the fucking short side within seconds — not because I’m a bearshitter who hates stocks and prosperity, but because I’m the greediest motherfucker you’ll ever meet and I wake up everyday with the goal to win.

Talk shit all you want, but when things get bad, and trust me they will, I’m gonna be your best friend and you’re gonna be trying to suck my cock for ideas (no homo).

Sleep tight.

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S&P and Junk Bond Correlation Diverge: Cause for Panic?

What do you think?

Lower prices on junk bonds means yields are rising along with perception of risk. This is interesting, especially since the US yield curve is now flattest since 2007. Although the data isn’t suggesting cause for concern, the bond market and pin action in the banks are, which should garner your mosquito brain tier attention spans when trying to analyze your next moves in this market.

Meanwhile, markets closed at record highs.

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Reminder: The Banks Have Rolled Over

The US yield curve is getting flatter by the day. Very soon, it will be discussed on all of your lovely financial news channels and you’ll be panicked into selling your bank stocks because of MUH recession. I know, the economy is chugging along at a brisk 3% pace; but all of this enthusiasm can quickly grind to a halt once Trump’s tax plans are tossed into the ocean.

Bank stocks have rolled over.

The yield curve is 68bps and heading lower.

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Former Clinton Advisor Scorned By Fox New Host Melissa Francis

Why are women so damned mean? Was that a sexist remark? I don’t think so. Here’s a nice middle aged man trying to explain to Francis why the tax cut wasn’t for him. Whether you agree with him or not is immaterial. Look at the scorn she directed towards him, bitter and angry because his position on taxes didn’t jibe with hers.

Even if the tax cuts made perfect sense, it is literally the job of democratic advisors to defecate on republicans all day long. They’re mainly a-political hacks who want to win.

Shame on Melissa Francis for behaving like an uncaged animal.

BONUS!

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DOING SOMETHING ABOUT OIL

From what I could gather, poor Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, a man of supreme style and distinction, has been detained at the Ritz Carlton conference room and is either sleeping on a plebeian cot or the floor, under armed guard.

Dare I say we need to free his majesty immediately?

In other news, I’ve decided that I truly hate oil. I do not hate it as much as I hate bitcoins — but unlike with bitcoins, I am able to do something about my hatred with oil. I purchased the ticking time bomb known as DRIP — 3x inverse oil and gas.

Also, I took profits on BITA. I bought it the other day and booked a 5% gain. Not bad for a few days of lying around and looking at the screen.

My bearish positions are long UVXY, short NVDA, short BAC and now long DRIP. What a lovely portfolio.

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Bitcoin Rockets to New Highs After ‘Hard Fork’ Suspended

Let’s see if you can get your head around this one.

Bitcoin surged last week in anticipation of the ‘hard fork.’ Everyone scrambled to get a piece of the finite action. Now today, it skyrocketed again on news that this so called ‘hard fork’ was being suspended.

“Our goal has always been a smooth upgrade for Bitcoin,” a group of leaders in bitcoin development told members of the SegWit2x mailing list Wednesday. “Unfortunately, it is clear that we have not built sufficient consensus for a clean blocksize upgrade at this time. Continuing on the current path could divide the community and be a setback to Bitcoin’s growth. This was never the goal of Segwit2x.”

As fees rise for bitcoin transactions, the developers said they hoped the digital currency community could find agreement on how to solve the problem. “Until then, we are suspending our plans for the upcoming 2MB upgrade.”

You keeping up? Bitcoiners should fuck themselves.

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Morning Poppers (Stephen Hawking Should Fuck Himself Edition)

Bitcoins are higher by 4.5% to nearly $7,500 and Ethereum is up almost 3% to $298 — a level in which blockchainfags have been dying to break. Due to the Bitcoin Fork, something both rueful and annoying, BTC has been given free license to trade up on the hype. Meanwhile, ETH has taken a back seat and all of the other little currencies have been sitting there, watching this shit happen like little bitches — all the while BTC enjoyed a movie star lifestyle. While all of this happened, that ABSOLUTE FAGGOT in the wheeled chair, Stephen Hawking, said earth would be a ‘giant fireball’ by 2,600 — thanks to fossil fuels. Clearly, his brain is in the wheeled chair too, and now he’s just talking out of his asshole — pretending to know what life would be like on earth — 600 years from now.

I mean, seriously, there’s no fucking way we’d be using oil at that point. You know it. I know it. Stephen Hawking can go fuck himself — wheeled chair and all.

Meanwhile, China’s Tencent acquired 146 million shares of SNAP — and that, my friends, is how you negate a terrible quarterly loss and get momentum into your shares. Well played, Snapfags.

In other news, Democrats won big in the Virginia elections last night and now people believe they are poised to win back the house in 2018. God I hope this happens, as it will likely trigger and immediate impeachment of Trump. Clearly, we cannot let a white nationalist, especially the latter, in the White House. It will be fun times.

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Snapchat Plunges After Posting Miserable Earnings

Shares of tech darling Snapchat are plunging in the after-hours, barreling towards fresh lows. After the VCs brought this company of ill repute public at criminal 50x sales, you knew this was going to happen. Seriously, who didn’t know?

Reports Q3 (Sep) loss of $0.14 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.01 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.15); revenues rose 62.2% year/year to $207.9 mln vs the $236.71 mln Capital IQ Consensus.

Daily active users (DAU) — DAUs grew 4.5 mln (3%) Q/Q to 178 million vs. 183 mln estimates.

Average revenue per user (ARPU) — ARPU was $1.17 in Q3 2017, an increase of 39% over Q3 2016 when ARPU was $0.84. ARPU increased 12% over Q2 2017 when ARPU was $1.05. Hosting costs per DAU — Hosting costs per DAU were $0.68 in Q3 2017, as compared to $0.64 in Q3 2016 and $0.61 in Q2 2017.

“In Q3 2017, we recorded $39.9 million of charges related to Spectacles inventory, primarily related to excess inventory reserves and inventory purchase commitment cancellation charges.”

It’s over Snapfags. The rally that was supposed to be has failed. Now prepare for horrible horribles.

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[TIME TO SHORT STOCKS BUCKO]

The Brazilian BOVESPA shed 1,900+ points today, in a broad daylight clown raping. I know that isn’t a necessarily politically correct statement, discussing clowns and rape in the same sentence; but it’s important that you get your affairs in order. If you’re not careful, you’ll be [harangued] by this market, totally uprooted, and cast onto the pavement floor and then kicked in the face.

Copper shed 2% and the US yield curve tightened to just 68 basis points. I hate to be the bearer of bad news (actually I like it quite much) but we’re barreling towards an orange catastrophe, replete with hemmed up traders trapped in their asshole positions — completely and totally ruined.

Protect your necks

I am short BAC and NVDA and I am also long UVXY. I’ve done these things, not because I want to see an end to prosperity (more lies), but because I am scared of what is hiding under the market’s bed. If you’re long Bitcoins and hoping it will escape the pangs of perdition, think again. Only retards will be left holding the BTC above 7k bag. This is an important distinction and narrative on the current timeline.

In short, it’s over bank and tech fags. You’ve had a nice run, now watch as the madmen run around in ski masks taking everything from you.

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