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Yearly Archives: 2017

Sweden Drops Rape Charges Against Assange, Wikileaks Founder Formally Requests Asylum in France

Now that rape is legal in Sweden, they’ve decided it’d be hypocritical of them to charge Assange with such a low level crime. As such, they’ve dropped charges today — after 7 years of abject fuckery.

“According to Swedish legislation, a criminal investigation is to be conducted as quickly as possible. In order to proceed with the case, Julian Assange would have to be formally notified of the criminal suspicions against him.

“We cannot expect to receive assistance from Ecuador regarding this. Therefore the investigation is discontinued.”

British authorities said they’d still arrest him, should he be so bold as to step outside the embassy, for a failing to surrender to a court offense — which is punishable up to 1 year in prison.

“Now that the situation has changed and the Swedish authorities have discontinued their investigation into that matter, Mr Assange remains wanted for a much less serious offence. The MPS will provide a level of resourcing which is proportionate to that offence.”

“Ecuador will now be intensifying its diplomatic efforts with the UK so that Julian Assange can gain safe passage in order to enjoy his asylum in Ecuador.”

If I was Assange, I’d be suspect as fuck to step out of that embassy — following 5 grueling years of self imposed captivity. With Assange out of the embassy, he’s a much easier target for anyone who’d like to kill him.

Assange’s attorney, Juan Branco, said the Wikileaks founder would be formally requesting asylum in France today.

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Barring a Huge Melt Up Today, I’ll Be Adding to $TLT, $GLD and Staying Out of Stocks

Gross underperformance, lads. I’m not trying to stock pick here. My new systematic approach, using a quantitative model that I’ve created inside Exodus, will most likely keep me out of stocks — once again this week — and into more TLT and GLD. The outperformance is staggering, with both risk off assets crushing stocks by at least 200bps over the past week. Couple that with the fact that we’re not at a significant mean reversion fork in the road, and I am sold on staying out of equities for another week.

The one silver lining is the dollar getting pounded again. This is a net positive for exporters.


Head and Shoulders lads; get the fuck out of dodge

Next week is the Comey testimony. I’m thinking, it might make sense to take a trade ahead of that news — since it’s highly unlikely he will corroborate the media’s version of his memos. After all, by failing to report Trump to the AG, he’d be placing himself in the ‘fag box‘ and I don’t think he wants to do that, especially now that he’s retired.

If I’m correct, next week might represent a sharp upside reversal in stocks. However, I need to see confirmation first, more than just intuitive perception.

For now, gold and bonds are my only investments and I’ll likely be adding to them today.

NOTE: Exodus has flashed oversold on its 3,6 and 12 mo algorithms earlier this week, along with some important ETFs like TNA and FAS. The reason why I didn’t take the trade is because the principle algorithm, the 36 mo, did not register oversold.

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Close Friend of Comey, Ben Wittes, Makes Up Absurd Story About Comey Being ‘Disgusted’ by Trump Hug

If Comey admits to being ‘disgusted’ by ‘hugging’ Trump, I fucking promise to eat a shoe on my inactive periscope account. When I clicked on this stupid story from The Shill, I figured I’d just watch it and move on. So I got to watching it and as it went on, it became more absurd, almost perverse, in the blatancy of the lies being purported by this former Washpo editor and Brookings Institue faggot.

If you’re a democrat and believe this is a person of repute, feel free to fuck yourself. Look at this submental, literally making the story up as he went along the faggot rode paved for him by the PBS eunuch.

‘He really wanted to blend in and not be singled out. He’s wearing, if you watch the video, he’s wearing a blue blazer. And he stands in the room that is as far from Trump that is physically possible to be and also against blue drapes that are the same color as his –‘

‘He chose that spot?’

‘He chose that spot because it was almost like a chameleon or camouflaged against the wall.’

Fuck yourself Ben Wittes.

It’s worth noting, Wittes has a black belt in Taekwondo. I still like my chances in beating him senseless, if afforded the chance, however.

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McCain Says Turkish Ambassador Should Leave Country, After Erdogan Thugs Beat Protesters on American Soil

Following the unbelievable incident where bodyguards for the Turk-roach leader, Erdogan, rushed through a cadre of out of shape DC police officers to beat the shit out of anti-Erdogan protesters, crazy as fuck Senator John McCain called for the Turkish Ambassador to leave the country — saying ‘it’s disgraceful and shouldn’t be happening in the United States. If they want to behave that way in Turkey, that’s too bad and I regret it. Under no circumstances should they behave like that on American soil.’

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Daily Reminder: Maxine Waters is a Fucking Moron

If you’ve ever wondered why I voted for Trump or was unable to support the psychopathic beta male democratic party, it is Maxine Waters. She represents everything what’s wrong with society. She lives in a $4 million mansion, leading a legacy of unbelievable unchecked scandal — typical of Californian politics, beset with an IQ of a primate.

Here she is, in all of her stupendous grandeur, telling a Morning Joe shill that Putin, in fact, invented the term ‘lock her up’ for Trump — because the english language is, obviously, is a communicative field of expertise for the NON-ENGLISH speaking Russian President.

In a perfect world, people like this would be wiped clean from the earth, protecting future generations from her stupidity and abject malfeasance. But in the latter stages of Empire America, this fucking moron, Ms. Waters, reigns supreme.

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Here’s Trump’s First Tremendous Press Conference Since Memogate Scandal, Believe Me

When asked about the appointment of a special counsel to investigate Trump’s ‘Russian ties’, he said “I respect the move, but the entire thing has been a witch hunt and there was no collusion between myself and my campaign.’

When asked if he suggested to Comey to back down from the investigated Flynn, Trump answered definitively ‘no, no, next question.’

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Market Bounces, Gains Concentrated in ‘Hedge Fund Hotels’

Fifty five percent of stocks were higher on the day, mostly found in banks. Gains were nearly cut by 2/3rds from session highs. Several chinese internet stocks, like WB and SOHU, were sharply higher too. REITs were, once again, marginally higher for the day, which is odd, since it’s a defensive sector. Retail was sharply lower, as the dead mall thesis permeates the minds of traders. The sector won’t die until the last bull (Jeff Macke) cedes it’s over.

Apple’s 1.55% gain, single handedly, rocked both the Nasdaq and Dow higher.

Hey, 3D printing stocks were up again, led by XONE and DDD. That counts for something, no?

Putting cynicism aside, the trannies were higher today too and it’s always a good thing to see the losses stop. So, in that light, today was a great day. I just wished there were better breadth and overall participation in the gains.

Here were today’s median returns, broken down by market cap.

Over $50b +0.35%
$10-50b +0.33%
$5-10b +0.22%
$1-5b +0.21%
$500m-$1b +0.10%
Under $500m 0.00%

As you can see, the gains dissipated as market caps went lower — indicative of risk aversion. Naturally, the 3D printing stocks were the anomaly today. There is a neatly set convoy of stocks, aka ‘hedge fund hotels’, which is leading the market higher.

Here they are, with YTD gains.

AAPL +32%
GOOGL +20%
MSFT +10%
AMZN +28%
FB +28%
BABA +36%

How about this for proof?

Market caps over $50b are higher, on a median basis, by 8% for the year. Everything below $50b is up less than 1%.

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We Interrupt this Market Rally for WW3 Happenings: U.S. Aircraft Bomb Assad Convoy

All of this political upheaval has resulted in Trump’s base rushing to his aid, not because they like him again, but because they’re playing team politics and hate the other side. I know many of you, even on the left, know exactly what I’m talking about. But let’s not forget, it was Trump who abandoned his base with the bombing of a Syrian airport, proposed surge in Afghanistan, and saber rattling against N. Korea. Voters requested, or demanded, ‘America first.’ The definition of that policy has become a blur since the election — as the American military-industrial complex pursues peace through offensive measures. If space aliens just visited this planet for the first time, why, they might conclude we were, in fact, the villains.

According to reports, Syrian government forces violated the ‘deconfliction zone’ in al-Tanf — a place where American forces have taken up clay inside Syria to train terrorists, err rebels, in order to overthrow the Assad regime. They violated this zone inside their own country twice over the past few days. In one menacing incident, ‘regime vehicles’ drove within 18 miles of al-Tanf, accompanied by an unarmed soviet made SU-22 fighter — and was quickly intercepted by two F-22s.

As such, we smoked them out.

BuzZzzzZfeed reports from the scene.

Unlike the US strike against the al-Shayrat air base in March, which the Trump administration ordered in retaliation for a regime chemical weapons attack, Thursday’s strike seemed designed to protect the US forces based at Tanf.

One of the defense officials — who, like the others, spoke on condition of anonymity to reveal details that the Pentagon had yet to make public — said that the US acted to stop an advance of pro-regime forces toward Tanf. Pro-regime forces had crossed a pre-agreed deconfliction zone and continued to advance despite warning strikes, he added. The strikes destroyed several vehicles. It was unclear if they resulted in any deaths.

The 5th Special Forces Group has been training and mentoring pro-Western rebel groups in and around Tanf for about six months as part of the anti-ISIS campaign developed under then-President Barack Obama and continued by the Trump administration.

While contact with ISIS units is to be expected considering the mission, this is the first instance of American air power being used against pro-Assad forces to support American troops and their rebel allies.

With a mission that focuses completely on ISIS, US troops have rarely had to worry about operating in close proximity to Syrian forces and their aligned militias. The last encounter between the groups occurred last month when Syrian troops passed near a special operations group in the Kurdish areas, but that remained peaceful. As the territory dominated by ISIS collapses in the face of advances by Kurdish forces in Syria and Iraq forces in Mosul, though, the world’s most crowded battlespace further shrinks.

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Brazilian Stocks Clobbered to Death; America Jogs On

Brazil might have an actual Presidential scandal, which is lighting their index on fire now — off by a staggering 11%. How are your BRIC trades working out? US markets are shrugging off all bad news, whether it be a horrendous CSCO warning, Trump in turmoil, a rancid China Unicom cooking the books, plunging copper. It does not matter. Cognitive dissonance is a very powerful mentality, especially amongst the beta amongst us.

Bovespa, clown-raped

Following a 370 point drubbing, one should expect an attempt to bounce here. Traders are accustomed to making money on dips, so it would not surprise me to see it attempted now. But at some point along this winding road, fundamentals will matter.

All that aside, the model that I’ve assembled takes the emotion out of my decision making process. Ergo, if stocks deserve to be bought, I will buy them. I am chasing alpha, but have given myself an out by buying hedges in TLT and GLD when the numbers demand it. As of last Friday, the numbers demanded it.

Whether Trump gets impeached or not is immaterial to the bear case being talked about on Wall Street now. The worry is the economy and all of the stimulus that was supposed to happen looking grim with all of these distractions. Plus, the NASDAQ is higher by 11% YTD predicated on some sort of reflationary lift. Should things continue to spiral lower for Trump, coupled with seasonal factors, markets will get shredded to pieces this summer.

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Here Are This Morning’s Significant Happenings in Drunken Analyst Upgrade/Downgrade World

Before taking their morning glasses of whiskey, the analyst community on Wall Street, bright and early, issued their edicts on the state of America’s corporate world — judged by the proverbial thumbs up/down approach in an upgrade/downgrade game of carnivale smoke and mirrors, the clown edition.

Via Briefing:

JBT Corp initiated with a Neutral at BofA/Merrill; tgt $89
Shutterfly: Aegis Capital sees limited impact from Google Photos, buy the weakness
Tenax Therapeutics upgraded to Buy at Ladenburg Thalmann
BioLineRx upgrade details — to Buy at Maxim Group; tgt raised to $3
Pure Storage downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley
BioLineRx upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim Group
Take-Two: Thoughts into the Q4 print — Stifel
Jacobs upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Alembic Global Advisors
Synopsys: Color on Quarter (
Achillion Pharma upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Leerink Partners
B&G Foods downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse
PTC initiation details — Buy at The Benchmark Company; tgt $65
Aurinia Pharma target lowered to $10 from $12 at H.C. Wainwright after first patient dosed in AURORA and the Q1 results from earlier in the week
PTC initiated with a Buy at The Benchmark Company; tgt $65
Symantec downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS
United Bankshares upgraded to Neutral from Under Perform at Boenning & Scattergood
CarMax upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
Veritiv upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo
Teladoc initiated with a Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts; tgt $37
Citizens Financial Group initiated with a Underperform at Macquarie; tgt $33
Endologix downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG Research; tgt $7
Grainger downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Colfax initiated with a Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt $47
Shake Shack upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
First Solar downgrade details — to Neutral at Robert W. Baird; tgt $38
Pentair upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts
Jack In The Box downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Mkts
Douglas Emmett downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson
Monmouth Real Estate, Lakeland Financial (LKFN) both upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson
Noble Corp PLC upgraded to Neutral from Reduce at Nomura
Hanover Insurance upgraded to Mkt Perform from Underperform at Keefe Bruyette
Telefonica S.A. upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman
Stratasys downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Camden Property upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI
Essex Property downgraded to Hold from Buy at SunTrust
Expedia downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
Bank of Montreal upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Progressive upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank
First Solar downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird
Endologix downgraded to Hold at Stifel; tgt lowered to $5.50
Ascena Retail Group target lowered to $3 at Telsey Advisory Group

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