Goldman Ballsachs believes any substantial drop in gold is a buy — specifically for the reasons that have been repeated here ad nauseam.
GLOBAL GROWTH IS A MYTH. RECESSION IS COMING, IF NOT ALREADY HERE. THE CENTRAL BANKS CAN’T KEEP PUTTING HUMPTY DUMPTY BACK TOGETHER.
“We would view a gold sell-off substantially below $1,250 as a strategic buying opportunity, given substantial downside risks to global growth remain, and given that the market is likely to remain concerned about the ability of monetary policy to respond to any potential shocks to growth,” Currie and Layton wrote in the Oct. 6 report.
Goldman said it remains broadly neutral on the outlook for bullion through the year-end after the correction. The bank noted that the drop in prices hadn’t been driven by sales of bullion from holdings in exchange-traded funds, which have expanded this week as of Thursday.
“The move lower does not appear to be driven by physical gold ETF liquidation,” the analysts said. “The drivers of strong physical ETF and bar demand for gold during 2016 are likely to remain intact, including continued strong physical demand for gold as a strategic hedge.”
The miners have been poleaxed in recent weeks, my positions included. The reason why you’d want to get long gold into a recession is because the central banks are committed, by any means necessary, to denigrate the integrity of fiat money in an effort to help stave off a banking crisis. While negative rates might seem deleterious to the margins at the banks, having to write down enormous sovereign debts gone bad is far, far worse.
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