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Monthly Archives: October 2016

Intel Plunges in After Hours: ‘We’re Not Going to Raise the Flag and Say Everything is Good Again’

It was a good report, until the minute details came out. Investors are forlorn with grief in the after-hours, selling shares of Intel — ad hoc — after the company guided down gross margins. Just know, when gross margins are guided down, more often than not, the core business is about to fucked fuck with a rake. Margins are coming in due to wages and/or prici

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Tech will be annihilated tomorrow, rest assured.

Internet of Things business grew 19% over last year. Setting an all time revenue record of nearly $700 million; saw strength across the board in retail, video, and transportation segments.

Revenue in memory business was approximately flat year-over-year. 3D NAND production at the factory is ramping ahead of schedule with yields matching those of other production facility; continue to see industry enthusiasm building for new memory technology.

Very pleased with the integration of Altera intoIntel.

During the third quarter saw strengthening of demand and an inventory build in the worldwide PC supply chain. This segment had another quarter of significant profit growth with operating profit growing 37% from a year ago as revenue increased, costs came down and investment levels declined.

Generating healthy levels of free cash flow which enables co to invest in business and return cash to shareholders.

Seeing in the Data Center is very strong growth rates in the cloud; Very strong growth rates in networking and storage as those areas become virtualized and products extend into those areas; saw some weakness in enterprise in Q3 and expecting for Q4.

Going to hold off on providing a forecast for 2017 at this time; would normally provide that in January, then have much more in-depth conversation in the investor meeting in February.

‘We’re not going to raise the flag and say that everything’s good again’.

Saw an increased strength in the areas that have been strong in the past; the mature markets were a bit stronger. The one that was probably a little bit of a shift is China

Enterprise was again strong. Consumer was better but it’s still not back to where it would like to see the consumer side.

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A Solid Day for Stocks, Led by Gold and Foreign Banks

Because foreign banks are cool and totally solvent, investors bought them in droves today. I get no pleasure out of highlighting the big bold letters in front of our faces. But there it is, the bounce back day for stocks led higher by hospital beds and gold mines. Market breadth was at 73%, so there was broad market participation. However, we’re stuck inside of a trading range, a purgatory if you will, until there is some resolution on these worldly events transpiring.

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Some of the bounce in gold is due to the renewed belief that the Fed is filled with shit and will not hike rates. In my opinion, today’s spike in risk off assets was predicated more around that narrative than fear of a market drawdown.

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Wikileaks: The Late Steve Jobs Had HIV

If true, it’s too bad he didn’t reveal this to the public, in order to raise public awareness. There are literally endless documents released to the public now. It’s gonna be a shitstorm.

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UPDATE: this is an old document, one that has been refuted by Gawker as being a fake.

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Wikileaks 1984 Doomsday Index Opened to the Public; Rumors Swirl About the Fate of Assange

I’m sorry if all of this historical ‘nonsense’, which will go down in the annals of history as the very most and important public disclosure of corrupt government, gets in the way of your trading day. Some of you stumbled upon me hoping that I’d curse and yell about hammed burgers and hotted dogs, even in the midst of nuclear war. Let me remind you that I have an IQ of 155 and genuinely care about world events, as I’ve got much to lose and lots invested in the future. In other words, fuck off if the truth upsets you. None of you control me and will ever be able to. You’re better off playing inside of a cesspool than lobbying me about what I should be discussing on my site.

It looks like Wikileaks dropped the entire file, which may suggest he’s under arrest, dead, or a combination of both.

It’s not by accident that this is titled 1984.

 

Developing…

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Why Did Podesta Email George Soros’ Foundation Head About Replacing Scalia the Day of His Death?

Maybe it’s wetworks related? John was a very busy little bee, chatting it up with the OSF head, Chris Stone.

For those unfamiliar, the OSF is George Soros’ main foundation by which he alters the history of the world, creating chaos and change in governments.

Even if there wasn’t a conspiracy here, why is Soros involved in the selection process of our Supreme Court Justices?

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Fox: Assange to Be Arrested ‘Within the Next Few Hours’

Well, it was certainly good and entertaining while it lasted. But we can’t carry on reading the emails of John Podesta for the rest of our lives, can we? Poor John. All he wanted to do was subvert the third estate and get his bitch into power.

If Ecuador ceded to John Kerry and the Obama administration, then I’m never gonna eat ceviche in the Galápagos Islands. I promise you here and now, I’ll never do it.

This from the morons at Fox.

If true, we all knew it’d happen sooner or later. The only problem for World government is that by arresting Assange you make him a martyr and 10,000 others replace him, like terrorists — but for freedom and transparency instead of retrograde sentimentalities.

Nevertheless, Assange did good and is a true hero, a symbol of unvarnished truth in a sea of morbid lies and filth.

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Wikileaks: John Kerry Used FARC Peace Negotiations to Pressure Ecuador to Stop Assange

Wikileaks just sent out two tweets that should shock me into thinking ‘wow, my government is fucked up for trying to leverage peace negotiations protect Hillary Clinton and her band of bandits from public humiliation’, but I’m not. I’m too much of a cynic to believe anyone does things for selfless, righteous reasons.

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Seeing that Ecuador turned off Assange’s internet access, I imagine J. Kerry might want to take a bow and flatulate himself for this huge diplomatic victory.

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Investor Cash Levels Highest Since 9/11

Unlike western Federal Governments of the world, both investors and corporations are awash in cash. Isn’t that an interesting dichotomy? Have you ever thought about it for a moment, seeing that we’re bedraggled by $20t in debt at a time when cash is freely flowing and hoarded by corporations on a global basis?

Bank of America is out with a note highlighting the fact that investor cash is now at levels not seen since after 9/11, at 5.8%. Smugly, they view this as a buying signal — since people are too stupid to identify risk, apparently. I’ve always loved the thought process behind ‘contrarian signals.’

In other words, you’re basing your entire investment philosophy on the stupidity of the masses. It is condescension, personified.

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“This month’s cash levels indicate that investors are bearish, with fears of an EU breakup, a bond crash and Republicans winning the White House jangling nerves,” said Michael Hartnett, the bank’s chief investment strategist.

He furthers…

Elevated cash balances potentially sets the stage for a stock-market rally, according to the Bank of America analysts. “When average cash balance rises above 4.5 percent a contrarian buy signal is generated for equities. When the cash balance falls below 3.5 percent a contrarian sell signal is generated,” writes Hartnett’s team in Tuesday’s report.

On a short term basis, Harnett might be right. After all, November of 2001 was a short term bottom for the market — as it drifted into year end and then rallied hard in early 2002. However, let’s not forget the fact that markets continued to struggle for more than a year afterwards, with the Nasdaq plunging from 2,000 to the 1,200 level before bottoming.

I think people sense something is wrong, evident by the sheer numbers and lunacy of central bank overplanning. Perhaps if they’d stop meddling and let the business cycle live or die on its own merits, people would feel more confident in the legitimacy of the market.

I know I would.

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Twlo

As CB Insights pointed out last week (“Union Square Ventures Is Really F’n Good”), USV was also an early investor in Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), Tumblr (which was sold to Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO)), Lending Club (NYSE:LC), Zynga (NASDAQ:ZNGA), and Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY). USV has had a billion dollar exit every year since 2011. Last year, Union Square Ventures led one ranking as the top venture capital fund in the world, and the Twilio exit further cements its status.

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