iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
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Wealth Bubble or Break Out in Prosperity?

Americans have never been richer. Household wealth stands at $20 trillion, mostly in the well to do coastal cities of this great steak’d nation. There are some who believe this peak wealth statistic is a harbinger of doom, one that speaks to excess in the financial cycle, disconnected from the economics.

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Since 2009, households have seen their holdings of stock and mutual funds nearly double, to $20.6 trillion. Only 6 percent of that gain can be ascribed to new flows of money into the funds or share purchases, according to calculations by Carson, director of global economic research at AllianceBernstein LP in New York. The rest is due to price appreciation.

As a share of disposable personal income, household net worth hit a record high 652.7 percent in the first quarter of last year. (For comparison purposes, the high during the housing boom was 648.3 percent at the end of 2006.) It’s since slipped, to 640.4 percent on March 31 of this year, as equity and house price gains have slowed

Does this graph mean anything? Trying to not be such an intolerable cynic here, isn’t it entirely possible that household wealth, the very thing the Fed has been trying to buoy, might continue to surge upwards to new levels? Or, does that way of thinking fall into the ipso facto world of ‘this time is different’, which we both know rarely happens?

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8 comments

  1. it is showtime

    Amazing seeing the [equity-injection] computers turned on start of session. Nauseating

    Hopefully someone reads this [comment] and goes gee that needs to be looked into
    Your stock markets are merely programmed U.[Sheep] of A

    All [All] runs in prosperity have caps on them
    This is the fakest most fraudulent W.E.
    [wealth effect] in history

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  2. btn

    This graph measn nothing for 2 reasons:
    1) Household wealth is strongly correlated with the stock market, so it’s a concurrent indicator that doesn’t predict anything.
    2) Peaks cannot be confirmeduntil *well after* they occur. take a look at 1998 for an example of how 1997 looked like a peak in 1997, but wasn’t.

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    • helicopter ben

      Agree for 99.% of America, wealth is essentially house plus retirement accounts. So this chart is quite the lagging indicator.

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    • helicopter ben

      The graph itself looks like the spx and Schiller house price index added together in equal proportions.

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  3. thomasjefferson

    @showtime- Its only fake if it’s not reflected in your account statement.

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  4. tradercaddy

    Shoot’em up in German mall with some dead.
    But not to worry, the EU bureaucrats are safe behind their walls.

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  5. mx2101

    Whose household? Perhaps those who lived life and bought with an optimistic outlook, faith and hopeful disposition.

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