iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,475 Blog Posts

Deutsche Bank Out with Positive Note on U.S. Economy

$DB is out with a note, basically telling people to stop reading Zerohedge and bugging the fuck out by selling good stocks in a good economy.

In my view, there is a big disconnect between the current narrative in both equity and rates markets and the actual economic data. This economy is stronger than its reputation and for some reason many investors want to hold onto the 2009 story of “the economy is not good”. We are likely to reach full capacity over the coming 12 months and that is why Yellen, Fischer, and Dudley continue to talk about liftoff in 2015.

There are dark forces out there, spoiling the mood for everyone else. It reminds me of this book I am reading now, which is the single best investment book of all-time: 28 Years in Wall St. In it, the venerable Henry Clews discusses the life of a Charles F. Woerishoffer, who was the bear of the late 19th century. Like Chanos or the fuckers at Citron, he has a powerful effect on the stocks he targeted and brought about a somber mood in the market. In effect, he and his ilk purported the idea that there was zero value in all corporations, especially when it suited them for profit. He made a fortune on the short side, but died at the young age of 43–likely due to Satan calling him back to hell for a little R &R.

It’s always easier to destroy and believe all is lost. Perhaps the Nazis at DB are right and things aren’t that fucked. Hence, there is a legitimate cause for optimism, aside from the prospects for MOAR QE.

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4 comments

  1. pb

    DB is not exactly a neutral observer.

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  2. nocturne

    Now if only they could say something good about themselves!!!! The IBC financial Twitter posts keep me awake in my cube!!!!

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  3. tradingnymph

    Ah the same DB that has such problems with their derivatives book. They are telling us we are OK? FWIW IMHO us Bears are not so Evil, we just see things way too early. In 2009 us Bears saw that the Globe was forming a massive commodity bubble because Speculation and Creative Finance took the place of Physical Need or Demand. It will end ugly, just taking SO long to do it.

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