iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,429 Blog Posts

The Inflation Trade is Dead (Drops Mic)

bra

Rocky Dennis, Superstar Inflation Analyst
commodities

 

That’s my raw commodity index, year to date. That doesn’t look inflationary anymore, does it? Take that, coupled with the fact that bonds are gapping higher daily, the dry bulk index is at new lows, sub 800, and one could make the argument that we are headed, rather decidedly, into the deflationary vortex of magnified death. You don’t need to take my word for it. Have a look at some three month returns for some of your favorite commodities.

Wheat -23%

Corn -23%

Coffee -21%

Cotton -20%

Uranium -11%

Natural Gas -11%

Death to the farmer. Long live the grocer!

 

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14 comments

  1. speedius

    Do you believe in life after dove?

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  2. xxxhuggiebearxxx
    xxxhuggiebearxxx

    Wow….nice analysis. That is pretty scary into the teeth of a completed taper and near-term rate rise.

    Earnings somehow keep going up though….must be through float reduction.

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    • it is showtime

      Lot of share-buyback contributing to higher-eps

      That’s after the higher-eps from people-layoff round
      of course

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      • Bullish

        It’s all an elaborate scheme to make stock prices go up! This must stop!

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        • newbalance

          music still playin…punch bowl is empty…everyone drinking straight from the bottle…what exit?

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  3. matt_bear

    so who grows the stuff when the farmer says fuck it and stops?

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    • jacked rabbit

      Corporate Farming. You think the taper from the Fed was something, wait till these guys start tapering food…

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  4. j livermore

    Wow, Keith also starred in the movie Mask. He’s so versatile.

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  5. it is showtime

    Wheat/corn at least returning to “pre drought” levels mainly

    Weather interruption is still a big part of this bear’s thesis anyway

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  6. bruce keller

    DBC explodes tomorrow now, lol. 🙂

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  7. snoozemr

    Seems the predicitions keep changing on El Nino. Last I read I think it was going to be an El Nino year. Only thing that would give me pause. Softs have dropped in the past couple of months. Don’t expect that trend to change in the immediate future barring act of god type event

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  8. ironbird

    Senor Fly. If you have any more thoughts on what the fuck happened today. Pretty sure the Ibankcoin plebs from both sides of the site would really appreciate them. Grandma picked winners by name. What does it mean?

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    • ironbird

      *losers. Winners would be every other asset class on earth. I think.

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  9. helicopter ben

    So janet yellen was right about the inflation noise. Looking forward to another GDP print in the negative 3% range next quarter.

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