iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,430 Blog Posts

Making it Back

It’s not going to be easy; but rest assured, I will make it all back and then some. I still haven’t had the courage to open up the profit and loss screen, but have seen the damage and it’s around 25% to the bad. Make that a 37% swing from the top, the sort of setback that destroys lesser men.

I don’t know if I’ll make it back with my current positions, or something else entirely. All I know, right now, is this:

The PPT said we were oversold yesterday, “The Fly’s” computerized brain unencumbered by emotion. It’s record is near flawless. Those who use it know not to ignore it and never to bet against it.

It feels good to make back a few percent today; but this is not the time or the place for bragging. I made catastrophic mistakes, all that I regret, but only with the luxury of hindsight. I made all that money last year because of my proclivity to take risk. So far, in 2014, that hasn’t worked out so well. But I know what I own now is cheap and is bound to trade higher. Maybe I’ll lighten up on bounces, or maybe I’ll turn it around and sell it short. Odds are we erase all of these losses and shoot back to new highs, once the dust settles.

I realize you hate that idea, because you’re an ideologue. The numbers have to make sense and valuations must be respected. The market has never worked liked that. We simply ebb and flow between fear and greed, spurred on by cheap credit and trends– or constricted by tight Fed policy.

Rates are still low and this is the best damn game in town.

If forced to choose between the safe rout or the sword, I choose the latter every single time.

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55 comments

  1. drake sucks

    fwiw I cut my UVXY start of the day. Doesn’t feel right. Nice hammer in IFON today.

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  2. zzzdoc

    Fly,

    Check HK, an old fav of yours.

    Yours truly,

    zzz

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  3. Mister Jinx

    I appreciate how you are truthful about these matters, unlike so many of the others out there who talk up their winners and try to sweep their losers under the rug.

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  4. Few Man Chew

    Fly, my office and portfolio is a mess and it’s time for a good spring cleaning overhaul. What’s in your office? I need a high quality desk, like something from Mad Men, not Ikea. Need some inspiration, thanks.

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  5. halfbloodpope

    I am holding $JAZZ until 220 or I die, whichever comes first. I made the mistake of selling $PATK over 2 years ago against my gut and will not allow that to happen again.Trading at 12X forward earnings and growing means full steam ahead.

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    • Mr.partridge

      leaders of yesterday not often becomes leaders of tomorrow… be careful, do not overweight

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  6. matt_bear

    everybody loves a fall from grace and resulting come back story.

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  7. matt_bear

    counting them stacks bruh

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  8. Anton

    Hoping for a speedy return to your days of hot pizza slice face slapping and the breaking of collared bones.

    Bloggery during this recent reversal of fortune as been exceptional. Prefer WINNING, however (no sheening).

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  9. razorsedge

    trimmed hedges today, now to tend to the lawn….seems a little brown.

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  10. Jennifer

    u guys are all homos

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  11. Few Man Chew

    The desk makes the man! Perhaps the rinky dink desk symbolizes your recent portfolio decline. Get one of those old school bankers desk lamps and a nice fancy quill pen. Kick it old school.

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  12. J Livermore

    Have the gates been closed to the unregistered and unwashed?

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  13. Honolulu Trader
    Honolulu Trader

    $XLF stays below the 50day “21.92” then I don’t see the markets heading higher from here.

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  14. incometrader

    I don’t remember a time in the last 5yrs you ignored your usual stop loss on your entire portfolio. One stock yes but never everything…

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  15. xxxhuggiebearxxx
    xxxhuggiebearxxx

    What in the fuck took place in my beautiful Brazil today…..horseshit!

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  16. xxxhuggiebearxxx
    xxxhuggiebearxxx

    YELP is in a death-spiral.

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  17. MX2101

    I hope all of you with losses make all of it back, and then some. The desk talk made me laugh. My desk is my backpack, because Girlfriend Dearest rules the house. Sometimes it’s like I don’t even live there.

    Best regards

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  18. ironbird

    Did the guy short Brazil finally get blown the fuck out?

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  19. Trading_Nymph

    This is SO TRUE.. “I realize you hate that idea, because you’re an ideologue. The numbers have to make sense and valuations must be respected. The market has never worked liked that. We simply ebb and flow between fear and greed, spurred on by cheap credit and trends– or constricted by tight Fed policy.”

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    • Trading_Nymph

      btw Plosser finished, he didn’t mention anything about FOMC policy. Go Play Bulls.

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      • Jennifer

        when is the last time you made any money without being on your back or knees

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  20. lfleur

    I’m avoiding looking at my profit/loss screen also. Portfolio was at a 5 year high just a couple of weeks ago. If I don’t look, the losses aren’t verified, right? And maybe my stocks will rally again before I have to take a look.

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  21. Flicker

    FLY…with respect to your change in desks. I went to a boiler room type desk…totally metal with a black dial telephone.

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  22. Moron

    We should all line up to give the fly blowjobs for his excellent stock picking with the feye/splk/yelp combo.

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  23. Flicker

    I would like a blowjob….but not from Fly.

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  24. Sam

    “safe rout” (sic)

    Is that what the last month was?

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