iBankCoin
18 years in Wall Street, left after finding out it was all horseshit. Founder/ Master and Commander: iBankCoin, finance news and commentary from the future.
Joined Nov 10, 2007
23,474 Blog Posts

THE BIOCHEM BUBBLE

I traded the dot com bubble and started my career by winning in it. It’s very common for people to refer to a market euphoria as being “dot-comish”. But the truth is, no matter the level of enthusiasm, there hasn’t been a sector that has matched the dot com bubble profile since 2000. Reason being: most of the stocks that are lifting off now do so methodically and are earnings per share positive.

UNTIL NOW.

The biotech or biochem sector is in the middle of a lunatic phase, whereby everything is melting up, frantically and without top hat, and 90%+ of these companies won’t make a dime for another decade. It’s the perfect sector, isn’t it?

Have a look at some recent returns, on a 1 month and daily scale.
Biocom

ICPT is the new Geocities and there are a few dozen companies like it dying to come public.

Keep in mind, these companies have a proclivity of blowing up by 90% inside of a single session upon receiving heinous news that their drugs do not help anyone, but kill or maim people. Every so often, you will find a real one, like RGEN, and make a bundle. Like the dot com bubble, I intend to play this sector, but not get attached to it and certainly do not get lured into the sexy stories of cures for cancer and baldness.

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28 comments

  1. eddiedaroza

    Hearing good things about ADHD presentation at the JP Morgan Biotech Conference in SF next week. I’m long shares

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  2. mr.partridge

    OXBT trading real time bought yesterday and this morning… real time via ST

    TXTR we are rocking boss 🙂

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  3. tradercaddy

    No NBIX (and this is a legit. bio) ?
    I believe it’s up about 80% in a month.
    I only follow it because I made and lost all of it about 7-8 years ago.

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  4. TheHarper

    I make it easy on myself, as I am NOT a doctor nor have false pretenses of any sort of knowledge of medicne, so I stay long the Fidelity Select Biotech mutual fund in my 401(k) and I suggest many of you do that to.

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    • bood

      i suggest some $eltp ( to double in short/mid term)

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    • tradercaddy

      I used to love the Fidelity Selects.
      1982-1985 or so it was a $25 switch fee and then they went to hourly pricing. They had no short term trading fees and for $25 one could switch $$$$ intraday.
      The actual prices lagged the real market about 10-15 minutes so it was like having your one money tree.
      I would buy about 10 or 11 AM, goof off, and then sell at 3 or 4PM.
      Then they got wise and it was game over.

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  5. bood

    nwbo setting up too ..(imo..)

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  6. vigkap

    Retrophin $RTRX is a name that I recommend if you want to play the bio market, they have multiple valuable drugs in their pipeline. Unlike most small cap bio-stocks this is not some scam for the executives to get rich off shareholders.

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  7. mr.partridge

    Anyone ever had 50% of positions breaking out on the same day…. and I have a lot of positions… weird shit…

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  8. bchu12

    $GOGO is really starting to test my patience

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  9. budh

    Inordinate biotech profits will be taxed away to cover our healthcare deficit.

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    • bood

      (biotech future profits depending yet on taxpayers financing obamacare )

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  10. budh

    Im picking up some GOGO here.

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  11. bood

    i’ve gone nearly all in in some stupidly ripping under $ breakout biotech, finishing the day around +5% ( touched +8% )

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  12. kg

    The days off $BWLD.

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  13. weegoody

    Hey FuckWads…Fly totally just caught you all preening over BioTech stocks. Sexy nerd girls in lab coats and you are all buyers.

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  14. Mad_Scientist

    I take it by RGEN you meant REGN, right?

    Funny how some of the ones on this list are real turds, but hey, who cares? Let’s make money.

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