It’s Awfully Hot On The Sun

The hottest stocks are cooling off the fastest. We are witnessing routs in some of the best stocks, from the innovative world of 3-d to solar, the elevator is decidedly down. This of course is typical of my recent foray into high beta names, such as SOL. The difference between then and now is my disposition of sheer complacency.

In many ways, I’ve become a Kamikaze pilot, aiming my zero down into some ships. It’s an exercize in futility, but it helps me sleep better at night. You must understand: after giving up 30% gains for two consecutive years and to see the same patterns present themselves now, I have no choice but to go completely mad.

November isn’t supposed to be a great month for stocks, just decent. One can make the argument that we’ve already had a decent run, so now it’s time to ‘taper off.’ In the logs of history, people only see the great indices marching higher. Little do they know, underneath the surface is displacement, disruption and carnage.

Some of my biggest draw-downs occured during the great dot com days, from 1998 to 2000. When it was all said and done, I made a King’s ransom. But, along the way, I was tossed into one lit fireplace after the next.

We are in the middle of a terrific bull run, spearheaded by cheap money and innovation. This is the “along the way” part that is loathsome. Make sure you can handle the downs, so that you can capitalize on the ups down the road.