Where Are the Deals?

The ipo market has been dead in the water ever since Facebook mugged investors. Last year’s $112 billion raised in the ipo market is the worst since 2008, 30% of 2011′s output. On one hand, it’s a good thing to have less deals, leaving limited choices for capital flow. But what does it say about the economy?

There’s no excitement in the market right now. For every resurgence in Facebook, I offer you a death in Apple.

The trading ranges will persist and hopefully we can break out to new levels. I’m not concerned about today’s pullback. It may be bought by the day’s end. But for the market to reenter real bull market status, we need the ipo market to liven up again. We need excitement, something to lure the naive retail investor back.

We need another Facebook, this time sans the criminality.

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22 Responses to Where Are the Deals?

The Eye-Talian Stallion says:

We need a correction here to continue the bull. If not, then the market takes a major dump. Also, the market averages only +1.7% the year after an election. So one could hang out and wait for an opportunity, why force a trade?

Reply
Freddy Fishsticks says:

“limiting capital flow”

Capital flow is restricted as a result of political ambiguity and general lack of confidence. “One more stock” doesn’t do a thing. And it’s a zero sum game in an IPO – the initial (pre secondary market) capital comes from underwriters and early investors. So IPO’s create churn, at best. They certainly don’t broaden net capital flow.

Reply
The Fly says:

You misunderstood what I meant.

It is a fact that when iPos come public there are less dollars looking to invest in the current roster of stocks

Reply
Freddy Fishsticks says:

Disagree. Any dollars that go to the new IPO are simply transferred to some other party, who is highly unlikely to “put it under the mattress”…given they are an IPO player, no less.

Reply
Yabollox says:

The stock market is about allocating capital to the best operators of businesses. If a new IPO is a better business than an existing company then money should flow from the bad company to the better one.

Reply
Rollo Tomasi says:

I’m not sure even a Twitter ipo can help out. Truth is we need to go ahead and give Alaska to China and Hawaii to Japan, and tear up all of our IOU’s. Do a complete reset.

Reply

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