iBankCoin

Safe Havens

Crack spreads are up 5.5% right now. As you know, my largest position is WNR. For my personal account, it is my only position.

Today, small cap oil is up. But that is not a safe haven. I expect the price of oil to trade lower. I expect everything but refiners, treasuries and the dollar to trade down.

In summary, the safe havens are refiners,  treasuries and the dollar.

Any questions?

Good.

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30 comments

  1. trashed

    Why do you expect oil to go down?

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  2. Dirk Diggler

    1-888-4VAULT-TEC

    Call it, book your space NOW!

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  3. riggedgame

    3600 points DOWN on Monday?

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  4. Quint

    The Irish are selling – they need to have total focus tomorrow on beer and large, pale women with freckles.

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    • go2mars

      mmm… Utopia.

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      • BlindReadAnt

        Californians have to drive to NorCal, Oregon or Arizona before they begin to find such Utopia…. : [

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        • go2phobos&deimos
          go2phobos&deimos

          Aw mannn… I might be taking a job in Cali. I’ll just have to drink Sierra Nevada and stare at my wife.

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          • BlindReadAnt

            I urge you to inspect 1st, see who you’re moving in with. I wish it were a simple matter… . Also, get ready for an “alien” experience. Best o’ luck!

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    • mmmTrends

      Here’s to swimmin with bow legged women. Cheers.

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  5. bloomberg

    what did you say ?? something about DIPS…

    i think this is free falling!!

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  6. go2mars

    And iodine manufacturers.

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  7. Juiceyfruit

    Boss, I don’t think refiners will be spared. If there are profits to be taken, be careful .

    but I’m no space alien magician.

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  8. Bullish

    How about steel and coal? They have held up well all week.

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  9. jimmie

    One question only please sir:

    Should I drink Dos Equis or Monster Energy drink with my lunch?

    thanks in advance

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  10. jande9

    Mideast political turmoil. Unprecedented natural disasters. World financial system in a state of disarray.

    I don’t know near enough to invest in this market and I am not the gambler to get involved, but these kind of events are opportunities for huge new fortunes to be made (and lost).

    We are in a world of change right now and if you are smart and very lucky these are game changing times. I am surprised that that the usual denizens of this forum are choosing to sit on the sidelines for a while and not trying to take advantage of these once in a lifetime events.

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    • drummerboy

      a falling knife is one thing. but an anvil being thrown off the empire state building. you wouldnt want to be near the area when it hits……..too much shrapnel

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  11. gregoryj

    Fly … REFINER question – what about Austrailian refiner(?!) … $IOC

    Don’t you have the inside track from that secretive buddy of yours on this one?!

    Regards.

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  12. Wilco

    “…what we have here is emotional selling and fundamental buying…”…Only on CNBC or more commonly known as GE.

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  13. Alvari40

    Well played sir.

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  14. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    Fly, if WNR is your only position then that means you sold the 10k shs of PESI you bought for spec … did you have a loss, a gain or break even on that trade?

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  15. Real Texan

    Notice how the RUT is only down about 0.5 %? Makes me not want to go short here. I guess that leaves the sidelines.

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  16. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    So TEPCO has installed a new power line and will be distributing power soon which will restore normal heat levels within the reactor …. Huh? WTF!

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  17. go2phobos&deimos
    go2phobos&deimos

    http://www.financialsense.com/node/4508

    Looks like Doug Casey is an idiot like me. He even mentions 2 of the 3 stocks I bought into by name. HAT is now at 1.62. Dennison hit 2.18 today. Forum 0.16.

    Eventually someone will look at value vs. stock price and things will get a bit more rational. Are we there yet? I clearly have no idea as I bought in after 25-35% drops (instead of 35-50%). But I will say this: SP in uranium stocks will recover a lot above current levels eventually. Which I realize doesn’t interest day traders, but there you have it.

    Cameco is the big honkin’ producer that has signed monstrous contracts with China. They are like Exxon during the fall from $140/bbl to $32/bbl. Stock barely got pushed off. But anyone who bought the little oil companies in the middle of Phobos and Deimos (Fear and Panic) which are incidentally the names of Mars’s moons, MADE A FUCKIN FORTUNE SINCE THEN!!

    Right now it’s uranium.

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  18. Trading Nymph

    Latest from that link I posted above…AP is reporting a worryingly cryptic comment by Greg Jaczko, chairman of the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission says no more water in spent fuel pool at troubled Japan plant.

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