iBankCoin

Look Through My Lens, Filled With Black Smoke

I am jaded, totally biased against the market. I am not a technician, nor a fundamentalist. I am a hybrid investor, shout out to Scott Bleier.

This is how I see things.

The last few days have been failures for the bulls, because the onus is on them. Due to the bull mode we are in, it is their responsibility to keep the ball rolling. Over the last few days, as well as today, all rallies have been sold. As a matter of fact, they’ve been sold aggressively. I know the market can rip tits tomorrow, based upon some rumor that the Bush tax cuts will be extended. I mean, that would force me to cover all shorts immediately. However, barring that, the economy is still struggling to getting worse. Taxes are going up and there is a lot of funny shit happening in the world of currencies.

If I was super aggressive, I’d be shorting banks here, with impunity, while going long treasuries. As yields come down, so do the profit margins at the banks. Having said that, I’ve been buying ridiculous amounts of TLT today. I am looking for it to run past $110.

Ultimately, victory will be mine, as I am the only person I know who talks to urinal shadows and zips through space in a fucking space rocket. The rest of you are merely pedestrian. Always remember, while mocking Senor Tropicana: at the end of the battle, it will be your head on the pike, not mine.

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123 comments

  1. D Hydration

    fig

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  2. scott

    Bulls want this pullback. Bulls NEED this pullback!

    BTW–Wall Street II debuts tomorrow. Is that an important “hybrid” indicator?

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    • scott

      and thanks for the shout out!

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    • ruggyup

      Yes, WS II is an indicator but, not important. It is both a lagging and forward indicator of chronic brain arrest among our populace where style, quality, excellence and reliability are non-existent for the millions absorbed only with sucking the government teat and hoping to win the lottery. Bears also need a pullback to confirm their belief in being shat upon.

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      Amen

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  3. needle dick the bug fucker
    needle dick the bug fucker

    is it think or swim or im I seeing market numbers moving hurky jurky.

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  4. Spyder_Crusher

    gotta have a mix of both tech and fund.

    three days lower…

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  5. Real Texan

    thank God we are getting some selling action. I have been sitting on my TZA for too long!! Mr. Fly, please give us a reasonable exit strategy for your black cannonball called TZA. Thank you.

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  6. Maximus

    I honestly can’t believe I wasted 4 years of my life getting a finance degree when I could have just read this f’n blog. All the degree got me was several STD’s and countless trips to Planned Parenthood.

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    • TraderCaddy

      Especially because Fly College is expected to go to a BCS bowl this year.
      No student Health Clinic but does have co ed dorms which sounds like it could have been a problem for you.

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    • ruggyup

      I love it when guys brag about their bullshit heroism under fire. Those STDs will eventually cauterize the blood vessels in your brain making you the producer of Trader Does Dallas. You might as well chop it off and not worry about Planned Parenthood either.

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  7. Nomercy

    Yes my master…

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  8. C_Farley

    Nasdaq will close at 2322 and then gap down in the morning!

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  9. The Fly

    The whoosh will coincide with the release of Wall Street 2, as predicted.

    It was written. Therefore, it shall be so, yadda, yaddda, yadaa.

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    • Prospectus

      This market is just like Wall Street II, minus Shea LeDouche of course

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      • The_Real_Hmmm

        I bet you they are going to talk about morality/ethics surrounding selling CDS, subprime mortgages, etc. Oh the drama.

        Questions will definitely be asked during or after, I just know it- “Wait what’s this CDS thing they’re talking about again??”

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  10. Yogi & Boo Boo

    I love this place! Another satisfied trader/investor. Thanks Merlin.

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  11. TheArtist

    Dive bitch…DIVE!!!

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  12. bigmovingstock

    As The Fly rightfully declares victory in this struggle for stock markets justice, governing bodies are wiping smoke laden black egg from their face as massive stock market whooshing takes place just 3 days post “recession over” feel good public announcement, with imminent release of Shiboof Laboof Wall Street 2 film. Next bubble to burst, facebook user population as “The Social Network” movie is released. Good Day.

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  13. drummerboy

    i’ve only discovered this joint a short few months or so ago thanks to some real folks. fuck wall street 2, there’s a reality show in this damn site. no shit, bar fucking none.hbo ,no censoring or nothing,this show would blow so many others right out of the agua.

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  14. Bullish

    Honestly, I didn’t see today’s sell off coming!

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  15. TheArtist

    where is my DOW 9000 hat?

    o, by the way, Chinese Premier Wen is to be thrown into the fag box…. fucking whiner.

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  16. Name

    I am still not convinced, need to see another 300 + DOW points down move tomorrow.

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  17. xxxHuggieBearxxx

    The market is unlikely to break below 1100 ands certainly not below 1080 without some systemic shock fear.

    I will cover my shorts between the 200 and 1080 barring any surprises.

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  18. Just askin

    Someone FTK’d in the last minute today??

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  19. Surplusdroids

    Fig! Great post!

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  20. flyaway18

    You bears must be desperate to unload the TZA you’ve accumulated
    following your mastah.
    A .72 percent drop in the Dow, .83 percent in the SP 500 is a selloff?
    You need to do better than that, boys.
    After nailing this last move I am sitting pretty waiting
    for the bargains, while you sweat breaking even with your TZA.

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  21. Name

    If an head & shoulder pattern breakdown fails, usually a VIOLENT move to the opposite direction will begin.

    http://x6c.xanga.com/e02f916304c32272054619/w216983650.png

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  22. alf44

    NFLX is just a freakin’ MONSTER !!!

    That fucker is UP 300% since last September !

    Para-freakin-bolic !!!

    JEEEZ !!!

    .

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  23. cheesefries

    This guy on fast money has a solution to save social security.; cut the benefit completely to those above X income and not raise their taxes “as much”. Nice.. oh, he tossed in “it’s your patriotic duty”.

    His solution to the housing problem was to allow foreign nationals citizenship if they would buy a house over 400k.

    Pete Najarian gave him kudos for having “stones”.

    What incentive is there to be productive?

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  24. Teahouse On The Tracks
    Teahouse On The Tracks

    More wave work sans Prechter per OEW:

    > The short term OEW charts confirmed the completion of the five Minute waves up from the SPX 1041 low to the SPX 1149 high. This completes Minor wave 1 of Intermediate wave three. The pullback Minor wave 2 is currently underway. Thus far, at today’s low, the pullback from 1149 is 26 points (at 1123). This is about a 23.6% retracement of the recent rally. A retest of the OEW 1107 pivot would represent about a 38.2% retracement. Typically we would expect the daily RSI momentum readings to at least reach neutral during this type of pullback. Sometimes this indicator may even get close to an oversold reading. It hit neutral heading into the close. Once this pullback completes the market should then start to rally in Minor wave 3. <

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      A 50% pullback would be around 1095 (1090 pivot) … which should now be major support

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  25. Mr. Partridge

    Mr. Fly,

    I am not sure if I can put reference to this here, but here it is…

    This is a great research on gold stocks:

    http://minefund.com/wordpress/2010/08/24/looking-for-value-in-the-gold-sector-after-newcrest-lihir/

    I thought you might want to use it.

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  26. jimmie

    Fly = Genius

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  27. Be A Gentlemen Not Brainless
    Be A Gentlemen Not Brainless

    Been coming here a while. maybe 5 people that blog here know something about investing, the rest are imamature idiots.

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  28. Le Fly

    Wrong. Everyone here is a genius, certified by mensa

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  29. YaBollox

    you’re a mature idiot? who can’t spell?

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  30. Behold... The gulf oil Horseman
    Behold... The gulf oil Horseman

    The ultimate bearish signal
    Yr Ave Oil price
    1991 21.50
    1992 20.56
    1993 18.45
    1994 17.19
    1995 18.44
    1996 22.11
    1997 20.61
    1998 14.45
    1999 19.26
    2000 30.30
    2001 25.95
    2002 26.11
    2003 31.12
    2004 41.44
    2005 56.49
    2006 66.02
    2007 72.32
    2008 99.57
    2009 61.66
    2010 77.37
    2011 82.00

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  31. Soul Trader

    The next trade to make:

    http://www.raptureready.com/rr-money.html

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  32. Helicopter Ben-jammin aka Bearded Clamfucker
    Helicopter Ben-jammin aka Bearded Clamfucker

    you can’t lose buying GOLD, SILVER, and COPPER, guaranteed profits as US Dollar death spiral to zero continues. This is the Bearded Clamfuckers gift to you speculators. Enjoy 🙂

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    • Teahouse On The Tracks
      Teahouse On The Tracks

      But when they announce the new global currency run don’t walk to unload those PM’s …

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  33. Be A Gentlemen Not Brainless
    Be A Gentlemen Not Brainless

    Ok billy bobs.. When i go to bed at night i’m fart in silk, how about you?
    Lol

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  34. cheesefries

    TC: shot 31 tonight on the front side of Midpines, tips ball down.

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    • Po Pimp

      ball down

      Why are you making a big deal about playing the ball down? That’s the fucking rules. Not playing it down is called cheating.

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  35. chuck bennett

    That’s right bitch. And you thought we would be going up? Go kill yourself idiot.

    Regartds

    Chuck

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  36. Crush your enemies, see them driven before you
    Crush your enemies, see them driven before you

    FIG

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  37. Le Fly

    Yeah, go murder yourself.

    Dow futs up 26

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  38. forexphucker

    We go down, but we have one last push up before then.

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  39. chuck bennett

    Who thought different? Don’t be stupid

    Regards

    Chuck

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  40. Dirk Diggler

    crack spread

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  41. chuck bennett

    I love seeing futures up. Everytime we go down. I keep score on this. I think they suck the suckers in.

    Regards

    Chuck

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    • Bullish

      Whats the score?

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    • HawaiiFive0

      Interesting idea Chuck. I wonder if any quants have really researched this. I ask the question awhile back if anyone knew if there was a correlation and got no replies. I’d like to know what the correlation is between say 2 a.m. est and noon est the following day.

      I wonder if we have anybody who could write a program willing to do this analysis?

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  42. flyaway18

    Euro hitting resistance,
    gold will drop,
    stocks will drop,
    dollah will go up,
    says Timmay on Slope.
    Chuck, I didn’t know you could count,
    seeing that you can’t hardly write.

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  43. Bullish

    Who’s going to Wall St 2 tomorrow? I may not be going till Saturday night so please don’t say anthing like “I can’t believe Gordan Gecko got shot”. That would spoil the movie. Thank you

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  44. Le Fly

    Going to see wall st 2 at lunchtime tomorrow

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  45. NSAID

    I just sat in a evening MBA class and talked about the deflationary vortex for 3 hours. The topic of the day was supposed to be inflation. HA! It’s amazing how negative the “youth” is…. then again, a third of us work in banking workout. Nevermind………..

    As for the markets, they will go down and they go up… Duuuuhhhhh (drooling)

    Idea of the day. Roubini’s payroll tax cut
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-09-23/roubini-says-u-s-payroll-tax-holiday-would-spur-jobs-as-firms-sit-on-cash.html

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    • go2mars

      Why cut the taxes when you can just cut salaries? There are millions of desparate people out there. I bet a lot of them are bored enough and/or desparate enough to work for next to nothing. If only to get out of the house, make a couple bucks, interact with non-depressed people, and have something on their resume. Win for employers, win for dejected, bored, and unemployed hoards.

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      • NSAID

        Cutting salaries will only contribute to the deflationary vortex… Roubini was talking about a “tax holiday” for a few quarters

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        • go2mars

          I partially agree with that. Although having factories and stores with no employees doesn’t contribute to much. I know of some companies that in 2008 asked their staff, “would you rather all take a 10% pay cut, or get rid of 10% of you at random?” They voted for a pay cut.

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    • Cascadian

      Nobody ever thought of that idea before. You gotta be a tongue-tied eastern euro to have any credibility I guess. Why not cut folks back to 4 days a week and keep more people working at least 4 days? Actually, eliminating employer based medical insurance would be a bigger benefit to employers. Go on to the national healthcare and just be done with all the uncertainties.

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  46. Trading_Nymph

    I am saving Wall Street 2 until Monday, its my lead into my birthday celebration..Tuesday I celebrate Paul Tudor Jones’s birthday along with my own…….so don’t tell me the ending……………………For tomorrow, we have that STUPID POMO in the morning to deal with….btw, .the lesson I have learned at Fly University these two past weeks is that I really have to have patience, we can see thru the smoke that the breadth was fading but the market only works when everyone believes the other way…which is so painful….Monday will be fun cuz Mainland China comes back, but with first week in Oct also a holiday, my question is Why? do they even bother to show up next week?

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  47. Cascadian

    Wall St 2 is gonna be a big disappointment. Every movie hollywood ever made about business or wall street or real estate was just full of so much propaganda and unbelievable rediculous crap so as to be unwatchable. I see Melissa Lee is in it from CNBC. That will probably be the highlight. I love her lips!

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